MLB FADE THE PUBLIC 5-GAME CHASE (risk .0075% of bankroll, then 75% of loss martingale)

Friend request sent Hap,
I think lol

1-0 on Sunday brings the YTD record to 32-0. Up $1,305.41.

There will be no "fade the public" play(s) for Monday, June 30.

C'yall Tuesday.

Now that i get a day off i will dabble a bit about this "mojo" system of mine and take a poll.

I developed this "mojo" rating system in the summer of 2006. Before 2006 i only used biorhythms to complement fundamental handicapping. I realized that even though most sporting events are all skilled based there are some luck involved.

One week Eli Manning looks like a legitimate Pro Bowler and the next week he'll throw 5 interceptions -- a few of those might not be his faut; its just how the ball rolls. Even the most skilled of all talents like LeBron James and Kobe Bryant will have off days.

Some very lucky guy, with the stars aligned in his favor, will step up to a craps table and roll for 1 hour. It happens. Just ask any dealer or floor person -- they've seen it all.

A light bulb went on while i was pacing the grounds of Mandalay Bay in the summer of 2006. A new concept to add to my arsenal of esoteric sports handicapping was born. The beginning of the "mojo" system -- skill + luckiness or unluckiness.

It wasn't until 2011 and thanks to the usefulness of Google Docs (now called Google Drive) i began compiling spreadsheets and keeping track of what works and in certain parameters. For MLB, this is the 4th season i have been making these daily spreadsheets. And for the past 3 years i have been trying to develop a system, within a system; toying around with many incarnations of the baseball systems you see today in the sports forums. May 20, 2014 is the debut of my 5-Game Fade the Public Chase System. A system where i am betting on unpopular teams/pitchers against teams/pitchers where everyone [and their mother] is unloading on. A system where i am siding with the books on a season-long basis. Should be profitable, right?

Now that the system is 32-0 here are a few questions i will take a poll with:

Do you like or do not like the system because

A) There are no forced plays; its all systemized. Some days there will be 1-4 plays and some days there are no plays. This is also true for the time of day that the games are played. There is one early Cubs home game on Friday -- lets force a play for some action. There is only one Sunday night game -- lets force a play for some action. There is no forced action from my system. There have never been a day i post 5-10 plays -- could be good or bad.

B) There are not enough plays. See above. This is the 29th day of the system and there have only been about 50 or so qualified plays. (Which by the way is hitting around 56% with an average price of +110. So even if you don't chase, its still a profitable system.) There have never been a day i post 5-10 plays -- could be good or bad depending on how you look at it.

C) At what point can this be called a legitimate [chase] system? Now at 32-0? At 50-0? At 100-0? At what ever loss and profit is tallied at the end of the season? 5 years down the road?

D) Do some of you really hate one continuous season-long threads? Really?

E) Do some of you loathe any kind of "chase" system? Is it because you have been burned in the past or you think "chasing" is dumb in general?

I've played some of your biorhythm picks over the years with moderate success and I appreciate all the hard work you do.  Ordinarily, I'm not a chaser but your system does intrigue me.  How much do the biorhythms enter into your anti-public picks?  Excuse me if I've missed something or if you've explained it before-I've been busy losing in soccer and horses.  Thanks and good luck in all endeavors. (and with your health).

A) Love no forced plays, less is more.

B) See above, less  plays that are more selective.(less is more is good for me $$$)

C) Legitimate (chase) or system ?  No need to label your good work, lets just quietly enjoy the "MOJO magic" you have been posting !

D) Long threads are fun to see records, as long as people contribute and don't add just to add (BS).

E) I like it, chasing Mojo seems like good vibe for a wager.  Should probably check my personal Mojo and see which day is best for me ?

Keep up the good work and thanks for taking the time to post your work daily.  I enjoy it !

 

Love what your doing. No forced plays. 1 thread. Mojo all day! Would love to know what your record was these past 3 years and how many units were you up?

^^^ How many units has he amassed... who cares.

For all HK has done, if we could wish anyone enormous LUCK in all his efforts, it would be him.  Compare his work with others herein.

Always steady, working hard, stays within his Edge - comes at it from a whole different angle -  and no negativity.  He's one of only too few who makes Covers legit

^^^^^^^ Im reffering to the system.  So calm down

HK I been following your threads on your systems and mojo stuff, I'm a believer in the lucky and the unlucky.  I'm superstitious, so certain things affect my decisions. 

As far as your poll goes, I'm happy with the way you're doing it now.  Stick to the guidelines and some days there will be 3 plays, sometimes 2 or 1, sometimes none.  Sure it sucks when there are no plays, but it is what it is.

I don't post much, but I have been following several people in these forums for years.  And I always look for your MOJO system everyday. Your MLB FADE THE PUBLIC 5-GAME CHASE has been your best system so far.  Gambling is all about patience and having to look at the long run and the bigger picture.  Your system definitely deals with patience and not betting on every game on the board. Keep up the great work.  I also appreciate all your hard work and time you take to post everything everyday.

thanks for your hard work. keep healthy

Here is what we're looking at for Tuesday, July 1:

MIN 80% J. Shields B-
KC 20% R. Nolasco B

SEA 75% H. Iwakuma C
HOU 25%  J. Cosart C+

Same business as usual. Betting on pitchers and teams that doesn't have much a chance.

I think you have something backwards on the MIN-KC game

HK In response to your poll,

A,B) I like the fact that there are not many bets and that you don't stray from the system. Your discipline helps me have discipline.

C) The fact you have tested this for 4 years and it is working makes it legitimate. I am curious as to how many losses the system has shown in the past.

D) One thread makes it easy to find and for some reason your thread doesn't have the usual looneys bashing you and others. I credit this to 3 things.
    1) You've been around here since dirt was invented.
    2) You are a proven capper
    3) You're a good dude

E) I believe that a good chase system may be the only way to consistently win in MLB.

I would like some insight to how you come up with your Mojo ratings if you ever care to share. I would even entertain the 2 hour trip to Vegas to learn. That being said, thanks for all you do and good luck always.

Great insight, happykane. Will start following you on a daily basis now. Appreciate your hard work and the will to share your picks with us (and 'us' includes many haters that usually want to get rid of the best cappers on covers). Thanks for your persistency.

Birth date + time zone is all i need to run a personal ratings chart.

If anyone need anything please do not populate this thread with requests. Just PM me.

Help keep this thread mild; no bickering, no complaining -- a 'lil celebration here and there is fine. Lets just win and own the season.

2 hours. You must be near the border.

Give me a PM anytime you're in Vegas. I'm sure we'll have a grand time chatting up sports and sports betting.

2 for Tuesday:

CHASE 33, 1st of 5
Twins +112
$62 to win $69.44

CHASE 34, 1st of 5
Astros +120
$62 to win $74.40

Yep, retired from Denver to St George 6 mos ago. love the hot weather.
I will take you up on that in the future and meanwhile good luck and good health.

yo kane thanks for replyin to my comment and pm  

HK,
Thanks for your detailed work. Wow!
Mostly though, the best to you in your daily comings and goings, for a better health.

   G/L    Ready for your great Info!!

1-1 on Tuesday brings the YTD record to 33-0. Up $1,313.55.

A few possible qualifiers for Wednesday:

KC 78% J. Vargas C-/D-
MIN 22% K. Correia C-

CIN 87% J. Cueto B-
SD 13% T. Ross C-

TEX 28% M. Mikolas B-
BAL 72% C. Tillman B+

PHI 65% C. Hamels C-
MIA 35% T. Koehler C-

STL 75% A. Wainwright B
SF 25% R. Vogelsong C-

Possible plays on the Twins, Padres, Rangers, Marlins, and Giants.

Locking in:
 
CHASE 34, 2nd of 5
Twins +128
$109 to win $139.52

Locking in:
 
CHASE 35, 1st of 5
Padres +104
$60 to win $62.40