Kershaw has been babied so far. I suspect he'll come out full bore against Bum and the Giants. Love the Dodgers tonite as much as I think the line is way out of whack.
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Kershaw has been babied so far. I suspect he'll come out full bore against Bum and the Giants. Love the Dodgers tonite as much as I think the line is way out of whack.
would you reverse the bet to the rockies key? they seem to be getting a lot of hits against chafin, don't have faith in him
I will let Key speak for himself, but losing your SP in the 2nd inning is like losing your quarterback in the 1st quarter. It completely changes the landscape of the game (and the wager you placed).
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Quote Originally Posted by sexyama:
would you reverse the bet to the rockies key? they seem to be getting a lot of hits against chafin, don't have faith in him
I will let Key speak for himself, but losing your SP in the 2nd inning is like losing your quarterback in the 1st quarter. It completely changes the landscape of the game (and the wager you placed).
I will let Key speak for himself, but losing your SP in the 2nd inning is like losing your quarterback in the 1st quarter. It completely changes the landscape of the game (and the wager you placed).
Of course it changes the dynamic but Bradley left with the Dbax ahead 3-0. So, if you figure the balance of the staff will lose tit-for-tat by more than 3 maybe you want to reverse your bet. Playing inning to inning with this and that is a formula for disaster. usually works about as well as day trading in the stock market. You win, you lose, not the end of the world either way, so ride it out and don't panic. jmho.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:
I will let Key speak for himself, but losing your SP in the 2nd inning is like losing your quarterback in the 1st quarter. It completely changes the landscape of the game (and the wager you placed).
Of course it changes the dynamic but Bradley left with the Dbax ahead 3-0. So, if you figure the balance of the staff will lose tit-for-tat by more than 3 maybe you want to reverse your bet. Playing inning to inning with this and that is a formula for disaster. usually works about as well as day trading in the stock market. You win, you lose, not the end of the world either way, so ride it out and don't panic. jmho.
Of course it changes the dynamic but Bradley left with the Dbax ahead 3-0. So, if you figure the balance of the staff will lose tit-for-tat by more than 3 maybe you want to reverse your bet. Playing inning to inning with this and that is a formula for disaster. usually works about as well as day trading in the stock market. You win, you lose, not the end of the world either way, so ride it out and don't panic. jmho.
of course, the 3-0 lead at that moment changes the conditional probability (with changing pitchers). I am on the diamondbacks as well and didn't consider changing sides.
a 3 run spot with 8 innings to go (with Hendricks on the mound) is probably a -300 line or better.
Side note: We often place the same bets and/or spot the same opportunities. Something tells me there is quite a bit in comment with respect to the way we evaluate match ups.
one key (no pun intended) difference is that I am stinking it up so far this season. I watched you battle back last year, so I am keeping a positive attitude and hoping that I have been on the wrong side of luck so far this season.
good job so far this year.
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
Of course it changes the dynamic but Bradley left with the Dbax ahead 3-0. So, if you figure the balance of the staff will lose tit-for-tat by more than 3 maybe you want to reverse your bet. Playing inning to inning with this and that is a formula for disaster. usually works about as well as day trading in the stock market. You win, you lose, not the end of the world either way, so ride it out and don't panic. jmho.
of course, the 3-0 lead at that moment changes the conditional probability (with changing pitchers). I am on the diamondbacks as well and didn't consider changing sides.
a 3 run spot with 8 innings to go (with Hendricks on the mound) is probably a -300 line or better.
Side note: We often place the same bets and/or spot the same opportunities. Something tells me there is quite a bit in comment with respect to the way we evaluate match ups.
one key (no pun intended) difference is that I am stinking it up so far this season. I watched you battle back last year, so I am keeping a positive attitude and hoping that I have been on the wrong side of luck so far this season.
key where are you getting your info of the public liked Colorado today? cause from the odds i saw about 58% were playing AZ. Is my source wrong? or do you have a more reliable source
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key where are you getting your info of the public liked Colorado today? cause from the odds i saw about 58% were playing AZ. Is my source wrong? or do you have a more reliable source
key where are you getting your info of the public liked Colorado today? cause from the odds i saw about 58% were playing AZ. Is my source wrong? or do you have a more reliable source
That one changed radically. The overnite money came in on the Rockies (59%) and drove the line down to a very favorable number for us, but if you remember the post I said "get it before the smart money wakes up" and that is what happened. The final tally was 53-47 Arizona, so depending on what time of day you looked your number could be very accurate.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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Quote Originally Posted by ihavenopatience:
key where are you getting your info of the public liked Colorado today? cause from the odds i saw about 58% were playing AZ. Is my source wrong? or do you have a more reliable source
That one changed radically. The overnite money came in on the Rockies (59%) and drove the line down to a very favorable number for us, but if you remember the post I said "get it before the smart money wakes up" and that is what happened. The final tally was 53-47 Arizona, so depending on what time of day you looked your number could be very accurate.
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