6-18
$452 Rays -127, (Archer/Fister) W
$452 Pirates -1.5, +130, (Cole/Samardzija) L
YTD 78-51, +$8,941.37 (+28.6% RoR)
6-19
$447 Red Sox +117, (Rodriguez/Pino) / play to even money +100
$447 Cubs +102, (Hendricks/Hughes) / play to -110
$447 Astros -121, (McCullers/Elias) / play to -140
BOL
Red Sox: I admit I should have been hard at work last night coming up with this play because the line was much better, but that does not mean it is weak play. I wish I had more background on Pino, but I have plenty on Rodriguez and this kid looks like the real deal. Another factor that may escape the attention of bettors is that the Royals look hot, having swept 4 straight from the Brewers, which is impressive regardless of how bad the Brewers look. The problem is they faced 4 straight righties and now face a solid lefty. They are 10-10 on the season but have dropped 4 straight in that category and have produced only 4 earned runs in 25.2 innings. That is a paltry 1.4 offensive era.
Cubs: I believe I faded Phil Hughes sometime in the recent past and pointed out how badly he is fairing this year as opposed to last. He is now 3-10 for quality starts and 2 of those were early in the season. Hendricks performs quietly for the Cubs but is earning his paycheck and has turned in 3 quality starts in his last 5 outings. The Cubs are also hitting righty much better than the Twins recently and probably should not be the dog in this game.
Astros: Even as a road favorite I do not believe the betting public has fully accepted the success of the Astros, which is no longer just a nice start to the season. They undervalue the McCullers/Elias matchup and seem to disregard the Astros obvious offensive superiority. I made the line Astros -151 so it is certainly playable at -121.
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