6-16
$384 Royals -1.5, +157, (Young/Garza) W
YTD 75-50, +$8,288.42 (+28.04% RoR)
6-17
$384 Astros -105, (Oberholtzer/Kendrick) – posted last night
$414 Pirates -108, (Locke/Danks)
BOL
Astros (As posted last night): I will probably never regret calling the Rockies brain trust stupid for signing Kyle Kendrick to a three year deal last winter. He has done nothing but prove me right and is now 2-11 in h2h competition with his opposite number. Brett Oberholtzer is only around average in my skills rankings right now but even that is worth 67 cents versus Kendrick on the betting line. The Astros offense also has heated up recently and they are no longer dependent on great pitching performances from Keuchel and McHugh. -105 requires a win probability of 51.2%, but I compute the Astros probability at 69.4%. Tonight’s results are not yet in of course so I will play this one early at today’s risk amount, $384.
Pirates: I not only get another chance to fade Jon Danks (4-8 quality starts) but the ChiSox offer up MLB’s worst offense versus left handed starters. These guys could help remind us of what Jeff Locke looked like a couple years ago when he made the All Star team. These jokers are just 4-7 and producing a pathetic 1.6 offensive earned runs per 9 versus those 11 lefty starters. In only 11 games they have already been shut out by the lefty starter 5 times.
,
.6 stars.
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