OAK @ TB

I don't typically play the runline on home favourites, but I am here. It may be lunacy, but I can't resist TB -1.5.

Both teams have played 5 games, and people can get over-enamoured with early season stats, but TB are top 5 in hitting thus far in terms of OPS and they have a superior bullpen. The TB hitters have a K:BB ratio of 46:20 v OAK 47:16. I like that disparity even this early in the season.

So to that end, despite the low total, I have effectively isolated the two starting pitchers.

Is there anything I trust less this far into the season than Oakland's offense despite yesterday's breakout? Yes, there is.

Frankie Montas' sinker in a dome.

I fully expect TB to hit him hard, and often.

Runs might be at a premium with a total so low, but that's not to say TB can't win a 6-1 or 5-2 type of game.

If you're averse to laying runs or are offput by the low total, you may like to take TB team total over 4 (as at time of writing with my book)

But let's swing for the fences early. It won't do any worse than me picking NYY and them being shut out against my Jays 

Cheers 

BF

Oakland is 22-10 SU vs LHP's on the road. McClanahan has a 5.63 era vs Oakland. Montas has a 2.79 era vs Tampa Bay. Oakland breakout just last game? Oakland has scored 8, 13, (4,4) 9 this year lol. Im on Oakland. Tampa pen thin and McClanahan does not go deep. 

Hey mate, thanks for stopping by.

I'll assume as a FormerAthlete you were too preoccupied with your sport than reading, because a cursory glance at the boxscores 5 games in had the A's scoring, in series order, 5 (in a loss) 2(L) and 4 (W). So not sure of the credibility of that statement regarding the runs.

I didn't think it needed stating, but the preseason odds had the A's at +6000 to win it all. They lost the opening series (albeit away) to Phillies 2-1 winning the dead rubber. Phillies are +3500. They are now playing the Rays (+1300 to win it all)  in game 3 of a 4 game series after conceding 9 runs yesterday facing TB's Opening Day starter.

I'd also be keen to know of those A's players who were part of the 22-10 v LHP stat you gave given guys like Seth Brown is a career .227 hitter in 375 ABs, Neuse is a career .220 hitter (127 ABs) and McKinney is a career .213 hitter in 648 ABs?

Teetering a bit too close to the Mendoza line for mine!

Cheers for stopping by and good luck with your plays.

BF

Good luck BF.  

Oakland averages 7.33 runs vs TBY last 3 and avging 6 runs per game to start the season but they are not hitting well? lol they have a .346 avgvs lHPs this year lol. Do u even look into stats? 

Ur write up is horrible. Tampa has used their pen like crazy to start the season but they have a better pen? lol oh boy. Good Luck on Chalk lol best way to be a winning gambler. Take home faves of -200 run line lol 

Hahahaha 

I like that you think that +110 on the runline is chalk!!!

Granted, I didn't disclose the team total price of the Rays (which was slightly shaded to the over), but I figure that is up to the individual bettor to ascertain their risk on a game (if indeed they play at all)

I'm even happier that you're laughing at my write up. I am always open to feedback from a #FormerHighschoolDropout who can't interpret boxscores!!!!

7.33 runs last 3 games?!

Yeah, that has plenty of relevance when Patino, who started in the series opener which Oakland won 13-2, threw 13 pitches and was placed on the DL!!!!

You love hand picking your stats mixed with some recency bias!!!!!

What colour nail polish is McLanahan's girlfriend wearing? Should we compare ERAs when she wears that colour and Shane starts on a Wednesday???!!! Hahahaha.

Good luck FormerAthleteCurrentDouche, I hope your meaningless stats trump my writeup!!!!

Cheers

BF

I like TB to win but like last night cover the RL.. stupid monkeys give up 2 late runs on 4-0 walks..

Meaningless stats lol. You a fkn moron bro. Learn how to cap baseball and not make a bet on a -200 fave LOL especially taking  a home fave -1.5. Dumb@$$