Money Ball 7.02

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If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.

MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI

MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI 

MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units

7.01.2013, 0-0, +/-0- 0 Units, +/-  0% ROI

YTD – 142-153-28, +40.54 Units, +2.77% ROI

5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays

All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted

Today’s comment: Yes, my disastrous 2-8 Friday, Saturday, and Sunday is included in the record. You don’t believe me, audit it. Move on.  

Twins F5, -113 (Hughes / Deduno)

The people have gotten so accustomed to the Yankees dominating the Twins it has almost become an automatic play. Yesterday’s win makes it 14-6 the last 20 and 1-0 so far this year. But I wonder how many folks noticed that with all the media BS about Andy Pettitte achieving another milestone, neither the Yankees nor Pettitte real had a great evening. Pettitte went 5 and surrendered 4 earned runs versus Diamond’s 7 and 2 and was clearly outclassed, as was his offense for the first 7. The public has jumped the Yankees bandwagon again, even with another clear mismatch awaiting. They are just 5-10 when Hughes takes the ball and 3-4 on the road. The Twins counter with Deduno who may be a little undervalued here. They are 4-3 with him overall and 3-0 at home. They also have the better matchup offense, home field and slightly higher strength of schedule. I tried to be patient and let the full game bettors drive the line down some more, but 5 inning bettors are not fooled, so it probably is not going to get any better.   

White Sox F5, +105 (Hammel / Danks)

I don’t know whether to be surprised or not that bettors are still backing Hammel like he is suddenly going to become the Messiah he was last year. All of his skill set numbers have declined and the Orioles have achieved a 9-7 record in his starts thanks to 6 runs per game of support. That may not happen tonight with a resurrected Jon Danks, 2.11 era at home, as the opposition, with an offense behind him that has turned it more than a notch lately. The O’s did not get to Sabathia until the 6^th, which is no concern of ours, and were shut out for 7 by Kazmir. Those are heir only two outings versus lefties in the last two weeks, both at home, and neither impressive.  

BOL

Like the Twinkies also. But prefer the over since they will compete.

Balty will have their hands full, but still agree with most that it's their game to win or lose. Chisox are making some weird boneheaded plays every day seems like to lose games. None worse than the dropped pop fly , I think vs the Mutts. They and the Astros have enough to compete every night, but the errors are mind boggling.

The auditors around here think they are tough sob's but I think they need new pencils and calculators.

bol!