Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by lefty84hz:
with the amount of favrites u play, i would lay -500 , that you will not reach 10,000 by end of season. At your current ratet you would probably have to hit at nearly 70%.
with the amount of favrites u play, i would lay -500 , that you will not reach 10,000 by end of season. At your current ratet you would probably have to hit at nearly 70%.
I use a model that spits out true lines every day, I don't always play huge favorites but that seems to be the case lately! I was playing around with the model trying to perfect it all season and finally at the start of July I believe I've done that (or close to it).
Since I started tracking officially (up until starting this thread) with my finalized model I have played 42 games with a record of 32-10 (76%, higher than your 70% assumption
) with an average line of -119. On top of this my parlay record is 5-3, with those 5 wins being parlays of 2,2,3,4,4 games. Over this ~20 day span I turned my $1000 into $5750. Now I obviously understand this is an unsustainable rate and I'm bound to fall back down to reality (as you can see by my first few days posting here already aren't at that rate) but I feel with ~60 days I can still reach my goal of $10,000. The key is to hit a couple 3+ game parlays which will drastically increase my unit size and continue the exponential growth!
With that said, I'll gladly take your -500 bet that I won't reach $10,000! Want to put 1 Million fun dollars on the line to win 200,000 fun dollars?
0
but hey, no matter how you word it I won last night!
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