Posted:
#1
The Good: Trevor Williams (WAS) (Pick: WAS ML 1st 5)
Williams was 6-1 last season and only allowed Over 1.5 runs twice in 12 starts. Berrios should be better this time around, but I think he will still give up more runs than Williams will in the first 5 innings.
The Bad: Casey Mize (DET) (Pick: Mize Under 4.5 K's)
In 10 AWAY starts last season, Mize went Over 4.5 K's just one time.
The Ugly: Will Warren (NYY) (Pick: ARI ML 1st 5)
Corbin Burnes has pitched gems vs. NYY all 3 times (1.42 ERA in 19.0 IP, 22 K) but has never gotten the run support to win those games. Warren had a 10.32 ERA last season, leading to his 0-3 W-L record. ARI should have no trouble grabbing an early lead.
"It's not about the size of the parlay, it's about the size of the bet."
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