MLB 7/06/17

Question

7/06/1776-88-5, RoR &#x2013;6.3% (vs 11/10 odds 49.1%) Astros, Full Game Run Line, -1.5, -103, McCullers / LirianoPadres, Full Game &#x2B;163, Lamet / TomlinBOL Are they kidding me? Tomlin at -176? The break-even point is a 63.8% win probability. That is championship caliber odds and no team wins a championship relying on guys like Tomlin. Tomlin is the biggest double-digit loser in the game this year, 4-12 for quality starts and 5-11 head to head.  This &#x201C;won&#x2019;t get swept at home&#x201D; theory is a ridiculous basis on which to take that kind of risk. May have another play or two later but I am waiting for 5 inning lines to open and settle a little.

KeyElement · Answer

7/06/1776-88-5, RoR &#x2013;6.3% (vs 11/10 odds 49.1%) Astros, Full Game Run Line, -1.5, -103, McCullers / LirianoPadres, Full Game &#x2B;163, Lamet / TomlinBOL Are they kidding me? Tomlin at -176? The break-even point is a 63.8% win probability. That is championship caliber odds and no team wins a championship relying on guys like Tomlin. Tomlin is the biggest double-digit loser in the game this year, 4-12 for quality starts and 5-11 head to head.  This &#x201C;won&#x2019;t get swept at home&#x201D; theory is a ridiculous basis on which to take that kind of risk. May have another play or two later but I am waiting for 5 inning lines to open and settle a little.

JohnHyett · Answer

Good luck key .. I like BOFF

KeyElement · Answer

You guys have struck an all new record low point with this one. Attempting to scam honest Catholics into buying a "fixed" game, which does not exist or your "big investor" would hav drastically dropped the odds, with a wager no book in the world accept by the way. What should be really obvious to the fools that may consider doing business with you is that if you actually did spend 25% of your capital on "the fix" you have no need to sell the info to anyone. Simply wager the other 75% of your capital on "the fix".    Truly, a 5 Star Laugher

KeyElement · Answer

Faria is shutout capable, but I am considering the under. BOL

allicat · Answer

Houston Astros

brent0887 · Answer

GL Key

undermysac · Answer

Looks good

ratbastard · Answer

It got the Padres @&#x2B;176

Tad · Answer

I like Tomlin. The guy is a gamer.The issue now is the Indians untimely hitting with RISP.GL

dcgmt · Answer

GL Key

MrECapps · Answer

Great work as always Key.

Mcmanus · Answer

GL KEY

JEG53 · Answer

Cleveland odds against SD have been way out of line,they are not playing good enough to be giving that kind of money away,I did get a DP to end the 5th yesterday for a 3-2 win,this one might be worth 2 plays,5th and game.
GL today

richamp · Answer

Indians and Cubs 2 of the biggest money burners this year.

tinfoils · Answer

Good luck Key!

undermysac · Answer

If the Padres win today, they would have swept the Cubs and Indians.6-0 vs world series teams. Only baseball

Macwestie1 · Answer

GL KeyElement

mjm1012 · Answer

BOL

KeyElement · Answer

As in "road kill"?

KeyElement · Answer

Red Sox-Rays, Under 3.5, -103, First 5 Innings, Sale / Faria

BOL

This one has shut out written all over it, either one or both. Sale brings you a 7.55:1 K/BB rate (12 per 9) and Faria almost matches it with a 7:1 (10 per 9). The raw mathematics suggest you could see 12 K’s the first 5 innings. The gb/fb rates qualify as well at 1.32 and 2.08 respectively. The Rays hitters have for the most part struggled with Sale and the BoSox hitters have never faced Faria. The only regret I have here is not knowing the HP umpire, but sometimes you can’t have everything.

OhanaPicks · Answer

Thought I might see you on the Nats first five under as well, but I was wrong. Best of luck Key.

KeyElement · Answer

That was under consideration as well and I wouldn&#x27;t trash talk anyone that likes it!

ByTheBay · Answer

Just makes too much sense for the Indians to all of a sudden show up and win today. We missed Padres last two nights. Now we jump on board in the third game of the series going for a road sweep. Hope I'm wrong and this isn't a bad spot.

MLB 7/06/17

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