MLB 9/05/17

Question

9/05/17121-145-8, RoR &#x2013;7.28% (vs 11/10 odds 48.6%)Giants &#x2B;159, FG, Blach / ChatwoodDiamondbacks &#x2B;112, FG, Greinke / RyuDiamondbacks-Dodgers, Under 8.5, -114, FG, Greinke / RyuBOL Just thought I would take a moment to congratulate all the rocket scientists that thought Godley was pitching yesterday. One genius posts it and another confirms it. A truly fine example of in depth research. Now, 1-4 is a truly ugly day, I won&#x2019;t deny and won&#x2019;t make excuses, but the &#x2B;145 on Arizona takes a lot of the edge off and which of you geniuses had J.D. Martinez as your &#x201C;offensive player of the day&#x201D; because you just knew he would wreck a perfect under with 4 home runs in one day? Ray and Hill gave us a 2 run game through 6 and the Dodgers bullpen trashed it. Honestly, the biggest trolls and bashers on this site know absolutely nothing about baseball analytics and can only do their trolling after the scores are in. What a miserable life that must be.

KeyElement · Answer

9/05/17121-145-8, RoR &#x2013;7.28% (vs 11/10 odds 48.6%)Giants &#x2B;159, FG, Blach / ChatwoodDiamondbacks &#x2B;112, FG, Greinke / RyuDiamondbacks-Dodgers, Under 8.5, -114, FG, Greinke / RyuBOL Just thought I would take a moment to congratulate all the rocket scientists that thought Godley was pitching yesterday. One genius posts it and another confirms it. A truly fine example of in depth research. Now, 1-4 is a truly ugly day, I won&#x2019;t deny and won&#x2019;t make excuses, but the &#x2B;145 on Arizona takes a lot of the edge off and which of you geniuses had J.D. Martinez as your &#x201C;offensive player of the day&#x201D; because you just knew he would wreck a perfect under with 4 home runs in one day? Ray and Hill gave us a 2 run game through 6 and the Dodgers bullpen trashed it. Honestly, the biggest trolls and bashers on this site know absolutely nothing about baseball analytics and can only do their trolling after the scores are in. What a miserable life that must be.

tinfoils · Answer

Good luck Key!

Chauster · Answer

Gl today KeyElement

ETWINS · Answer

Bottom line... Key is kind enough to put in the time and effort to post his well thought out and logical picks, Bad runs happen to EVERYONE!!!!.

HappyKane · Answer

Bad capper contest you&#x27;re in first place -- Kanye West. Loves Godley. And always bets against Bailey. So simple -- maybe be even more simpled minded assuming someone thought Godley was pitching yesterday. LMAO. Should work out to be a profitabe year if the guy keeps it up -- but... no. Oh well. Next season. Thats what the Giants are thinking about -- next season.

HappyKane · Answer

ETWINS -- Bad runs does not go for 5 months. Laughing My behind Off. Yeah.

shiek · Answer

Giants have quit.....   and can&#x27;t hit....  would not touch

ETWINS · Answer

Kane.Been gambling for a living for 20 yrs. Theres no time limit on bad runs.

straight_cash · Answer

Good luck Key

avenue · Answer

P

fullabs11 · Answer

Ummm it&#x27;s a lot when you only bet favorites. 7% lost is only $700 if your bankroll is 10K... winning no, but across 3/4 of the season, I can show you many people who have lost their starting bankroll 17 times lol

LABOOKIE · Answer

BOL KEY

dcgmt · Answer

GL Key

icegun98 · Answer

So sad. This all could&#x27;ve been avoided had he just changed out his gremlin avatar.

KeyElement · Answer

BINGO! $728.00 out of a ten grand bankroll is no big deal. But, be careful about talking intelligently on Covers, it is not really very popular. The next step of course is to pull out and listen to them yell LIAR!. Some will say "he must have been down thousands" because financial discipline and bankroll management escape them entirely. They much prefer the jerk-offs that claim 5K and 10K wagers and never do an accounting.The mathematically challenged are also lost in the W/L record of 121-145 but they are, of course, basically football-basketball mentality players that cannot make the leap from wagers that are almost static at &#x2B;90.09 per winner to plays that are, on average, &#x2B;106.43 per per winner. I don&#x27;t really care what they say as it is normally more an exposure of their own ignorance than anything else. There is also a need for their satisfaction to be satisfied; some of these jokers have been waiting ten years for this opportunity and are just now getting their cookies off. Show them a little mercy.

Cthulhu · Answer

Exactly what i was going to say. Key flat bets and the majority of his bets are &#x2B; money. Actually im surprised hes down at all. Dont think it will stay that way either as the last month of the season is where you can clean up

Carpinteria · Answer

Everyone who trashed key doesn&#x27;t keep their own records. Unless youre posting here, winning, and keeping records you really have no room to talk. Even if you are doing all those things its still pretty weak but until then youre just the dipshit in the stands calling the player a bum cuz he struck out. Meanwhile, you go back to your $600/week job and $200 bank accountSeriously comical. Surprised even a long time poster like Happykane jumped in, isn&#x27;t he the guy who actually caps based on mojo ratings or some garbage? I remember he went totally in the tank a few years ago. Total clown show here, total clown show

PlayWithThem · Answer

It is important to make the distinction between bankroll and money invested. Key has invested 274 units, which at $100 per unit is $27,400. Given his ROI of -7.28%, a person betting $100 flat per play would be down $1995 (not the $728 mentioned above). It is not a terrible loss given that a lot of people would do much worse but it is also not a minimal one.

As far as the possibility of Key finishing in the black, it will be a quite a task. However, it is not impossible. Given his average number of bets per month, 55 seems like a good estimate for the number of bets remaining for the rest of the regular season. To offset the -$1995, Key would have to achieve a 36% ROI the rest of the way. It is not impossible as he has gone on great runs before. Through April 15 (26 plays worth), Key had a 48% ROI, so he is definitely capable of producing such run but he needs to start it very soon.

BadBear72 · Answer

Hi Mr. Element.  Long time follower, first time poster. Would you still take the under on Backs/Dodgers if it&#x27;s 8 -125 sir?  Thank you for all you do!

undermysac · Answer

Godley and Greinke have the same first name...

I'm surprised this hasn't tripped anyone up.

To every prick on this free internet forum...drink a beer once in a while, get out of the house, sniff a vagina, live life(it ain't that long) lose a bet and NOT give a f*ck, call one of your parents(the one you blame) and tell them it's not their fault but your own, for making the decisions that you do, which include making fun of a complete stranger on the internet.

Then go to work the next day, take care of business, come home, pay your bills, make dinner, brush your teeth, and log on.

Before you type your message, ask yourself..."is the complete stranger on the receiving end of what I'm about to type, really that much different than me?"

JEG53 · Answer

Key good to see things are still the same here and yes the amount of money loss is important in the long run and those that flat bet the way you do keep their self in the game without going broke over and over.And your run of luck this year can be called nothing but bad,at times so bad there was humor to it.
But I think you will survive this year but next year all winners from you,

,GL tonight.

TreyInventor · Answer

Key will be just fine

icegun98 · Answer

Bob is down a dime w flat bets n he has a ror of -1.5%, this guy is down close to 8%. Do the math, it&#x27;s prob close to -6 grand

Toothfairy1 · Answer

SAC FOR PRESIDENT!!!

MLB 9/05/17

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