ive decided to experiment with these thinking it could be a money maker. Going back to the last 40 years games go to extra innings just over 9% of the time. My thinking is parlay 5 games to not go to extra innings out of the usual 10-15 games a night. parlays have gone 11-5 with a profit of $119 (with various bet amounts and number of games)
today $80/40
det vs boston
cinc vs sf
col vs balt
atl vs minny
oak vs texas
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
ive decided to experiment with these thinking it could be a money maker. Going back to the last 40 years games go to extra innings just over 9% of the time. My thinking is parlay 5 games to not go to extra innings out of the usual 10-15 games a night. parlays have gone 11-5 with a profit of $119 (with various bet amounts and number of games)
been doing it the past 2 weeks (not every single night.) Started off doing small parlays only risking $20 since I didn't know what to expect. Have since been increasing as it has had success. Out of all the picks in the parlays it has gone 77-6. Its pretty crazy all that needs to happen for these games to go to extras but sometimes you get unlucky like a 2 out homer in the bottom of the 9th to tie the game. From what ive seen if there are a night where multiple games go to extras usually there will be a few nights that follow that none do. Its obviously random but that 9% is the number I focus on.
been doing it the past 2 weeks (not every single night.) Started off doing small parlays only risking $20 since I didn't know what to expect. Have since been increasing as it has had success. Out of all the picks in the parlays it has gone 77-6. Its pretty crazy all that needs to happen for these games to go to extras but sometimes you get unlucky like a 2 out homer in the bottom of the 9th to tie the game. From what ive seen if there are a night where multiple games go to extras usually there will be a few nights that follow that none do. Its obviously random but that 9% is the number I focus on.
I try to take pitcher home/road splits or games in hitters ballparks (Colorado, Arizona etc) which we usually see higher over unders and in turn usually less likely to be one run games. But really im just focusing on the fact that overall only 9 percent will go to extras. So for instance on mondya out of 8 games 2 went to extras so after something like that I would take most of the games the next night not to go to extras. On Tuesday all 15 games didn't go to extras.
I try to take pitcher home/road splits or games in hitters ballparks (Colorado, Arizona etc) which we usually see higher over unders and in turn usually less likely to be one run games. But really im just focusing on the fact that overall only 9 percent will go to extras. So for instance on mondya out of 8 games 2 went to extras so after something like that I would take most of the games the next night not to go to extras. On Tuesday all 15 games didn't go to extras.