Money Ball 4.07.2013

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922

If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.

MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI

MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI 

MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units

4.05.2013, 1-4-1, -13.9 Units, -46.3% ROI

YTD – 9-18-4, -35.34 Units, -22.8% ROI

9 Innings – 4/05/13 ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays

All plays today are 5 units, per my strategy, 5 inning plays after the lines open

Mariners F5 (RL) -1/2 (+105) (RL) 9 -1.5  (+120) (Hernandez / Axelrod)

Felix? With one of the best offenses in MLB behind him? Versus a late 5^th choice to replace Danks? Yeah, I will lay the run line on that. Give me a side of fries with that and a tall, cold frosty one to wash it all down.

That will be all early but I will probably (for better or worse, lol) be back with more.

BOL

Love the M's Today

Best of Luck brother

Pirates-Dodgers UNDER 3, F5 (-125) (Burnett / Kershaw)

Pirates-Dodgers UNDER 6, Full game (-105) (Burnett / Kershaw)

If the Pirates were invited to a masquerade party they would not even have to change out of their uniforms, they could just pretend to be a major league baseball team. These inept clowns have scored a whopping 2 runs in 4 games versus the starters they have seen and have an offensive era of 0.71 (that is per 9 innings sports fans) versus the 4 starters they have faced. They even managed to get shut out at home by the very average Travis Wood, the only lefty they have seen so far this year. Now the competition gets even tougher with Kershaw on the hill. This may be one of the best shots a pitcher ever has at a perfect game. So, where are you going to get runs in this game? By game time it should be cool and cloudy in Dodger Stadium with only a slight breeze out to right, slightly helpful to the Dodgers versus the right handed Burnett, but no help at all to the Pirates versus the lefty Kershaw. Anything less than a shutout by Kershaw would be disappointing. Two earned runs by the Pirates would be disgusting. As for the Dodgers, Burnett was very good last year and got off to a pretty good start this year, striking out 10 in 5.2 innings, although I will grant you it was the Cubs, which also does not indicate a “big league” challenge. Just the same, with the Dodgers having scored 3 earned runs in 24 innings by 4 starters, for a whopping 1.13 offensive era, they don’t look like giants killers either. The two righties they faced threw 11 innings of shutout ball at them in their own park. I know the juice is heavy on that first five play but it is unlikely either team will score at all. You prop players ought to play “no score first inning” on this one.   

BOL

The Mariners