CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 122-84 Under (29.6 Units) in home games when playing on Monday since 1996.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-54 SU (-18.4 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 206-193 SU (-6.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more since 1996.
TEXAS are 17-3 SU (13.7 Units) in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-39 SU (-29.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 25-38 SU (-24.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 122-80 Over (34 Units) in road games when playing on Monday since 1996.
CHI WHITE SOX is 13-35 SU (-25.5 Units) in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more in the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 97-80 SU (9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 122-84 Under (29.6 Units) in home games when playing on Monday since 1996.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-54 SU (-18.4 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 206-193 SU (-6.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more since 1996.
TEXAS are 17-3 SU (13.7 Units) in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-39 SU (-29.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 25-38 SU (-24.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 122-80 Over (34 Units) in road games when playing on Monday since 1996.
CHI WHITE SOX is 13-35 SU (-25.5 Units) in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more in the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 97-80 SU (9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-56 SU (-33.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 234-160 Under (58 Units) in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games since 1996.
LA DODGERS are 73-59 SU (17.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-56 SU (-33.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 234-160 Under (58 Units) in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games since 1996.
LA DODGERS are 73-59 SU (17.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
Fenway Park has always been a hitter-friendly ballpark, and for the last three years, it has ranked second in park factor, only behind Coors Field. That is where I love backing a guy like Crawford. The park doesn’t matter as much when guys are not hitting the ball, and when they do, it’s a soft ground ball.
Crawford is a pitcher I’m looking to back as much as possible before he fully ascends into the ace discussion. His xERA was 3.25 last season and he has demonstrated those expected metrics early this season. His fastball was terrific last season, but the addition of his sweeper has dropped his hard-hit rate below 30%. He has allowed just one barrel all season and is yet to allow an extra-base hit.
Boston’s bullpen has performed well so far this season, but I’m still unsure if I fully trust them. Cleveland is the better team and its lineup is deeper and more reliable. However, I am betting on Crawford’s continued ascension.
Back Boston on the first five innings to get out to an early lead Monday morning, as the Red Sox celebrate Patriots’ Day at Fenway Park. BOS F5 -132
Fenway Park has always been a hitter-friendly ballpark, and for the last three years, it has ranked second in park factor, only behind Coors Field. That is where I love backing a guy like Crawford. The park doesn’t matter as much when guys are not hitting the ball, and when they do, it’s a soft ground ball.
Crawford is a pitcher I’m looking to back as much as possible before he fully ascends into the ace discussion. His xERA was 3.25 last season and he has demonstrated those expected metrics early this season. His fastball was terrific last season, but the addition of his sweeper has dropped his hard-hit rate below 30%. He has allowed just one barrel all season and is yet to allow an extra-base hit.
Boston’s bullpen has performed well so far this season, but I’m still unsure if I fully trust them. Cleveland is the better team and its lineup is deeper and more reliable. However, I am betting on Crawford’s continued ascension.
Back Boston on the first five innings to get out to an early lead Monday morning, as the Red Sox celebrate Patriots’ Day at Fenway Park. BOS F5 -132
Do you have any info as to why Seattle is a -150 Favorite? I just dont see it. I would think Cincy should be a short favorite. My head says bet Cincy but my heart says dive into the stink with Seattle. IDK??
Do you have any info as to why Seattle is a -150 Favorite? I just dont see it. I would think Cincy should be a short favorite. My head says bet Cincy but my heart says dive into the stink with Seattle. IDK??
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