Royals: Vargas
has been beaten only once in the KEQS comparisons, by Scherzer, who had to
record a 77.7 at home to defeat
Vargas at 71.1, a number that normally doesn’t lose, considering the MLB
average is 67.3, as of today. In the number crunching computation Vargas is the
equal or better of Masterson in Masterson’s own crib. The Royals come in at
8-5-2 versus righty starters with an oera of 4.72 while the Tribe is really struggling
with lefties at 0-4-3 and 1.67.
Orioles: Tillman
is the man in this one with a value rating 44 cents on the dollar better than
McGowan and comes in with an offense that has gone 6-1-3 versus righty starters
lately with an oera of 6.1. The BJ’s are impressive in their own right at 6-2-2
last 10 but the oera drops to 3.63 so we have offensive advantage as well as
pitching at an underdog price.
Twins-Rays: Nothing
but offense in this one tonight as the combination of Pelfrey-Odorizzi is far
weaker than any other pitcher-pitcher versus offense-offense available on the
board tonight. We have no wind in a dome but we do have Mark Carlson behind the
plate, normally a pitchers (under) umpire, but if he calls his normal game
tonight it will force the hitters to swing and that is exactly what I want them
to do. Grind em down baseball ain’t all it is cracked up to be, I want to see
some aggression and I want it to become contagious because these guys
(Pelfrey-Odorizzi) can not fire a
pitchers duel at you.
Phillies-Dodgers:
First of all I would state that the Phillies would not risk a value like Hamels
if there were any reason at all to be concerned. And if there were they
certainly wouldn’t match him up with a super stud like Greinke. Neither of
these offense are stud caliber either, even versus average pitching, where the
Phillies have established a 3.89 oera versus righty and the Dodgers are at 3.28
versus lefty. This one could go deep into the game at 0-0 and could end at 2-1
or 3-2 without shocking anyone, but let’s go 5 innings and not have to sweat
the bullpens. Gabe Morales behind the plate is a gift from Heaven with his 65.4%
strike calls and 3.67:1 K/BB ratio. The only thing we don’t have on our side is
that the first 5 will be played before the Marine Layer moves in to further
dampen fly balls, but I think we can live without that.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Royals: Vargas
has been beaten only once in the KEQS comparisons, by Scherzer, who had to
record a 77.7 at home to defeat
Vargas at 71.1, a number that normally doesn’t lose, considering the MLB
average is 67.3, as of today. In the number crunching computation Vargas is the
equal or better of Masterson in Masterson’s own crib. The Royals come in at
8-5-2 versus righty starters with an oera of 4.72 while the Tribe is really struggling
with lefties at 0-4-3 and 1.67.
Orioles: Tillman
is the man in this one with a value rating 44 cents on the dollar better than
McGowan and comes in with an offense that has gone 6-1-3 versus righty starters
lately with an oera of 6.1. The BJ’s are impressive in their own right at 6-2-2
last 10 but the oera drops to 3.63 so we have offensive advantage as well as
pitching at an underdog price.
Twins-Rays: Nothing
but offense in this one tonight as the combination of Pelfrey-Odorizzi is far
weaker than any other pitcher-pitcher versus offense-offense available on the
board tonight. We have no wind in a dome but we do have Mark Carlson behind the
plate, normally a pitchers (under) umpire, but if he calls his normal game
tonight it will force the hitters to swing and that is exactly what I want them
to do. Grind em down baseball ain’t all it is cracked up to be, I want to see
some aggression and I want it to become contagious because these guys
(Pelfrey-Odorizzi) can not fire a
pitchers duel at you.
Phillies-Dodgers:
First of all I would state that the Phillies would not risk a value like Hamels
if there were any reason at all to be concerned. And if there were they
certainly wouldn’t match him up with a super stud like Greinke. Neither of
these offense are stud caliber either, even versus average pitching, where the
Phillies have established a 3.89 oera versus righty and the Dodgers are at 3.28
versus lefty. This one could go deep into the game at 0-0 and could end at 2-1
or 3-2 without shocking anyone, but let’s go 5 innings and not have to sweat
the bullpens. Gabe Morales behind the plate is a gift from Heaven with his 65.4%
strike calls and 3.67:1 K/BB ratio. The only thing we don’t have on our side is
that the first 5 will be played before the Marine Layer moves in to further
dampen fly balls, but I think we can live without that.
On a couple of those, and been contemplating grabbing the Phillies later tonight. Nice return for what should be a pitchers duel. Keep up the good work, Key.
0
On a couple of those, and been contemplating grabbing the Phillies later tonight. Nice return for what should be a pitchers duel. Keep up the good work, Key.
I took KC yesterday F-5 and game as I thought that was the best play on the board yesterday,but I had the time to look at things,that has been usual. GL today,why you switching to game plays,think its only 2games that lost or pushed in 5 and won in 9,is that a big enough sample to change?
0
I took KC yesterday F-5 and game as I thought that was the best play on the board yesterday,but I had the time to look at things,that has been usual. GL today,why you switching to game plays,think its only 2games that lost or pushed in 5 and won in 9,is that a big enough sample to change?
I took KC yesterday F-5 and game as I thought that was the best play on the board yesterday,but I had the time to look at things,that has been usual. GL today,why you switching to game plays,think its only 2games that lost or pushed in 5 and won in 9,is that a big enough sample to change?
Nothing permanent or complete about it. I just felt I had the longer distance starters in place to leave a little less to the bullpens and get slightly better odds.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:
I took KC yesterday F-5 and game as I thought that was the best play on the board yesterday,but I had the time to look at things,that has been usual. GL today,why you switching to game plays,think its only 2games that lost or pushed in 5 and won in 9,is that a big enough sample to change?
Nothing permanent or complete about it. I just felt I had the longer distance starters in place to leave a little less to the bullpens and get slightly better odds.
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