Money Ball 7-18-2014

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3-30 Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

7-13, 2-2, -121.08

Mets, F5, -143 (Hand / deGrom) W

Royals, F5, +116 (Verlander / Chen) L

Astros, F5, +130 (Bucholz / Cosart) L

Orioles, F5, -142 (Whitley / Gausman) W

7-18 Bankroll $10,032.95 (RoR .01%) YTD 110-109-27 (50.2%)

All plays today are $201.00

Rockies, F5, +135 (De La Rosa / Liriano)

Royals, FG, +114 (Shields / Bucholz)

White Sox, F5, -157 (Feldman / Quintana)

BOL

Rockies: As bad as he is I have De La Rosa as the “Top Gun” of the Rockies at this time, and Liriano as very, very shaky in reliability. This is the Rockies best shot at taking one in this weekend series and they should come out of the break ready to play. I am only asking 5 innings, then they can go back to arguing with the D-backs over who is going to finish 5^th in the division.  

Royals: So, Bucholz has one good outing for the entire season and he and the Red Sox are back, right? Well, the Sox offense stinks and Bucholz had his one great shot versus the Astros, one of the worst righty hitting teams in MLB. The advantage in going 9 innings here is not only a slightly higher payout than F5, but also that I do not want a push. If it comes down to bullpens versus offenses I still want the Royals.

White Sox: Thanks to a little success the Astros have now become sort of a Chic pick. Plenty of folks are ready to tell you they saw it coming but I am the one that started making money on them two months ago, when one of our thread contributors called them “a shitbox team”. Sharper bettors have caught up and also realize the Astros forte is hitting against left handed pitching, which they are tonight, BUT; there are currently only 5 better lefties than Quintana in all of MLB and the only one they have beaten was Price (3-1), on a night the Rays couldn’t score on Cosart, which also, by coincidence, was Cosart’s best start of the year. I do not see the White Sox having that kind of trouble with Feldman. Better offense, weaker pitcher. If you are a Feldman fan I will tell you this: He is as available as a guy can get, but you won’t see any of the contenders beating a path to the Astros door to acquire him. He has come to the point in his career where people are renting him on a temporary basis and that is as true of the Astros as anyone else. They have more and better on the way and if they continue developing and the Rangers get healthy the A.L. West could remain the best division in baseball for a long time. 

hope you do well as always, Key

Was Baltimore a winner since it didn't go 8.5 innings? It was for a full game bet, but not a 5 inning bet.