The Rays have won 13 of their last 17 games in Boston and are 5-0 in their last five games versus the Red Sox overall. They’re also 21-8 in their last 29 games overall, are 41-13 in their last 54 games following a win and are 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. On the other side, the Red Sox are just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall, are 2-6 in their last eight games coming off a loss and are 0-5 in their last five games after allowing five runs or more in their previous contest. T.B. +106
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The Rays have won 13 of their last 17 games in Boston and are 5-0 in their last five games versus the Red Sox overall. They’re also 21-8 in their last 29 games overall, are 41-13 in their last 54 games following a win and are 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. On the other side, the Red Sox are just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall, are 2-6 in their last eight games coming off a loss and are 0-5 in their last five games after allowing five runs or more in their previous contest. T.B. +106
The White Sox are 13-4 in their last 17 games versus the Twins, are 5-1 in their last six road games versus a right-handed starter and are 5-2 in their last seven games overall. On the other side, the Twins are 1-4 in their last five home games, are 2-8 in their last 10 home games versus a left-handed starter and are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Sox -143 /A.Rome
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The White Sox are 13-4 in their last 17 games versus the Twins, are 5-1 in their last six road games versus a right-handed starter and are 5-2 in their last seven games overall. On the other side, the Twins are 1-4 in their last five home games, are 2-8 in their last 10 home games versus a left-handed starter and are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Sox -143 /A.Rome
The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams, is 37-16-3 in the Reds’ last 56 games versus the National League East and is 6-0-2 in their last eight road games versus a team with a winning record. On the other side, the under is 3-1-1 in the Braves’ last five home games versus a team with a winning record and is 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. Atl/Reds UN 9.5 /A.Rome
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The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams, is 37-16-3 in the Reds’ last 56 games versus the National League East and is 6-0-2 in their last eight road games versus a team with a winning record. On the other side, the under is 3-1-1 in the Braves’ last five home games versus a team with a winning record and is 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. Atl/Reds UN 9.5 /A.Rome
The Dodgers have won seven of their last 10 meetings versus the Phillies and are 5-2 in their last seven games overall. They’re also 41-17 in their last 58 games following an off day, are 16-7 in their last 23 games versus National League East opponents and are 75-36 in their last 111 games following a win. On the other side, the Phillies are just 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day and are 10-21 in their last 31 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.
LAD - 160 /A.Rome
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The Dodgers have won seven of their last 10 meetings versus the Phillies and are 5-2 in their last seven games overall. They’re also 41-17 in their last 58 games following an off day, are 16-7 in their last 23 games versus National League East opponents and are 75-36 in their last 111 games following a win. On the other side, the Phillies are just 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day and are 10-21 in their last 31 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies and Dodgers – as the newly acquired three-time Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer will take the mound for L.A. against Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola.
After routinely serving as one of the lone bright spots during Washington’s disappointing first half of the season (8-4, 2.76 ERA), the Nationals finally decided to cash out on their greatest pitching asset at the very end of this year’s trade deadline – as Washington ended up shipping Scherzer to Los Angeles alongside Trea Turner in exchange for a massive haul of prospects.
The price L.A. paid for the package seemed to be worth all the trouble in eight-time All-Star’s debut though, considering Scherzer tossed seven impressive innings and picked up a win against Houston last week (5 H, 2 ER, 10 K) – earning a curtain call from the L.A. crowd in his first game in a Dodgers’ uniform.
Nola, on the other hand, has been up-and-down all year – most recently highlighted by the Phillies’ right-hander finishing up July with a pair of magnificent performances (14.2 IP, 7 H, 1.84 ERA), which he followed with a terrible outing in Washington to kick off August (5 IP, 5 H, 5 ER).
I’ll take the 'under' here, as Nola has tossed a minimum of four innings and surrendered two runs or less in six out of nine home starts this season (4-2, 3.19 ERA) – and Scherzer dominated in his trio of outings against Philadelphia with the Nationals (3-0, 18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA). M.Crosson
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Phillies and Dodgers – as the newly acquired three-time Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer will take the mound for L.A. against Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola.
After routinely serving as one of the lone bright spots during Washington’s disappointing first half of the season (8-4, 2.76 ERA), the Nationals finally decided to cash out on their greatest pitching asset at the very end of this year’s trade deadline – as Washington ended up shipping Scherzer to Los Angeles alongside Trea Turner in exchange for a massive haul of prospects.
The price L.A. paid for the package seemed to be worth all the trouble in eight-time All-Star’s debut though, considering Scherzer tossed seven impressive innings and picked up a win against Houston last week (5 H, 2 ER, 10 K) – earning a curtain call from the L.A. crowd in his first game in a Dodgers’ uniform.
Nola, on the other hand, has been up-and-down all year – most recently highlighted by the Phillies’ right-hander finishing up July with a pair of magnificent performances (14.2 IP, 7 H, 1.84 ERA), which he followed with a terrible outing in Washington to kick off August (5 IP, 5 H, 5 ER).
I’ll take the 'under' here, as Nola has tossed a minimum of four innings and surrendered two runs or less in six out of nine home starts this season (4-2, 3.19 ERA) – and Scherzer dominated in his trio of outings against Philadelphia with the Nationals (3-0, 18.2 IP, 1.45 ERA). M.Crosson
After closing out July with a pair of impressive road wins against Seattle and San Diego (0.69 ERA, 0.62 WHIP), Manaea squared off against the hard-hitting Padres again in his latest outing – and this time around, things didn’t go as well for Oakland’s left-hander, considering Manaea surrendered five runs on eight hits across just 4.1 innings of action during the loss.
McKenzie, on the other hand, has been on quite the rollercoaster ride with Cleveland this season – which is most recently highlighted by the Indians’ young right-hander yielding an 8.36 ERA across his final three starts of July (1.57 WHIP), and then opening August with a relatively solid start against the Blue Jays (7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER).
I’ll take the A’s run line here, as McKenzie typically doesn’t string together back-to-back strong performances – and surprisingly, Manaea has been performed better on the road than at home this season (Home – 3.78 ERA, Away – 2.64 ERA). Oak -1.5 -115 /M.Crosson
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After closing out July with a pair of impressive road wins against Seattle and San Diego (0.69 ERA, 0.62 WHIP), Manaea squared off against the hard-hitting Padres again in his latest outing – and this time around, things didn’t go as well for Oakland’s left-hander, considering Manaea surrendered five runs on eight hits across just 4.1 innings of action during the loss.
McKenzie, on the other hand, has been on quite the rollercoaster ride with Cleveland this season – which is most recently highlighted by the Indians’ young right-hander yielding an 8.36 ERA across his final three starts of July (1.57 WHIP), and then opening August with a relatively solid start against the Blue Jays (7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER).
I’ll take the A’s run line here, as McKenzie typically doesn’t string together back-to-back strong performances – and surprisingly, Manaea has been performed better on the road than at home this season (Home – 3.78 ERA, Away – 2.64 ERA). Oak -1.5 -115 /M.Crosson
Play On Home teams (NY METS) ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
95-56 over the last 5 seasons. 62.9% (39.7 units)
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Play On Home teams (NY METS) ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
Play On Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts
36-14 since 1997. 72.0% (22.1 units)
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Play On Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts
Play On Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MILWAUKEE) w Ashby / Mills NL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.400) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
106-45 since 1997. 70.2% (44.8 units)
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Play On Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MILWAUKEE) w Ashby / Mills NL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.400) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
Play Against Road teams (LA ANGELS) GM 1 below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
38-12 over the last 5 seasons. 76.0% (22.7 units)
0
Play Against Road teams (LA ANGELS) GM 1 below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
Play On All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games
65-57 over the last 5 seasons. 53.3% (37.5 units)
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Play On All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games
Play Against Road teams (TEXAS) ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
124-74 over the last 5 seasons. 62.6% (42.6 units)
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Play Against Road teams (TEXAS) ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
124-74 over the last 5 seasons. 62.6% (42.6 units)
Play On Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) w Pevetta / Steele NL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.400) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
111-47 since 1997. 70.3% (46.1 units)
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Play On Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) w Pevetta / Steele NL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.400) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
Not very often do you see a team play B2B games that start off a series, but with the make up game, Cleveland has now played 3 teams in 3 days. Oakland on the other hand had a day to recover, and in the MLB TY teams that are AF of < -115 with a day of rest vs. a team that is coming in w/o any rest is 18-6! Oakland has played well in the first game of the series, they are 10-7 on the road to start off the series, they are 8-3 in FGS vs. RHP w/ ERA > 5.00, 13-5 vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, and 9-2 vs. NDIV & a SP w/ an ERA over 5.00 (5-0 vs. RHP). They have also played very well with Manaea on the mound, the Athletics are 11-4 in his L15 as a F (11-2 w/ line < -110), 4-1 off a day of rest for the team w/ Manaea on the mound, and 6-2 in his 8 starts vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, that along side a stat line of 4-4, w/ 2.64 ERA on the road and opponents hitting under .200 is a good combination for Oakland. 11-4 w/ a day of rest, and 7-2 as an AF vs. NDIV is promising for Oakland. Cleveland on the other hand is coming off a good game on Monday, but this may be a different story. Mckenzie is on the mound for Cleveland and this year his ERA is just shy of 6.00 (5.89), including 6.08 ERA in the L15 games, 0-1 @ H w/ 5.40 ERA (7 starts), an 0-4 record w/ 6.52 ERA in 8 starts at night and 0-2 w/ a 6.86 ERA in 4 starts since the All-Star Break. Even though the Indians have faired well at home, going against a team with more rest is tough, but there are definitely more factors. CLE is 2-7 after scoring more then 8 runs (lost L6), 3-9 in the L12 off B2B W's, 2-6 after winning by 5 or more, 1-10 following a game w/ more then 10 hits, including 0-8 in the L8, 2-7 following a W w/ > 10 hits (1-6 in L7), and they are 2-8 after a W w/ 3+ HR's. Regardless off the statistics specifically they have lost 5 straight as a HD off a W, 2-7 as a HD vs. LHP (allowing over 7 runs/game), they are also 0-5 as a HD vs. LHP w/ ERA < 3.50, 8-16 as a D vs. LHP. Mckenzie vs. Manaea is a pitching mismatch and I don't foresee the Indians winning B2B opening games of series. Oak -138/ J.Sport
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Not very often do you see a team play B2B games that start off a series, but with the make up game, Cleveland has now played 3 teams in 3 days. Oakland on the other hand had a day to recover, and in the MLB TY teams that are AF of < -115 with a day of rest vs. a team that is coming in w/o any rest is 18-6! Oakland has played well in the first game of the series, they are 10-7 on the road to start off the series, they are 8-3 in FGS vs. RHP w/ ERA > 5.00, 13-5 vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, and 9-2 vs. NDIV & a SP w/ an ERA over 5.00 (5-0 vs. RHP). They have also played very well with Manaea on the mound, the Athletics are 11-4 in his L15 as a F (11-2 w/ line < -110), 4-1 off a day of rest for the team w/ Manaea on the mound, and 6-2 in his 8 starts vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, that along side a stat line of 4-4, w/ 2.64 ERA on the road and opponents hitting under .200 is a good combination for Oakland. 11-4 w/ a day of rest, and 7-2 as an AF vs. NDIV is promising for Oakland. Cleveland on the other hand is coming off a good game on Monday, but this may be a different story. Mckenzie is on the mound for Cleveland and this year his ERA is just shy of 6.00 (5.89), including 6.08 ERA in the L15 games, 0-1 @ H w/ 5.40 ERA (7 starts), an 0-4 record w/ 6.52 ERA in 8 starts at night and 0-2 w/ a 6.86 ERA in 4 starts since the All-Star Break. Even though the Indians have faired well at home, going against a team with more rest is tough, but there are definitely more factors. CLE is 2-7 after scoring more then 8 runs (lost L6), 3-9 in the L12 off B2B W's, 2-6 after winning by 5 or more, 1-10 following a game w/ more then 10 hits, including 0-8 in the L8, 2-7 following a W w/ > 10 hits (1-6 in L7), and they are 2-8 after a W w/ 3+ HR's. Regardless off the statistics specifically they have lost 5 straight as a HD off a W, 2-7 as a HD vs. LHP (allowing over 7 runs/game), they are also 0-5 as a HD vs. LHP w/ ERA < 3.50, 8-16 as a D vs. LHP. Mckenzie vs. Manaea is a pitching mismatch and I don't foresee the Indians winning B2B opening games of series. Oak -138/ J.Sport
DETROIT @ BALTIMORE | 08/10 | 7:05 PM EDT DETROIT -105 ANALYSIS: The Orioles are 17-34 at home and start lefty Keegan Akin, who has not started since July 16 and sports a 7.66 ERA. He's not likely to go deep, and then will turn it over to a Baltimore bullpen that ranks 28th with a 5.38 ERA. Detroit's Casey Mize faced the Orioles on July 29 and allowed one unearned run and four hits over seven innings. He's actually been slightly better on the road this season. Back the Tigers. By L.Hartstein
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DETROIT @ BALTIMORE | 08/10 | 7:05 PM EDT DETROIT -105 ANALYSIS: The Orioles are 17-34 at home and start lefty Keegan Akin, who has not started since July 16 and sports a 7.66 ERA. He's not likely to go deep, and then will turn it over to a Baltimore bullpen that ranks 28th with a 5.38 ERA. Detroit's Casey Mize faced the Orioles on July 29 and allowed one unearned run and four hits over seven innings. He's actually been slightly better on the road this season. Back the Tigers. By L.Hartstein
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