Money Ball 7-01-2014

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3-30 Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

6-30, 1-0, +238.70

Cubs, F5, +110 (Arrieta / Peavy) W

7-01 Bankroll $11,164.01 (RoR +2.6%) YTD 97-91-22 (51.6%)

All plays today are $223.00

Rays, F5, -119 (Price / Kuroda)

Mets, F5, +157 (Matsuzaka / Minor)

Cubs, F5, +155 (Jackson / Bucholz)

Royals, F5, -122 (Shields / Nolasco)

Mariners, F5, -120 (Iwakuma / Cosart)

BOL

Write ups later. Gotta go.

Bettors are taking CLV because the Dodgers are 7-8 in Beckett starts this year.The Indians have a winning record with Masterson starting this year 9-8.Beckett has no upside now,while Masterson has only room to improve.The other favs with losing records with their starters today are CIN and ATL.

It'll be interesting to see how your first three pitchers on losing teams fare against your last three winning pitchers on winning teams.

GL

Rays: On any given day any given thing can happen, that is why they call it gambling, but; at this time Price is his usual dominant self with a 15-2 quality start record and 7 straight that average 77.6, far above the Mendoza line of 66.7. Kuroda at 8-8 and 66.0 is a little below the line and his offense comes up a bit light itself with only 6 quality performances in their last 15 versus lefty and a 3.00 oera. The Rays look a little better at 9-6 and 3.6 versus righty.

Mets: The one offensive strong suit the Mets carry is an ability to hit and score on lefties. They beat Wood in 5 innings last night and I should have had that game. I will not pass this one as Minor is not as good as Wood and the Mets are now averaging 5.3 earned runs per 9 versus lefty.

Cubs: Two teams headed in opposite directions. Jackson is a guy bettors love to hate and they will back Bucholz (who stinks) and an offense (that stinks) versus anyone with the mighty Red Sox “at home” which we all know is the safest and surest betting angle of all, right?  

Royals: Nolasco was wasted money by the Twins and I said so right here last winter while some of you guys were busy with foots and buckets. He was signed for only one reason, he was affordable and the Twins have no intention of parting with any serious money for pitchers as they wait for their own to develop. They may have caught lightening in a bottle with Hughes but Nolasco was of no more interest to the Dodgers and they have a pitchers park in the national League. This may be the end of the road for Ricky, whom I admired in years past, but who today is no match for Shields and the Royals offense, currently the most productive in MLB versus right handed starters.

Mariners: Cosart is coming along very nicely and will be a solid part of the Astros future, but Iwakuma has arrived and has a far better offense behind him in a righty-righty match up. Remember that because the Astros versus lefty is where you can currently make some money with the long dog.

Dodgers: The Indians best bet in this series was Kluber versus Haren but they blew the opportunity by making the struggling Dan Haren look like a right handed Clayton Kershaw. Masterson-Beckett is no contest in their current form and the Dodgers are even hitting a little better than the Tribe at this time. I do not know where the money came from to drive the line down but I thank whoever did it. I had Beckett -200 this morning and felt that was a fair line.  

Saw that Cle drop. goin against a contending team playin well at home? (s - - t that makes ya go, hmmmm)   

If ya got time, what do your stats say about:

Cincy/SD? I just cant see betting on SD with that terrible offense.

STL/SF? Timmy fresh off the no-no and STL looked like crap the entire LA series....smells of a redbird victory

Angels/Sox? I dont think anyone really wants to back the WS, which is why they probably win both games today

Like your card today.