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If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
4.02.2013, 3.0, +20.75 Units, +138.3% ROI
YTD – 6-5-2, +10.56 Units, +21.1% ROI
9 Innings – 4/03/13 ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays today are 5 units, per my strategy, 5 inning plays after the lines open
Cubs (+123) (Jackson / Rodriguez)
God bless the general public for distorting lines away from true probability. Both of these teams suck and a bad team that hasn’t won a game should not be laying the juice. Add to that the general dislike of Edwin Jackson (undeserved), and they push it up even further. You don’t win them all and I may not win this one, but at least I am on the right side.
Angels (+116) (Wilson / Latos)
I have to play the sticks here again as I expect the Angels to be one of the top offensive teams in baseball and Wilson can go head to head with Latos on any given day.
Orioles (+127) (Chen / Hellickson)
If you catch a high probability dog right out of the gate it is possible to ride them like a cheap hooker, at least until the public catches up. Hellickson is tough, but so is Price and the Orioles didn’t have to beat the bullpen in that one, did they?
Mariners (+134) (Saunders / Milone)
My season assessment put the Angels and Mariners 1 & 2 this year in MLB’s best division and I have seen no reason to change that opinion. Catching both as dogs, and on the same day no less, is a grand opportunity. No doubt more than one person on the board will fall back on the old “won’t get swept at home” theory, but anything can and does happen in baseball. The A’s are 0-2 and have scored 1 run in 18 innings, so, should they be a favorite at all, until they prove they can beat someone?
BOL
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