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Money Ball 7-27-2015

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Posted: #1

7-26

$435 White Sox +143, Rodon (6-6) / Salazar (13-4) W

$435 Reds +112, Lorenzen (6-7) / Kendrick (5-14) L

YTD 107-78 (57.84%), +$10,078.24 (+18.58% RoR)

(11-10 = 63.1%) à for the football-basketball mentality

7-27

$439 Giants -161, Heston (11-8) / Lohse (5-15)

Giants: Play to -300: Any team that gets shut out two days in a row by Rubby De La Rosa and Jeremy Hellickson is definitely in an offensive slump. It does not help to change cities and throw a very weak Kyle Lohse at an offense currently boasting a projected 7.3 earned runs per 9.

Only play of the day.  BOL

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
BOL KEY!!
 
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Posted: #3
Nice ! Thanks
 
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Posted: #4
Bol on your play, but don't you think -150+ is too much juice for a young blood. This is the same Giants team that was relying on Bummy's homer the  other day. I strongly believe the Rockies play is safer, cost efficient, and less nerve racking. 
 
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Posted: #5
Thanks Key. Waiting patiently for chapter 2
:)
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by scrdDNTmkLOOT:

Bol on your play, but don't you think -150+ is too much juice for a young blood. This is the same Giants team that was relying on Bummy's homer the  other day. I strongly believe the Rockies play is safer, cost efficient, and less nerve racking. 
At a very successful 19 major league starts, no, I don't think -150+ is too much for the young blood to carry considering the quality of his opposition. His opposite number, Lohse, can't get the ball by anybody this year and faces a run producing offense, as opposed to his own, which has been shut out their last 20 innings versus right handed starters (none of the three in Heston's class). As for cost efficiency, that is comparable to RoR, and always lies with the winner. The Rockies may have a nice bonus attached today but they have to win to collect on it. I don't think that is a given and the win probability on the Giants is far higher. 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

At a very successful 19 major league starts, no, I don't think -150+ is too much for the young blood to carry considering the quality of his opposition. His opposite number, Lohse, can't get the ball by anybody this year and faces a run producing offense, as opposed to his own, which has been shut out their last 20 innings versus right handed starters (none of the three in Heston's class). As for cost efficiency, that is comparable to RoR, and always lies with the winner. The Rockies may have a nice bonus attached today but they have to win to collect on it. I don't think that is a given and the win probability on the Giants is far higher. 


 
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Posted: #8
Thx Key! GL
 
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Posted: #9
Thanks Key
 
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Posted: #10
GL
 
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Posted: #11
GL Key 
 
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Posted: #12
Hi Key,

Mind if we discuss some futures plays (if you're into that sort of thing)?

I can create another thread or we can discuss in here, but it's about that time where you can get excellent odds and the end is near.

Cheers & BOL!
 
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Posted: #13
Let's get it key
 
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Posted: #14
Hey key. Love this thread. Just got -161 exactly. Thoughts on -.5 1five -120?
 
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Posted: #15
GL
 
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Posted: #16
In July
MIL 12-8 .289 ba
S.F.12-8 .291 ba

Will be watching to see if the easiest looking bet wins tonight.
The Giants just swept the pathetic A's who are batting just .236 in July.
The point is that you just can't fade bad pitchers and expect to win everytime.
 
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Posted: #17
Been following Key for years never comment on his posts But I finally get the great pleasure of meeting him tomorrow. 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by SocrAndrew7:

Hi Key,

Mind if we discuss some futures plays (if you're into that sort of thing)?

I can create another thread or we can discuss in here, but it's about that time where you can get excellent odds and the end is near.

Cheers & BOL!
I think a new thread would be best. Some folks at Covers will not respond to a thread with my moniker on it and the subject is unique. If you will start it I may have a contribution later.


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by NJ2LV88:

Hey key. Love this thread. Just got -161 exactly. Thoughts on -.5 1five -120?
I could live with that except for my objection to laying runs and odds both in baseball. I am not down on that play though, so BOL if you make it.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

In July
MIL 12-8 .289 ba
S.F.12-8 .291 ba

Will be watching to see if the easiest looking bet wins tonight.
The Giants just swept the pathetic A's who are batting just .236 in July.
The point is that you just can't fade bad pitchers and expect to win everytime.
Scorpio, I just don't see the point in showing up every two or three weeks with some extremely shallow research to take a contrarian opinion to someone that works far harder (and more successfully) at this than you.
 
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #21
BOL Key 
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by GianG13:

Been following Key for years never comment on his posts But I finally get the great pleasure of meeting him tomorrow. 
Just a couple of things regarding that. First of all, no cameras! Secondly, you must limit truthful reporting to the facts that I am old, short, bald, fat, ugly and wear dentures and glasses. Anything else is off limits.


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Scorpio, I just don't see the point in showing up every two or three weeks with some extremely shallow research to take a contrarian opinion to someone that works far harder (and more successfully) at this than you.
 
You've been spinning your wheels the last 40 days and this thread is at a standstill.Now you've become lazy and desperate with this Giants pick.Why don't you tell your monkey's that Lohse has given up 2-4-3-2 in his last four road starts,not the gas can you've advertised.I'm sorry that i have a job and don't have the time to hang on this site like you do.This thread should be growing at a greater rate with all the time and energy you've put in it.All i see is you flipping the same quarter you were a month ago.
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Quote Originally Posted by GianG13:


Been following Key for years never comment on his posts But I finally get the great pleasure of meeting him tomorrow. 
Just a couple of things regarding that. First of all, no cameras! Secondly, you must limit truthful reporting to the facts that I am old, short, bald, fat, ugly and wear dentures and glasses. Anything else is off limits.

Hey Key, I can help get rid of those dentures! Lol and Ty kindly sir!!!
 
 
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Posted: #25
Key this is off topic...but any thoughts on that Cleveland line. I'm not betting it, but as a degenerate it fascinates me. Thanks for any insights
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