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Should I hedge? How much? (Angels/Royals)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
ChiSox/Rangers Under 9.5 -115
STL Cardinals ML +112
LA Angels ML -210

$500 to win $2,425.40

Should I put some money on the Royals or just let this ride?
 
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Posted: #2
why parlay if u going to hedge?
 
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Posted: #3
He's right. But I would. Put 500 on the Royals.

Royals @ +190 WIN= you win $450
Angels Win= you win $1925


SELECTIVENESS=SUCCESS
 
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Posted: #4
[Quote: Originally Posted by KVEGAS] He's right. But I would. Put 500 on the Royals.

Royals @ +190 WIN= you win $450
Angels Win= you win $1925


You could always take the Royals +1.5 and hit em both.
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

why parlay if u going to hedge?
Because I can at least guarantee that I won't be losing any money on the original wager? Especially with a +190ish price on KC
 
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Posted: #6



You could always take the Royals +1.5 and hit em both. [/Quote]

That's sounds like a good way to go if you want to hedge it- but you're looking good!
 
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Posted: #7
Why anyone would parlay on a bet like this is beyond me. If you're going to parlay a 3 teamer, why make the bet in the first place. 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by mrplow5266:

Why anyone would parlay on a bet like this is beyond me. If you're going to parlay a 3 teamer, why make the bet in the first place. 


because he didn't expect it to come down to the last game (or maybe he did, but u should always expect to lose, house ALWAYS wins sooner or later) and now that it does he can have guaranteed money 
 
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Posted: #9

No guts no glory.

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by mrplow5266:

Why anyone would parlay on a bet like this is beyond me. If you're going to parlay a 3 teamer, why make the bet in the first place. 
Huh?
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by sdpadres1:



because he didn't expect it to come down to the last game (or maybe he did, but u should always expect to lose, house ALWAYS wins sooner or later) and now that it does he can have guaranteed money 

Didn't expect it to come down to the last game? So he expected to lose? Then again, why make the bet?
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by DMFDoughty:

Huh?
Hedge a 3 teamer
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by mrplow5266:

Hedge a 3 teamer
well at the end of the day isnt the point to try and not lose money?
 
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Posted: #14
definitely take the royals at the +1.5 this game looks to be the most lopsided of the year so far in terms of 86-87 percent of the bettors taking the angels unless somehow people start taking the royals.  I would definitely insist that the run line for the royals move in their favor, as of now it's -125 on 5dimes.  a move to a -120 or even a -115 would mean that the late money continues to pound the angels and that's what i'd want in this situation with the royals.  The heavy public betting favorites did not do well last year before it went to the inter-league games.  Game starts at 705pm pacific, i'd wait till 700-704pm right on the dot to have madduxsports.com website running in the background to monitor line movement on a few handfull of sportsbooks on there.  good luck to you.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by DMFDoughty:

well at the end of the day isnt the point to try and not lose money?
The goal is to make money, not "to try and not lose money." There is a difference. 

It's your money, do what you want, but long term hedging 3 teamers isn't going to pay off for you. 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by mrplow5266:


Didn't expect it to come down to the last game? So he expected to lose? Then again, why make the bet?

i make all my bets expecting to lose, i do them for entertainment purposes. if u bet to make money, ur doing it wrong. like someone just said, you bet not to lose 
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by mrplow5266:

The goal is to make money, not "to try and not lose money." There is a difference. 

It's your money, do what you want, but long term hedging 3 teamers isn't going to pay off for you. 
Wouldn't it be better to break even than lose out on the original 500 if KC wins?
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by BISKY:

Quote Originally Posted by KVEGAS:

He's right. But I would. Put 500 on the Royals.

Royals @ +190 WIN= you win $450
Angels Win= you win $1925


You could always take the Royals +1.5 and hit em both.



 
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Posted: #19

You could always take the Royals +1.5 and hit em both.

 

Thats the best advice so far in this thread. Dont hedge, try for a middle. You can get KC +1.5 close to even money.

 

KC +1.5 (or +2 if the juice is crazy) for $1000 and call it a night bro. You win $500, $1400 or $3400.....win win win.....no chance of losing.

 

 
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Posted: #20
Completely irrelevant...these female angel fans...holyshit. I'm here at the game and saying I'm moving to angel country
 
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Posted: #21
same shit comes up every year, to hedge or not to hedge.  some veterans on here swears by not to hedge , they say why even make the wager in the first place.  this is the way i see it... if u are guarenteed profit in the thousands then yes... if in the hundreds then no.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

You could always take the Royals +1.5 and hit em both.

 

Thats the best advice so far in this thread. Dont hedge, try for a middle. You can get KC +1.5 close to even money.

 

KC +1.5 (or +2 if the juice is crazy) for $1000 and call it a night bro. You win $500, $1400 or $3400.....win win win.....no chance of losing.

 

This seems like the best idea to me... unfortunately my problem is that I'm in Vegas and play at books locally. I'm seeing the +1.5 at about -115ish around town.
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by jshep:

Completely irrelevant...these female angel fans...holyshit. I'm here at the game and saying I'm moving to angel country
lmao you are in orange county did you expect anything less? 
 
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Posted: #24
100%!!!   a smart person would hedge. 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by DMFDoughty:

This seems like the best idea to me... unfortunately my problem is that I'm in Vegas and play at books locally. I'm seeing the +1.5 at about -115ish around town.

Wait til 830ish and let the squares pound the Halos. 115 isnt a horrible number, but I bet you can find better in an hour

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