MLB Sat Info

Royals vs. Athletics: Betting the Moneyline

• The Royals have been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they lost both of the games.
• Oakland has come away with seven wins in the 33 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -173 odds on them winning this game.
• This year, the Athletics have won five of 21 games when listed as at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Royals a 63.4% chance to win.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 63.4% chance to win.

• The Royals have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times this season for a 17-14-2 record against the over/under.
• Oakland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of its 33 opportunities.
• The Royals have covered just 33.3% of their games this season, going 11-22-0 against the spread.
• In 33 games with a spread this season, the Royals are 11-22-0 ATS.

• Score Prediction: Royals 7, Athletics 6
• Total Prediction: Over 10 runs
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Twins vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

• The Twins have won 73.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (17-6).
• Cleveland has been underdogs in 12 games this season and has come away with the win five times (41.7%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 16-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have a mark of 4-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied moneyline win probability of 53.5% in this game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 53.5% chance to win.

• The Twins have played in 33 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-16-3).
• Cleveland's games have gone over the total in 11 of its 31 chances.
• The Twins have gone 19-14-0 ATS this season.
• The Twins are 19-14-0 ATS in their 33 games with a spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Twins 6, Guardians 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Mariners vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mariners have gone 11-10 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 52.4% of those games).
• Houston has won in eight, or 72.7%, of the 11 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Seattle is 10-9 this season when entering a game favored by -117 or more on the moneyline.
• This season, the Astros have come away with a win four times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mariners' implied win probability is 53.9%.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Mariners.

• The Mariners have played in 32 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-14-2).
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 32 chances this season.
• The Mariners have covered 46.9% of their games this season, going 15-17-0 against the spread.
• The Mariners have an ATS record of 15-17-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Phillies have won 55.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (10-8).
• Boston has been pegged as an underdog in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (55%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• This season, the Red Sox have come away with a win seven times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 58.7%.
• The Phillies have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

• The Phillies have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 33 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 15 of those games (15-17-1).
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of its 34 opportunities.
• The Phillies have put together a 14-19-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42.4% of the time).
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 14-19-0 in 33 games with a spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
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Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Betting Trends

Dodgers are 66-31 in the last 97 meetings

Dodgers are 86-40 in their last 126 overall

Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall

Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West by A.Rome

Dodgers vs. Padres MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and is 5-1 in the last six meetings at Petco Park. The under is also 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last five road games versus a left-handed starter, is 4-0 in the Padres’ last four games versus a team with a winning record and is 5-1 in their last six games following a win. The under is also 4-1 in the Padres’ last five games overall, is 5-1 in their last six games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: DODGERS/PADRES UNDER 8.5

Play On
Any team (MIAMI)
terrible offensive team (<=3.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), in May games

22-12 over the last 5 seasons.
64.7% (21.2 units)

Play On
Any team (NY METS)
excellent fielding team - averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season, after 3 straight games where they had 5 or less hits

46-24 over the last 5 seasons.
65.7% (26.8 units)

Play Against
Any team (TAMPA BAY)
good AL offensive team (>=5.1 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season

51-40 over the last 5 seasons.
56.0% (20.4 units)

Play On
All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA)
off 2 straight road wins vs. a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts

25-8 over the last 5 seasons.
75.8% (17.4 units)

Play On
Home teams (KANSAS CITY)
AL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.410) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP >=1.550), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts

44-20 since 1997.
68.8% (25.4 units)

Play On
Home teams (LA ANGELS)
with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, playing on Saturday

38-21 over the last 5 seasons.
64.4% (25.2 units)

Play On
All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON)
average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games

27-9 since 1997.
75.0% (19.0 units)

Play On
Home teams (PHILADELPHIA)
with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, playing on Saturday

38-21 over the last 5 seasons.
64.4% (25.2 units)

@RLeith35

 for this system pick are you saying play AGAINST the team that you have listed, Tampa Bay? So in this case, play against Tampa Bay and take the Yankees?

Play Against
Any team (TAMPA BAY)
good AL offensive team (>=5.1 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season

@REXRW - yes, that’s exactly what it means. BOL