The Good:
PHI (-163)
Kendrick boasts an 8-0 record and 2.24 ERA in his last 10 starts vs. MIA. Koehler has only received 5 runs of combined run support in his last 5 starts.
The Bad: Fading Arroyo (CIN) when opponent scores > 4 runs, Blanton (LAA) at home
COL (+138)
COL has scored 4+ runs in 14 of their last 21 games (.666). COL has the 5th best team batting avg (.269) and 7th highest run total (269) in the MLB. CIN is just 1-4 when the opposing team scores 4+ runs in Arroyo starts. Chatwood has not allowed a run in his 2 AWAY starts (@ SFO, @ LAD).
HOU (+174) [OPTION: Hedge with the +1.5 RL]
Blanton is 0-3 at HOME with a 7.39 ERA. COL is 2-0 in Bedard’s last 2 AWAY starts (6-3 @ COL, 4-2 @ PIT), allowing just 2 runs in each of those starts. LAA just can’t find a way to beat HOU in this series.
The Ugly: Fading Burnett (PIT)
ATL (-137)
AJ Burnett is just 5-11
in 19 career starts vs. ATL. Burnett has
not won a decision in exactly 1 month. ATL
is 18-7 HOME (.720). Aside from the TOR
game when he had to leave the game due to injury, Medlen has posted 3 quality
starts in his last 3 HOME games. [For anyone
interested in O/U, 4 of Medlen’s last 5 HOME games have gone UNDER 7, and 7 of
Burnett’s last 9 games have gone UNDER 7.]
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