MLB Opening Day Picks and Why

As many of you have stated MLB Opening day is special.   My wife says its because you simply love to bet it - yes she is right.   Love betting baseball - best sport to bet in my opinion.    

I look at baseball as 4 seasons:   The first week; before trade dead line, after trade dead line and playoffs.    I track it accordingly.     This being the first week, I look at pitching data from last year if a pitcher has record and spring numbers and opening lines and follow history.   Let's look at some numbers:

         Bos  Bello     109

-168  Sea Castillo    10

I use madduxsports.com for opening lines which are coming from Bookmaker.    The line opened at 168 currently around the same.    When you have these lines that end in something different than 0 or 5 i track those games separately.   

Bello has a rating of 109 a composite of a variety of pitcher stats and Castillo 10 typically lower the better on paper.   These ratings are from last year.  For the first week i find it's worth using.   In addition,  I look at spring numbers.   Castillo had 22 s/o in 18.1 i.p   where Bello had 18/18.1 .     I do a comparison to the ratings as well as previous years spring numbers to find similar games and results.  Find patterns and bet accordingly.       

My plays:

1. Sea -1.5   +127

2. NYY  +137  

3. Det -1.5   -108   

4. Clev -1.5  +112

5. Tor +120  

6.  Cincy -1  -111    

Everyone have a great season and good luck all.   

Like the pics and bol this year homie  

@CMo256

@Trinitiyy

@Brooklyncapper

 Thanks guys and back at ya.

Buddah; well done

@golfing123

@lopez021130

 Thanks guys .    Hoping Detroit could have pushed another one over - I guess it was cold and everyone wanted to get it over with:)  .   Sea the line dropped not sure why - i'll take it.