Money Ball 5-21-2015

$214 Diamondbacks, +127 (Bradley/Latos)

BOL

Full update later, I have to go out, short on time.

bol key

5-20

$214 Brewers, +136 (Lohse/Greene) L

$214 Phillies, +116 (Gonzalez/Butler) W

YTD 42-36, +$2,129.67 (+13.38% RoR)

5-21

$214 Diamondbacks, +127 (Bradley/Latos) W

$214 Rangers, +149 (Rodriguez/Bucholz)

BOL

Diamondbacks: The thread contains a lot of theory on how and why I landed on this pick. Most of it is conventional thinking or popular speculation but none of it is very close. I do things in an unconventional manner and occasionally I get a chance to write it up, but sometimes not, then the speculation begins. No harm done, no offense, no foul, but when the write up is not there no one is likely to be close to all the extensive reasons that led me to forsake conventional wisdom for the true probability and risk-reward ratio I played for.

Rangers: The Red Sox are not the power most folks expected them to be, but two things I told the hot stove crowd in here last winter are playing out. The offense is not a monster regardless of who was added, and the starting pitching sux. Bucholz is a major part of the problem, and two outstanding performances in an eight game stretch does vault him into any elite category. He is a perfect fit for his team, a slightly below average pitcher on a slightly below average team. Said team should not be laying -159 which requires a win probability of at least 61.4% even before you start thinking about turning a profit.

BOL  

Diamondbacks: The thread contains a lot of theory on how and why I landed on this pick. Most of it is conventional thinking or popular speculation but none of it is very close. I do things in an unconventional manner and occasionally I get a chance to write it up, but sometimes not, then the speculation begins. No harm done, no offense, no foul, but when the write up is not there no one is likely to be close to all the extensive reasons that led me to forsake conventional wisdom for the true probability and risk-reward ratio I played for.

Please don't give them so much credit..we need the public to stay strong!