Money Ball 5-30-2015

5-29

$242 Twins, -108 (Buehrle/May) L

$242 Angels, -105 (Sanchez/Santiago) W

$242 Indians, -102 (Bauer/Walker) L

YTD 58-42, +$4,818.25 (+22.94% RoR)

$242 Reds, +116 (Gonzalez/Iglesias)

$242 Marlins, +127 (Koehler/Niese)

$242 Rangers, +114 (Miley/Klein)

$242 Indians, +115 (Marcum/Elias)

BOL

The big news today: Is that for the next two weeks the wife and I will be traveling. I should have Internet service at most times but it will be sporadic. Since this is a vacation the posting may not be done early, and the write ups may have to suffer as well. Unless my work is complete and I have full confidence in the plays I will not play or post at all.

Reds: In my opinion a combination of small factors gives the Reds a 55% win probability and with a +116 dog only 46.3% is required. That is a nice edge even though there are none of the factors worth writing about.

Marlins: In this one I am willing to fade Niese as he has not really shown anything yet this year and is only 3-6 for quality starts. Swinging at lefties has been good for the Marlins, who hold a 5-3 record in that category.

Rangers: Another case of the Red Sox being over valued and I have stopped wondering how long that will last. If it lasts all season BoSox faders will cash more tickets than they will tear up. That is the bottom line. With the BoSox 12-15 on the road and Miley looking like a very average pitcher and with the Rangers offense now showing signs of life, I don’t think we have anything to fear here.

Indians: Marcum should be able to hold his own here and I expect to see some of the offense we were definitely lacking last night. The Indians have been punching lefties well lately, winning 4 of their last 5 and 7 of their last 10. Beating lefties was the only edge that put them in the wild card game in 2013 and they may try that method again.