I'm moving out of my college house today, which is probably a good thing as it'll prevent me from making a degen entertainment wager on the early game.
Both of these were played last night and posted in my 6/3 thread...
I'm moving out of my college house today, which is probably a good thing as it'll prevent me from making a degen entertainment wager on the early game.
Both of these were played last night and posted in my 6/3 thread...
Explain both picks... I think the twins may miss mauer and col are a different club on the road....
Rockies...
-Diamondbacks returning home after week-long road trip. I tend to fade teams in these spots as players and coaches must first deal with family and personal issues before turning their attention to baseball.
-Friedrich has been the unluckiest pitcher in baseball to this point in the season. His .404 BABIP is mind-blowing, and his 62.5% strand rate is wayyy below the league average. His ERA is near 6.00, but he's striking out nearly 10 batters every 9 innings and the 2.53 FIP indicates a major turnaround is on the way.
-It's not Coors Field, but the Rox always hit well in Phoenix. The emergence of Rosario and Pacheco has given the lineup a major boost.
Twins....
-Not worried about Mauer. I value him far less than do most people. Morneau/Willingham/Doumit is a perfectly capable middle of the lineup.
-I backed him in his last start, but there's no way in hell Will Smith should be laying -140 to anyone. Sure, DeVries has been lucky as hell in his first few starts, but he's finally facing the type of impatient lineup against whom he can have some success. It'll depend on the umpire, but the Royals swing at a ton of pitches and DeVries' nibbling could work to his advantage.
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Quote Originally Posted by utfootball4:
Explain both picks... I think the twins may miss mauer and col are a different club on the road....
Rockies...
-Diamondbacks returning home after week-long road trip. I tend to fade teams in these spots as players and coaches must first deal with family and personal issues before turning their attention to baseball.
-Friedrich has been the unluckiest pitcher in baseball to this point in the season. His .404 BABIP is mind-blowing, and his 62.5% strand rate is wayyy below the league average. His ERA is near 6.00, but he's striking out nearly 10 batters every 9 innings and the 2.53 FIP indicates a major turnaround is on the way.
-It's not Coors Field, but the Rox always hit well in Phoenix. The emergence of Rosario and Pacheco has given the lineup a major boost.
Twins....
-Not worried about Mauer. I value him far less than do most people. Morneau/Willingham/Doumit is a perfectly capable middle of the lineup.
-I backed him in his last start, but there's no way in hell Will Smith should be laying -140 to anyone. Sure, DeVries has been lucky as hell in his first few starts, but he's finally facing the type of impatient lineup against whom he can have some success. It'll depend on the umpire, but the Royals swing at a ton of pitches and DeVries' nibbling could work to his advantage.
kool, bol with your picks... I know col may hit the ball well in zona but they haven't had much success winning in zona - maybe the o/u is a better play?
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kool, bol with your picks... I know col may hit the ball well in zona but they haven't had much success winning in zona - maybe the o/u is a better play?
Good to see you on the Rockies. I played it at the BetOnline opener of +115 and loved that number only to see it rise up to where you grabbed it. It has since been knocked down to +110 so at least we are both getting some value.
GL today J.
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Good to see you on the Rockies. I played it at the BetOnline opener of +115 and loved that number only to see it rise up to where you grabbed it. It has since been knocked down to +110 so at least we are both getting some value.
BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play) is a Sabermetric stat that measures how many balls put in play go for hits. It's considered one of the primary indicator's of a pitcher's luck (or lack thereof). The average BABIP for a pitcher is somewhere around .280-.290 and any number that deviates strongly from this average (i.e. .220 or .360) is considered extremely difficult to maintain over the course of a season.
This stat and literally dozens of others can be found on FanGraphs. It's a really great tool for capping games and goes way beyond the standard stats.
BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play) is a Sabermetric stat that measures how many balls put in play go for hits. It's considered one of the primary indicator's of a pitcher's luck (or lack thereof). The average BABIP for a pitcher is somewhere around .280-.290 and any number that deviates strongly from this average (i.e. .220 or .360) is considered extremely difficult to maintain over the course of a season.
This stat and literally dozens of others can be found on FanGraphs. It's a really great tool for capping games and goes way beyond the standard stats.
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