MLB – 2016
32-25, $ +1,687.57, +14.8% RoR
5/05 Flat $200.00
Rangers +153, Holland/Happ
Nationals +134, Ross/Hendricks
As long as bettors get their feet wet in college foots and buckets,
which most do, we will have them over valuing HFA in MLB. There are a lot of
reasons they have that impression, some valid, some not. College football and
basketball players, especially freshmen, are not accustomed to a lot of travel.
Hotels, different meals, large intimidating crowds etc., all have impact, and
it is not an easy thing to get over. MLB players by contrast are from a culture
where they played 70 to 80 games per spring-summer in their high school and
summer leagues and some even slightly more in college. Then there is the grind
of minor league ball, perhaps with several different teams and no place really
feels like “home”. The main concerns through all that is that your pitchers
want to check out the mound for elevation and slope, and your position players
want to check out fence distances, fair and foul both, and the general
condition of the playing surface, but they see so many fields on the way up,
and conditions are so near perfect in the majors, that most of that loses
significance. They have eaten everything from Taco Bell to French Gourmet and
slept in everything from Motel 6 to the Hyatt Regency. No big deal, no problem.
Long story short: Do not pay 20 to 40 cents on the line for an advantage that
is usually not worth more than a nickel (at best).
BOL
Hot Forum Topics
