Mets, F5, +102 (deGrom / Wood)
Mets, FG, +109 (deGrom / Wood)
BOL
Anyone that follows MLB knows both clubs are usually pretty weak, with the Mets at .475 and the Cubs at .393 overall. But, the Mets are 15-14 on the road and the Cubs 12-13 at home, so any perceived HFA would seem to be irrelevant. What bettors may be missing is that the Mets are 6-6 vs. lefty and the Cubs 6-5. So what? Well, only the Mets are facing a lefty tonight an the Cubs are facing a righty, where their record dips to 16-29, .356. That is quite a drop off and is further supported by their drop in oera productivity from 5.20 to 3.30. In his short career DeGrom has been almost flawless at 3-1 h2h and 4-0 in quality starts. The loss in h2h is acceptable because at 4-0 qs we see that he did not perform badly, the other guy just had an even better outing. Wood comes in at 7-4 and 6-5, both also acceptable, but the extra win over quality start means he was saved by his offense on a day he was not particularly good. The best effectiveness comparison is the overall rating and quality starts. DeGrom 73.3, 4-0. Wood 64.6, 6-5. Given the offensive advantage already noted as well I have to back the underdog here.
Mets, F5, +102 (deGrom / Wood)
Mets, FG, +109 (deGrom / Wood)
BOL
Anyone that follows MLB knows both clubs are usually pretty weak, with the Mets at .475 and the Cubs at .393 overall. But, the Mets are 15-14 on the road and the Cubs 12-13 at home, so any perceived HFA would seem to be irrelevant. What bettors may be missing is that the Mets are 6-6 vs. lefty and the Cubs 6-5. So what? Well, only the Mets are facing a lefty tonight an the Cubs are facing a righty, where their record dips to 16-29, .356. That is quite a drop off and is further supported by their drop in oera productivity from 5.20 to 3.30. In his short career DeGrom has been almost flawless at 3-1 h2h and 4-0 in quality starts. The loss in h2h is acceptable because at 4-0 qs we see that he did not perform badly, the other guy just had an even better outing. Wood comes in at 7-4 and 6-5, both also acceptable, but the extra win over quality start means he was saved by his offense on a day he was not particularly good. The best effectiveness comparison is the overall rating and quality starts. DeGrom 73.3, 4-0. Wood 64.6, 6-5. Given the offensive advantage already noted as well I have to back the underdog here.
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