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Money Ball 9-01-2014

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Posted: #1

3-30 Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

8-28, 0-1, - $139.00

8-29 Bankroll $6,808.17 (RoR -4.8%) YTD 134-155-35 (46.4%)

All plays today are $136.00 All Plays Today Are Full Game

Phillies, +132 (Hamels / Teheran)

Tigers-Indians, Under 7, -120 (Price / Kluber)

Mariners, +125 (Young / Hammel)

Nationals, -112 (Gonzalez / Hernandez)

BOL





Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
Nat's Gio has to win sum time right?

bol KE
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by moho:

Nat's Gio has to win sum time right?

bol KE
That is part of it but the fact is he is better than Hernandez on any given day anyway and the Nationals have the best versus-righty offense in the National League right now, 9 of last 15 quality performances and an offensive era of 5 runs per 9 in those games. Dodgers just 7 of 15 versus lefty at 3.6 oera.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #4
GL KEY....

Lets make September a great month....starts today....Indians gotta be short on sleep
 
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Legend
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Posted: #7

Really, really happy you are not a quitter Key.  It's been a tough stretch but there are still seven more weeks left of baseball.

Good to see you come out firing here on the First of the Month.

As always, GL


~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
 
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Posted: #8
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by KktdocT:


Not that it matters at all, but, I've been on covers for a couple years now and I've NEVER seen you type anything other than 
 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11
Thanks brother. Let's start September off with a bang! 
 
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Posted: #12
much respect man.  looks like you are having a tough season. 
99% of this site would bail on posts and ESPECIALLY bail on their record keeping if they were in your situation. 

Just know this, the REAL gamblers know that its tough to have a winning season, in every sport, every single year -and unless you are Billy Walters or something- its probably not gonna happen.  Best believe the REAL gamblers know that the people who keep their accurate records online are the ONLY ones you can really trust. PERIOD. Theres a reason why most don't keep a year long tally - its cause they don't want people to see the facts laid out in front of them - they attempt to deceive while counting on the tendency of gamblers to have selective memory - remembering a player for a win streak or a lucky parlay they hit big on.  Even worse, dudes on this site get fooled by false bravado. 

Cheers Key Element, and heres to a strong finish for you. 


 
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Posted: #13
GL today key
 
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Posted: #14
GL Key. You are a class act W or L. Gotta respect that
 
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Posted: #15
When is the last time Key Element had a winning day?  I think it's been over a month.

Any other picks today Mr. Key Element?
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by TopNotchKata:

GL Key. You are a class act W or L. Gotta respect that

What did he do to earn respect? He posted losing picks and costed his followers money.  You would be better off buying picks from the Covers Experts (who Key Element bashes). I can assure you that non of the Covers Experts lost as much as Key Element (this season and other seasons-take a look at his losing basketball record too!).

You throw around the word "respect" like he did something special.
 
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Posted: #17
Honest question:

Mr. Key Element, why do you bash the Covers Experts when they ALL have better baseball records then you?
 
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Posted: #18
^An interesting question.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by WinningDay:

Honest question:

Mr. Key Element, why do you bash the Covers Experts when they ALL have better baseball records then you?

I am not speaking for Key, but comparing records on one season of baseball doesn't mean much (to me). From what I understand, Key has had several good years leading up to this one and has his own approach to capping games. 

I wouldn't bash Covers Experts, but I also wouldn't buy picks from them when you can come across a plethora of handicapping advice for free. Find a few people who you like and compare their picks against your own. Plus, the game has changed quite a bit over the last few years and I suspect good cappers are going to find ways to adjust leading into 2015. 

Lastly, records are meaningless for the most part. What is most important is your return on the risk you take. If I had only bet the ML on games pitched by Kershaw, my record would be 18-4 (82% hit rate) but my return on risk would be less than 20% (200+ juice). You could return the same (on risk) with a 55% hit rate on a weighted average line of +115. Anything in the 3-5% is very good, in my view. North of 5% is exceptional.

Moral of the story: Key is a good capper, who is having a poor season. Enjoy the free advice and compliment it with other peoples' views. Don't buy picks.
 
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Posted: #20
BOL Bud
 
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Posted: #21
 
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Posted: #22
Another honest question:

How does Key Element "magically" get his bankroll back up to $10,000 at the start of each sport? If it's lost, it should stay lost until it is won back (that's what happens when you play with REAL money). It sounds like Key Element is just playing with fake/virtual money on the Covers forum.

He lost it on basketball, yet his bankroll automatically went back up to $10,000 for baseball. Now he lost on baseball, and it will automatically go back up to $10,000 for football.

Does anyone else on this forum play at a book at which your bankroll magically goes back up (after losing)?
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by WinningDay:

Another honest question:

How does Key Element "magically" get his bankroll back up to $10,000 at the start of each sport? If it's lost, it should stay lost until it is won back (that's what happens when you play with REAL money). It sounds like Key Element is just playing with fake/virtual money on the Covers forum.

He lost it on basketball, yet his bankroll automatically went back up to $10,000 for baseball. Now he lost on baseball, and it will automatically go back up to $10,000 for football.

Does anyone else on this forum play at a book at which your bankroll magically goes back up (after losing)?

Not sure what is odd about that. It allows his followers to delineate between his performance in X sport versus Y sport (just my guess, of course).

I only bet baseball. But, I plan on setting my accounts (I have multiple so i can shop lines) at a fixed value at the start of the MLB season next year (i.e., I will cash out and replenish the account when I plan on wagering again). 

Anyway, not my thread… just adding my 0.02. 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by WinningDay:

Another honest question:

How does Key Element "magically" get his bankroll back up to $10,000 at the start of each sport? If it's lost, it should stay lost until it is won back (that's what happens when you play with REAL money). It sounds like Key Element is just playing with fake/virtual money on the Covers forum.

He lost it on basketball, yet his bankroll automatically went back up to $10,000 for baseball. Now he lost on baseball, and it will automatically go back up to $10,000 for football.

Does anyone else on this forum play at a book at which your bankroll magically goes back up (after losing)?



Which SAF are you? 

Just because you don't have any money doesn't mean that other players don't.  And that they don't distribute it into the different betting seasons. 

KeyElement is around the Baseball Forum throughout the Winter and talks Hot Stove until Spring Training. 

Where were you during the off season discussions???


~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
 
 
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Posted: #25
Maybe he actually had other sources of income. Like a job. Seriously what is the point of any of your posts?
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