Posted:
#1
Although more than a few sportsbooks have dropped the Over/Under from 7.5 to 7 (5Dimes, Bookmaker, GTBets, and BetDSI), I still have faith in the Over -- whether 7 or 7.5.
Royals lefty Jason Vargas is 3-10 with an ERA of 5.10 on at least six days rest. He last pitched 13 days ago. He does, however, hold a 2/3 record and a 1.94 ERA against Baltimore. But despite a great showing against the Angels, a 2-1 victory on October 2nd, he lost his last three regular season matchups and sported a bloated 9.00 ERA.
Orioles righty Miguel Gonzalez has been off since September 28, and his ERA on more than six days rest is also high, 4.53. He is 1-2 against the Royals, including a 7-1 loss at Kansas City last July.
I'm no MLB conspiracy theorist, so I don't buy the idea that Major League Baseball will somehow aid the Orioles in avoiding the sweep.
Yet I do believe that this afternoon's game shall be competitive and high scoring, much more like the Royals 8 - 6 and 6 - 4 victories. The Birds bats will fly again.
Over 7 (or 7.5) for +107
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