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NITRO'S (HIT THE NOS) SUNDAY PLAYS (69-38) +67.6 UNITS

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YTD  (69-38) +67.6 UNITS 

Yesterday- 26-11  +41.3 Units

finishing up handicapping first couple 1pm games in the national league will be back in 20 with plays
 
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Credit.

GL.

 

 
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T.O. SAID IT BEST  
 
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bol
 
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sorry guys my buddy stopped by to pay me from a couple of the bets i made with a local gonna get the first game up here in a cpl mins gonna hit the obvious ones first
 
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1st play

Cleveland -140   2.8 units to win 2

first off let me say if i didnt have a rule about not going more than 3. something units on a game i would play this for the 3 unit win. 1st things first I dont have to post any stats for you guys to know phillip coke is horrendous the guys has blown many plays for us this year already and i know i have seen all the vent posts about him and how people fade him. Put our ace on the mound against him at -140 im gonna pounce not to mention the hidden factors. The indians are actually starting to believe they belong where they are and that teams should now enter their field fearing them as opposed to the underdog team that just keeps pulling it out somehow. With a few comeback wins if there was ever a time to send a message of their dominance it is today shut em down for a 5-0 or so win  to say this is our field our year and we dictate what happens from here on out. if you want wins you gotta take em from us. I will not be playing the 1st inning in this game too scary with cabrera on the det side and  anyone on the tribe can hit homers. but what i will be playing when it comes out is either the indians team total if 4.5 or the H+R+E line becasue even with the indians powerful; lineup they could put 7 runs up and shut down detroit to still win this play.

2nd game to follow in only minutes...
 
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Angels -135   3.35  units to win 2.5

Jared Weaver I dont need to say more... but I will,Alex Cobb is 3-0 in durham with a 2.05 era but he told reporters he is nervous for his 1st start. I mean as a pitcher I know its already hard enough to know you are making your first start in a new place. But add in the factor of the angels sprinkled with some veteran hitters and players like bourjos and conger who keep you guessing with bunts and stolen bases? It is enough to keep you up all night. Then if you do sleep you have the worst nightmare... You are also facing the best pitcher in the league right now and all the talk about how the drays offense is spiking goes out the window. Cobb will be too worried about trying to pitch perfect so he can win a 1-0 game this never ends good take the angels here. No play on the total but 1st inning no score play and possible team total play on angels if at 3.5 check back for those.

play 3 coming up....
 
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Toronto/Yanks  O/10   2.4 units to win 2

day game in New York gotta play over especially with a 21 yr old on the mound vs feisty blue jays hitters I will say the jays better have 4 plated by the 6th tho if they are losing for this to have a chance. I played litsch against boston but he matched up very well against Bostons open stance hitters. With rodriguez back in the lineup this guy better not go inside the way he did against boston cuz these guys can turn on it without popping it up. Also ran the hot cold charts with jeter and granderson against litsch look for these guys to step it up and be big producers tom. with a cpl extra base hits and runs. If i play anything else here it will be a team total on one of the sides

next play coming up.....

 
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Baltimore/Chicago U/8.5     3.6 units to win 3

Let me just say I love this play. I was leaning towards the orioles as a slight underdog in this one with britton on the mound but even while trying to stay objective I dont want this to subconsciously become a homer pick instead I would rather take the under with Britton holding a .194 batting average against right handed hitters which makes sense this guy is a lefty with a cut fastball that has about an 8 inch sinking rotation if any of you watch the game tom. pay attention to how many ground balls are beat to shortstop and 3rd off of him. Another reason I didnt take the side play was He gets into a few jams in about the 4th and 5th I dont want this to be the day where sox capitalize for 4-5 runs in that inning and the orioles offense has a snoozer of a day like they are known to have. Instead take the under gavin floydd will give up a couple 2nd and 3rd time through but this game should land somewhere around 3-1 or 4-2

next play to follow....
 
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Minn/Kan. U/8.5       3.15 units to win 3

I swear I feel bad for anyone watching this game on tv I have a feeling this will be one of the most boring games you will ever watch... even with action on it. Yesterday I played under 9 and we had 5 runs total and 2 on errors even at that point. then justin drops and easy throw to let kc put the thing way over. So tonight they put better pitchers on the mound and it only drops .5 to 8.5? really easy play here hocheaver can pitch just not to the indians who whacked him for almost double digit runs in 2 outings that makes up most of his era and pavana pitches gems here and there just gotta pick em and tom. will be one. Kansas is just as bored playing minn as we are watching they will be lulled into hitting pavanos pitches that avoid sweet spots also pavano is 6-1 against kc and minn has only 11 home runs as a team and we all know most games without homeruns go way under play it here

next play to come....
 
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Cardinals -105  3.15 units to win 3

Gonna roll with garcia here hopefully he can keep his pitch count down because I hate hate the cards bullpen but i think the offense will breakout as they try and right the ship here and get back to the top of the central as they have gradually been on the upswing. With all of the off field crap going on with Lowe I dont think it will be much of a distraction if anything I can say from experience when stuff like this happens all you want to do  is get on the field and especially at home it is our escape no matter a dui shoplifting charge or problems on the homefront you just want to hit the field because you forget about things. I just see the braves struggling with garcia most of these guys have not had much experience with him and for some reason the braves always find a way to let lowe down defensively was thinking under here but will lay off as lowe has horrible stats against the cards and berkman personally. I will be playing no score in the 1st here tho and possibly an under team total on atlanta

stay tuned...
 
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GL...
 
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Giants -130      3.9 units to win 3

Gonna take cain hopefully he gets a little offense it is rough for pitchers to consistently stay in 2-0 ball games but giants have the better pen mix that with zimmermans poor performance against the giants and at the 5 inning mark of every game i will take the giants here huff should be back in and ready to rip some of those juicy zimmerman fastballs to right field. Not much info for this one just see  that the giants have the edge in every category except maybe stolen bases so im gonna roll with them. totals will be a no play but i will be on the nno score 1st zimmerman is always lights out first time through
 
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Red Sox +105    3 units to win 3.15

Red Sox RL +1.5 -150       3 UNITS TO WIN 2

Everyone on king felix but does anyone realize this guy is constantly pitching out of 2 men on jams? You might argue that he gets out of them but all it takes is one mistake against ortiz or pedroia with that short wall in right and hes blasted. You might argue the knuckleball getting ripped but if anything all those right handed hitters will bounce it off that monster in left i know i know doesnt sound too positive lol but truth of the matter is this young mariners team cant hit only guy that my charts show could do damage is olivo the rest wont know how to sit back on wakefield. My only concern  is stolen bases if the mariners get on they should be able to capitalize on wakefields slow pitches but I only see about 7 hits for the mariners tom. I doubt too many people tail me on this play but you should It is actually one of my stronger plays today
will only play team total if they give boston 3 but i highly doubt it will be that low im sure it will be 4 and if i play 1st inning it will be no score
 
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Brewers/Astros O/8.5     2 units to win 2

Ok this is a weird game and oddsmakers know it too statistically narveson is a terrible pitcher but he started the season great when the brew crew was struggling to give him run support. same with norris this guy has potential to be the next roger clemens if he gets his crap straightened up and goes to a diff ballpark but he consistently makes mistakes 2nd time through the lineup. Im gonna tell you right now this is not a strong strong play my chart and system only have this as a 57 percent play and all the outcomes come up with this either being another 2-1 game like last night or in the double digits. Im gonna bank on double digits with the short wall in left and houston has some speed so if narveson reverts back to his old self the stros will be at a track meet always ending up on 2nd
 
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Got some commonality in our picks - but hope you miss on a few though where we differ. In any case, very nice analysis - I read you along with Fishscale and Bodio.

Good luck today.

 
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, BOL
 
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Red Sox win  today !!!!
 
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not bad. i'll be on the TB +1.5.
-135 opening is soft for Weaver vs Cobb.

Indians are just unstoppable, but I might take a chance that Detroit starts hitting early on and wins this one

that Yankees OVER is money. Yankees will have 8-10 runs today alone

love the Red Sox of course. I have them posted as my Play of the Day
 
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BOL
 
 
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BOL
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