Money Ball 4-15-14

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3-30                  Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

4-14

Rangers F5 -122 (Elias / Lewis) - $200

4-15 Bankroll $11,549.04 (RoR +23.5%) YTD 18-10-5

5 Inning Plays Today All plays are $200

Pirates F5 -115 (Cole / Leake)

Royals F5 -160 (Ventura / Harrell)

Mets F5 +115 (Mejia / Arroyo)

BOL

Pirates: In the public eye Cole is still under valued and Leake is over valued. There is a world of difference between the two and the Pirates match up offense holds an edge as well.

Royals: I thought Joe Saunders would be the go-against guy of the year but Lucas Harrell is an even better proposition. The Royals are bound to bounce back and the Astros are making progress, but it will never show with Harrell on the hill.

Mets: I said the Diamondbacks were going to suck even before Corbin went down and now they are stuck with starting five guys that are all below major league average. Miley is the best of the lot and even he is only carrying a 66.6 rating versus an MLB average of 67.1. Arroyo is qualified to be a 5 on any other staff and he comes in at 64.6, a #2 in Arizona.  

Royals: I thought Joe Saunders would be the go-against guy of the year but Lucas Harrell is an even better proposition. The Royals are bound to bounce back and the Astros are making progress, but it will never show with Harrell on the hill.

Key, Harrell's stats may be bad, but they were crappy last year too and his best game last year came against these Royals, whom he shut down for 7 innings. The Royals (so far) suck on the road (batting .189 and having scored just 8 runs in 5 full games)). Now Houston at home has been much better, scoring 20 runs in 7 games. I expect Ventura to shut the Astros down for 5 innings, but I also don't see the Royals getting hot all of a sudden against a guy who did shut them down the last time he faced them. I don't think these offenses are capable of getting 4 1/2 runs in 5 innings. Under 4.5 at -110 seems to be a much better prospect in this game.

Good luck