it's obvious you don't understand what value investing means Jules.
I think he does. With a 79.9% win probability -258 is darn cheap, thereby offering value. The -212 on the Cubs at the time I called my shot offered no value with a 68% win probability, and had to drop to a very minimum of -180 to offer even a 3.7% EV. Remedial math anyone?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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Quote Originally Posted by Alien-1:
it's obvious you don't understand what value investing means Jules.
I think he does. With a 79.9% win probability -258 is darn cheap, thereby offering value. The -212 on the Cubs at the time I called my shot offered no value with a 68% win probability, and had to drop to a very minimum of -180 to offer even a 3.7% EV. Remedial math anyone?
"suto" Amazing how many spelling errors this idiot makes when he has auto-correct right there on his phone. Alien, it appears that sports betting concepts and investments might be a little too much for your tiny bird brain to understand seeing as how you contribute little to nothing to this forum with you inane babbling on a constant basis.
You're so quick to harp on another player's plays when you have no documented record, provide no analysis for your garbage plays, and use stupid rating systems like "2**s" and "5*" plays but don't even keep track of your silly stars. It's cute that you believe every bet needs to be -110 or greater odds in order for you to make a profit but an experienced and knowledgeable bettor knows how to recognize line value even at -280 or -340. Are you telling me that if the Miami Marlins were playing the UNC Tarheels and lined at (-350) you wouldn't unload you house on the Marlins?
hey listen up little man.
go back and read what I've posted about key in the past.......ive NEVER EVER EVER harped on keys plays, as a matter of fact I don't care what he plays.....couldn't care less. first time I ever said a peep about his plays was yesterday...playing -250 faves will get in trouble eventually.
I've been commenting on keys bs theories and analytical derivitives. NEVER EVER bashed him on his plays......EVER
BTW...each star represents $1000.00.........I just don't feel the need to impress people here with dollar amounts. I very rarely offer write ups because i'm not trying to influence or persuade anyone to choose a certain play. I post here for my own documentation.
you have no idea who you are talking to so,,,,,,,,please stop before you embarrass yourself
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Quote Originally Posted by TreesWithKnees:
"suto" Amazing how many spelling errors this idiot makes when he has auto-correct right there on his phone. Alien, it appears that sports betting concepts and investments might be a little too much for your tiny bird brain to understand seeing as how you contribute little to nothing to this forum with you inane babbling on a constant basis.
You're so quick to harp on another player's plays when you have no documented record, provide no analysis for your garbage plays, and use stupid rating systems like "2**s" and "5*" plays but don't even keep track of your silly stars. It's cute that you believe every bet needs to be -110 or greater odds in order for you to make a profit but an experienced and knowledgeable bettor knows how to recognize line value even at -280 or -340. Are you telling me that if the Miami Marlins were playing the UNC Tarheels and lined at (-350) you wouldn't unload you house on the Marlins?
hey listen up little man.
go back and read what I've posted about key in the past.......ive NEVER EVER EVER harped on keys plays, as a matter of fact I don't care what he plays.....couldn't care less. first time I ever said a peep about his plays was yesterday...playing -250 faves will get in trouble eventually.
I've been commenting on keys bs theories and analytical derivitives. NEVER EVER bashed him on his plays......EVER
BTW...each star represents $1000.00.........I just don't feel the need to impress people here with dollar amounts. I very rarely offer write ups because i'm not trying to influence or persuade anyone to choose a certain play. I post here for my own documentation.
you have no idea who you are talking to so,,,,,,,,please stop before you embarrass yourself
I think he does. With a 79.9% win probability -258 is darn cheap, thereby offering value. The -212 on the Cubs at the time I called my shot offered no value with a 68% win probability, and had to drop to a very minimum of -180 to offer even a 3.7% EV. Remedial math anyone?
79.9%?? using who's math genius?
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
I think he does. With a 79.9% win probability -258 is darn cheap, thereby offering value. The -212 on the Cubs at the time I called my shot offered no value with a 68% win probability, and had to drop to a very minimum of -180 to offer even a 3.7% EV. Remedial math anyone?
There are just a few people I pay close attention to before I make my mlb bets and Key Element is one of them. I just want to say I really appreciate your picks and especially your analysis. It saddens me that Covers has so many trolling idiots that drive away the best cappers when they go on a normal and completely predictable streak where they lose more than they win.
Keep up the good work Key, none of these people giving you crap could ever in a million years be winning at 56% after making the number of picks this year that you have. The real cappers explain their picks using complex multi factored analysis but the fools rant and complain because they are idiot gamblers who of course lose consistently.
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There are just a few people I pay close attention to before I make my mlb bets and Key Element is one of them. I just want to say I really appreciate your picks and especially your analysis. It saddens me that Covers has so many trolling idiots that drive away the best cappers when they go on a normal and completely predictable streak where they lose more than they win.
Keep up the good work Key, none of these people giving you crap could ever in a million years be winning at 56% after making the number of picks this year that you have. The real cappers explain their picks using complex multi factored analysis but the fools rant and complain because they are idiot gamblers who of course lose consistently.
hey key you wanna talk head to head.............im all for it.
I own a mutli million dollar business, I'm a certified financial advisor and am a professional sports bettor. My tax return states that(professional gambler) I just don't spew bu l l s h I t to try and appear sophisticated and intellectual.
lets talk money and numbers bro
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hey key you wanna talk head to head.............im all for it.
I own a mutli million dollar business, I'm a certified financial advisor and am a professional sports bettor. My tax return states that(professional gambler) I just don't spew bu l l s h I t to try and appear sophisticated and intellectual.
I hardly ever post anything, but reading this, I simply can't stand by and not speak my mind.
Key, please do not respond to these critiques that are determined to see you fail. By responding you validate their existence, which is obviously a useless one.
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I hardly ever post anything, but reading this, I simply can't stand by and not speak my mind.
Key, please do not respond to these critiques that are determined to see you fail. By responding you validate their existence, which is obviously a useless one.
I hardly ever post anything, but reading this, I simply can't stand by and not speak my mind.
Key, please do not respond to these critiques that are determined to see you fail. By responding you validate their existence, which is obviously a useless one.
i'm certainly not determined to see key fail......as a matter of fact I have ZERO interest if he's successful or not.
I bring up issue with keys comments(some of which are absurd)....that's all.
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Quote Originally Posted by lazylover:
I hardly ever post anything, but reading this, I simply can't stand by and not speak my mind.
Key, please do not respond to these critiques that are determined to see you fail. By responding you validate their existence, which is obviously a useless one.
i'm certainly not determined to see key fail......as a matter of fact I have ZERO interest if he's successful or not.
I bring up issue with keys comments(some of which are absurd)....that's all.
for those of you who don't know what convoluted means.........."Something that's too puzzling or unnecessarily confusing. Like saying something that should be direct but in a totally indirect and long drawn way"
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for those of you who don't know what convoluted means.........."Something that's too puzzling or unnecessarily confusing. Like saying something that should be direct but in a totally indirect and long drawn way"
damn did someone hack Alien's account? this dude used to just post plays and stfu. now all of a sudden he's all up in his feelings like some scorned ex-b!tch. what happened to you bro? something you need to get off your chest? did Key fuk your b!tch or something?
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damn did someone hack Alien's account? this dude used to just post plays and stfu. now all of a sudden he's all up in his feelings like some scorned ex-b!tch. what happened to you bro? something you need to get off your chest? did Key fuk your b!tch or something?
hey key you wanna talk head to head.............im all for it.
I own a mutli million dollar business, I'm a certified financial advisor and am a professional sports bettor. My tax return states that(professional gambler) I just don't spew bu l l s h I t to try and appear sophisticated and intellectual.
lets talk money and numbers bro
maaaaaan gtfoh with this bs! you claim you have all of this going for you yet you have time to login to some gambling forum to bash someone actually winning and trying to help others? now i know you have to be trolling. what a clown!
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Quote Originally Posted by Alien-1:
hey key you wanna talk head to head.............im all for it.
I own a mutli million dollar business, I'm a certified financial advisor and am a professional sports bettor. My tax return states that(professional gambler) I just don't spew bu l l s h I t to try and appear sophisticated and intellectual.
lets talk money and numbers bro
maaaaaan gtfoh with this bs! you claim you have all of this going for you yet you have time to login to some gambling forum to bash someone actually winning and trying to help others? now i know you have to be trolling. what a clown!
Guess Kokkinakis banged your girlfriend too huh Alien? Was this before or after you went bike riding for 100 miles with Paul Bunyan or after your went jet skiing with Richard Branson on your yacht?
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Guess Kokkinakis banged your girlfriend too huh Alien? Was this before or after you went bike riding for 100 miles with Paul Bunyan or after your went jet skiing with Richard Branson on your yacht?
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