I am curious to the logic on the Red Sox? Devers, Story, and possibly Martinez all out. Pivetta has been getting lit up lately(A very streaky pitcher, and the Boston defense was crap in that Toronto series. The Guardians feast on righties and hitting .313 in the last week and under a 15% strikeout rate so their bats are in a very good groove right now.
1
@ShortAsssSam
I am curious to the logic on the Red Sox? Devers, Story, and possibly Martinez all out. Pivetta has been getting lit up lately(A very streaky pitcher, and the Boston defense was crap in that Toronto series. The Guardians feast on righties and hitting .313 in the last week and under a 15% strikeout rate so their bats are in a very good groove right now.
PLESAC on the road is 1-5 with a team record of 3-6 (33.3%) with a -4.0% ROI.
Against right hand starters his record is 5-7 (41.7%) -14.5% ROI.
As an underdog he’s 3-6 (33.3%) -5.6% ROI
His last outing was against the Tigers as a -170 or so favorite and he went just 3.66 innings giving up 6 hits 5 runs, 2 earned. His last 7 starts he’s been 0-3 with a team record of 3-4 (42.9%)
PIVETTA at home is 4-3 with a team record of 5-4 (55.6%) with a +6.6 % ROI.
Against other righties His record is 8-8 (50%) +4.2% ROI
As a favorite he’s 5-3 (62.5%) + 9.5 % ROI
His last 2 outings, July 16 against the Yankees losing 1-14 and July 10 Yankees again, no decision, with Sox winning 11-6. His last 7 starts he’s 3-2 with a team record of 5-2 (71.4%) and seeing that he already beat Cleveland as a fav of -115 in Cleveland (June 6) winning 6-3 in 1 game of a Boston 3 game sweep and outscoring them 6-3/4-2/8-3 is a positive for me.
Not enough time to get into lineups powercore, just responding with the percentages and ROI of the above and the fact that Boston knows they swept the Guardians in Cleveland and once with PIVETTA and what better place to get their ship turned around other than at home and at the right price for my liking. Of course, Cleveland knows they were swept also so there’s motivation from both sides but to me all the above outweighs Clevelands.
Just my take, best to you always
Cap, confirm, then try to get out enjoy life, time waits for no one.
0
@powercore
Sorry for late response, limited time.
PLESAC on the road is 1-5 with a team record of 3-6 (33.3%) with a -4.0% ROI.
Against right hand starters his record is 5-7 (41.7%) -14.5% ROI.
As an underdog he’s 3-6 (33.3%) -5.6% ROI
His last outing was against the Tigers as a -170 or so favorite and he went just 3.66 innings giving up 6 hits 5 runs, 2 earned. His last 7 starts he’s been 0-3 with a team record of 3-4 (42.9%)
PIVETTA at home is 4-3 with a team record of 5-4 (55.6%) with a +6.6 % ROI.
Against other righties His record is 8-8 (50%) +4.2% ROI
As a favorite he’s 5-3 (62.5%) + 9.5 % ROI
His last 2 outings, July 16 against the Yankees losing 1-14 and July 10 Yankees again, no decision, with Sox winning 11-6. His last 7 starts he’s 3-2 with a team record of 5-2 (71.4%) and seeing that he already beat Cleveland as a fav of -115 in Cleveland (June 6) winning 6-3 in 1 game of a Boston 3 game sweep and outscoring them 6-3/4-2/8-3 is a positive for me.
Not enough time to get into lineups powercore, just responding with the percentages and ROI of the above and the fact that Boston knows they swept the Guardians in Cleveland and once with PIVETTA and what better place to get their ship turned around other than at home and at the right price for my liking. Of course, Cleveland knows they were swept also so there’s motivation from both sides but to me all the above outweighs Clevelands.
Appreciate the breakdown very insightful, and that thoroughly explains why Boston has the pitching edge and your backing of them. Even still, I went with Cleveland as Pivetta is not in very good form right now, and Cleveland tends hit righties well. Also, the holes in the lineup for Boston is a lot for them to cover up, and even thought Plesac is no Cy Young Award winner I can see him pitching well enough against the weakened Boston lineup to get through without the big inning.
0
@ShortAsssSam
Appreciate the breakdown very insightful, and that thoroughly explains why Boston has the pitching edge and your backing of them. Even still, I went with Cleveland as Pivetta is not in very good form right now, and Cleveland tends hit righties well. Also, the holes in the lineup for Boston is a lot for them to cover up, and even thought Plesac is no Cy Young Award winner I can see him pitching well enough against the weakened Boston lineup to get through without the big inning.
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