Had a nice bounce back day after a July 4th massacre. Went 2-0 and picked up 4.6 units. What we learned is that sometimes after a tough day the only thing we can do is get back after it and continue to follow the plan. Today I have my largest card of the season. Rarely do I play more than 3 plays in a day but today the system spit out 5 plays for us so we will oblige and play them all and hope for a big day full of profits.
Today.......
KC - 115 ( 3 Units)
Cleveland +132 (1 Unit)
Pitt -120 (2 Units)
NY Mets +129 (2 Units)
SF -170 ( 2 Units)
As always, Good Luck if you choose to Tail or Fade. Here's to a big day
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YTD RECORD
24-25 + .96 Units
Had a nice bounce back day after a July 4th massacre. Went 2-0 and picked up 4.6 units. What we learned is that sometimes after a tough day the only thing we can do is get back after it and continue to follow the plan. Today I have my largest card of the season. Rarely do I play more than 3 plays in a day but today the system spit out 5 plays for us so we will oblige and play them all and hope for a big day full of profits.
Today.......
KC - 115 ( 3 Units)
Cleveland +132 (1 Unit)
Pitt -120 (2 Units)
NY Mets +129 (2 Units)
SF -170 ( 2 Units)
As always, Good Luck if you choose to Tail or Fade. Here's to a big day
SF -170? Wow buying that high on a team struggling as much as they are? I like Bumgarner but dang BOL
My probability figures from my spreadsheets have the Giants at a 71.4% chance of winning. It appears that the oddsmakers agree by setting such a big line when it should probably be a lot lower.
On paper it definitely makes me nervous to lay such a big number on the Giants but I have actually had really good results this year when my probability numbers were in sync with head scratching bookmaker lines. So with that said I do like the play. For some reason I just have a feeling that the Giants come out with a strong effort tonight.
Good Luck
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Quote Originally Posted by TreyInventor:
SF -170? Wow buying that high on a team struggling as much as they are? I like Bumgarner but dang BOL
My probability figures from my spreadsheets have the Giants at a 71.4% chance of winning. It appears that the oddsmakers agree by setting such a big line when it should probably be a lot lower.
On paper it definitely makes me nervous to lay such a big number on the Giants but I have actually had really good results this year when my probability numbers were in sync with head scratching bookmaker lines. So with that said I do like the play. For some reason I just have a feeling that the Giants come out with a strong effort tonight.
Fuckk you and your piece of garbage system cleveland got smoked before the game even started. Your system is good for wiping your fat assss. Fuckinnn loser piece of shitttt.
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Fuckk you and your piece of garbage system cleveland got smoked before the game even started. Your system is good for wiping your fat assss. Fuckinnn loser piece of shitttt.
Fuckk you and your piece of garbage system cleveland got smoked before the game even started. Your system is good for wiping your fat assss. Fuckinnn loser piece of shitttt.
Cleveland was my lowest rated play of the day. Play the picks by unit size and you will be fine. If you want 100% winners then go buy picks off Brandon Lang or Stu Feiner, I heard those guys are pretty good
Oh and if you want to be taken seriously then stop waking up too late to bet my early 3 unit game and then putting the last $40 you have in your sportsbook on a 1 unit play and bitching at me when it doesn't win. Thanks buddy
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Quote Originally Posted by midfield:
Fuckk you and your piece of garbage system cleveland got smoked before the game even started. Your system is good for wiping your fat assss. Fuckinnn loser piece of shitttt.
Cleveland was my lowest rated play of the day. Play the picks by unit size and you will be fine. If you want 100% winners then go buy picks off Brandon Lang or Stu Feiner, I heard those guys are pretty good
Oh and if you want to be taken seriously then stop waking up too late to bet my early 3 unit game and then putting the last $40 you have in your sportsbook on a 1 unit play and bitching at me when it doesn't win. Thanks buddy
The fight just ended and here is what I have to say:
I don't know MMA very well but I get the general idea. I know some fighters but I am not a hard core fan or anything. I do know sports gambling though and something was off with this fight before it started. The lines on this fight seemed too good to be true for Silva. I remember looking at some of his previous fights and he was like a -800 fav or -600. Today I look and he is -220? It just seemed like a pick me bet.
Watching the fight it seemed kind of like Silva was almost expecting to lose and wanted to do it in a way that said. I could kill anyone any time but I will go out my way.
Add to this the fight was in VEGAS?? I bet there was MAD money dropped on Silva tonight...the guy never loses. Tonight he drops his hands, stands there and lets himself get hammerd??
Not saying anything....other than INTERESTING??
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The fight just ended and here is what I have to say:
I don't know MMA very well but I get the general idea. I know some fighters but I am not a hard core fan or anything. I do know sports gambling though and something was off with this fight before it started. The lines on this fight seemed too good to be true for Silva. I remember looking at some of his previous fights and he was like a -800 fav or -600. Today I look and he is -220? It just seemed like a pick me bet.
Watching the fight it seemed kind of like Silva was almost expecting to lose and wanted to do it in a way that said. I could kill anyone any time but I will go out my way.
Add to this the fight was in VEGAS?? I bet there was MAD money dropped on Silva tonight...the guy never loses. Tonight he drops his hands, stands there and lets himself get hammerd??
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