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#1
Monday 4-1: The Braves/Orioles got the job done on the ML, the White Sox with some 8th inning heroics covered the RL and the A's/Angels game stayed under 7 to cap off a great day. Had a miss read on the Reds game, and almost got a miracle bailout with the Brewers bullpen doing there best to give away the game. All in all a very good day and a good start to the week, hopefully it continues.
43-25 Last 68 (63%)
20-8 Last 28 (71%)
Season: 140-135-3
ML: 76-73
RL: 23-13
Totals: 30-36-3
Props: 11-13-1
Arizona/Pirates U8 (-123): I honestly thought I was gonna be playing my initial lean on this game the Pirates. However I had to change my mind, mainly due to the Pirates awful numbers against south paws lately. The Pirates are batting a .170 in there last 10 games vs lefties and are ranked #24th overall on the year. The D'Backs Patrick Corbin will be making his #2 career start. In his first outing on on August 1st, he went 6 scoreless innings holding the Dodgers to 0 runs on 2 hits, while striking out 5 at Dodger Stadium. Corbin will also benefit from facing a Pirates line up that has never seen him before. This will give him an advantage navigating through the line up the first few times around. The Pirates will be countering with Jeff Karstens. On the year Karstens has a 3.70 era but his home vs away splits is insane. In home starts this year Kastens has a microscopic 0.43 era. He is yet to allow a home run all season at home and has a WHIP of 0.86. The Pirates have struggled to score at home lately with just 20 runs in there L7 home games (2.85 per game average). Meanwhile Arizona hasn't fared much better with 27 runs on the road in there L7 games (3.85 per game average). The under is 7-2 in the L9 games and it should be 8-2 in the L10 following the conclusion of this one.
Marlins/Mets U8 (-115): Both teams have been completely hit or miss when it comes to being able to score lately, but more times then not they have struggled. The Marlins line up is downright awful with Reyes and Lee being the only real threats and but even that isn't some to be that fearful off. The Mets line up seems to only produce when Davis, Murphy or Hairston decide they are gonna help Wright out a bit. I think runs will be at a premium in this one with both teams ranking in the bottom have in the league against left handed pitching. The Mets are #19 and the Marlins are #20. Both teams will be sending south paws to the mound with the Mets Jon Niese and the Marlins Wade LeBlance. Niese got off to a hot start this year and tailed off, but he is coming one of his best outings of the year where he only allowed 1 run on 3 hits in beating the Giants. Meanwhile LeBlanc has been superb in bullpen duty for the Marlins with a 1.29 era. He will be making his 2nd outing as a starting pitcher, in his 1st start he allowed just 1 run and 3 hits in Atlanta vs a hot Braves team. I expect these 2 pitchers to take advantage of 2 struggling offenses and for it to stay the 8 total. The 1st 5 might be a better play in this due to bullpen struggles, but just a personal preference, I will play the full game more times then not.
Cardinals RL (+120): As a longtime bettor I have accepted the fact you can't let your heart get in the way, it's all about making money. As many of you are aware, I am a big Giants and I follow my team religiously. This game and this series in St. Louis is just a very bad spot for us. We aren't 100% healthy, our pitching has been shaky lately and our offense has been pretty anemic lately. Can't put much stock during this past weekends double digits we were scoring against the Rockies, because any team can score runs at will vs that teams awful pitching in that ballpark. The fact of that matter is Lance Lynn will have a good opportunity to keep us at bay in this game. Lynn is 6-2 with a 2.79 era with a 1.19 WHIP, he has only allowed 2 home runs at home all year. He also enjoys night starts going 7-1 with a 2.65 era. He will be able take advantage of a Giants team who ranks #25 in all of baseball vs right handed pitching. On the other side the Giants will be sending Barry Zito to the hill. On the year Zito has a 4.40 era on the road, but in his last 3 outings he has been AWFUL with 0-3 record an a 7.71 era. These #s don't have a good chance of improving in Tuesday's contest where he will be stuck facing the #1 team against lefties in all of baseball. It doesn't help either that the Cardinals are red hot. I hate admitting it since I am Giants fan, but this game to me has blow out written all over it. Ill put my emotions aside and hopefully collect some money.
Rangers ML (+104): The Rangers will be sending Ryan Dempster to the mound looking to rebound from a poor debut vs the Angels. It's hard to put much stock into that opening start, because that was just a wild wild game with 2 offenses that couldn't miss all series long. Any starter would have gotten lit up in those games imo. Dempster will be making his 2nd start this year vs the Red Sox. In his June 15th start vs Boston, Dempster went 7 strong, holding the Red Sox scoreless and only allowing 5 hits. The Red Sox will be countering with Jon Lester. I have faded this guy a lot lately and it's paid off. Every time I watch Lester pitch, he looks like he could give a rat ass and just collecting his paycheck. He is 0-3 with a 9.90 era in his last 3 outings, including an 11 spot against the Toronto. He has also struggled at home all year going 2-7 with a 6.96 era. He will be facing a Rangers line up who ranks #4 in all of baseball vs left handed pitching. I think the Rangers will get to him quick and often, Valetine will get ejected for arguing a call and Dempster will have a solid outing to make up for a poor debut.
2 Totals, 1 RL, 1 ML and hopefully some $$$... bol to everyone on Tuesday!!!
43-25 Last 68 (63%)
20-8 Last 28 (71%)
Season: 140-135-3
ML: 76-73
RL: 23-13
Totals: 30-36-3
Props: 11-13-1
Arizona/Pirates U8 (-123): I honestly thought I was gonna be playing my initial lean on this game the Pirates. However I had to change my mind, mainly due to the Pirates awful numbers against south paws lately. The Pirates are batting a .170 in there last 10 games vs lefties and are ranked #24th overall on the year. The D'Backs Patrick Corbin will be making his #2 career start. In his first outing on on August 1st, he went 6 scoreless innings holding the Dodgers to 0 runs on 2 hits, while striking out 5 at Dodger Stadium. Corbin will also benefit from facing a Pirates line up that has never seen him before. This will give him an advantage navigating through the line up the first few times around. The Pirates will be countering with Jeff Karstens. On the year Karstens has a 3.70 era but his home vs away splits is insane. In home starts this year Kastens has a microscopic 0.43 era. He is yet to allow a home run all season at home and has a WHIP of 0.86. The Pirates have struggled to score at home lately with just 20 runs in there L7 home games (2.85 per game average). Meanwhile Arizona hasn't fared much better with 27 runs on the road in there L7 games (3.85 per game average). The under is 7-2 in the L9 games and it should be 8-2 in the L10 following the conclusion of this one.
Marlins/Mets U8 (-115): Both teams have been completely hit or miss when it comes to being able to score lately, but more times then not they have struggled. The Marlins line up is downright awful with Reyes and Lee being the only real threats and but even that isn't some to be that fearful off. The Mets line up seems to only produce when Davis, Murphy or Hairston decide they are gonna help Wright out a bit. I think runs will be at a premium in this one with both teams ranking in the bottom have in the league against left handed pitching. The Mets are #19 and the Marlins are #20. Both teams will be sending south paws to the mound with the Mets Jon Niese and the Marlins Wade LeBlance. Niese got off to a hot start this year and tailed off, but he is coming one of his best outings of the year where he only allowed 1 run on 3 hits in beating the Giants. Meanwhile LeBlanc has been superb in bullpen duty for the Marlins with a 1.29 era. He will be making his 2nd outing as a starting pitcher, in his 1st start he allowed just 1 run and 3 hits in Atlanta vs a hot Braves team. I expect these 2 pitchers to take advantage of 2 struggling offenses and for it to stay the 8 total. The 1st 5 might be a better play in this due to bullpen struggles, but just a personal preference, I will play the full game more times then not.
Cardinals RL (+120): As a longtime bettor I have accepted the fact you can't let your heart get in the way, it's all about making money. As many of you are aware, I am a big Giants and I follow my team religiously. This game and this series in St. Louis is just a very bad spot for us. We aren't 100% healthy, our pitching has been shaky lately and our offense has been pretty anemic lately. Can't put much stock during this past weekends double digits we were scoring against the Rockies, because any team can score runs at will vs that teams awful pitching in that ballpark. The fact of that matter is Lance Lynn will have a good opportunity to keep us at bay in this game. Lynn is 6-2 with a 2.79 era with a 1.19 WHIP, he has only allowed 2 home runs at home all year. He also enjoys night starts going 7-1 with a 2.65 era. He will be able take advantage of a Giants team who ranks #25 in all of baseball vs right handed pitching. On the other side the Giants will be sending Barry Zito to the hill. On the year Zito has a 4.40 era on the road, but in his last 3 outings he has been AWFUL with 0-3 record an a 7.71 era. These #s don't have a good chance of improving in Tuesday's contest where he will be stuck facing the #1 team against lefties in all of baseball. It doesn't help either that the Cardinals are red hot. I hate admitting it since I am Giants fan, but this game to me has blow out written all over it. Ill put my emotions aside and hopefully collect some money.
Rangers ML (+104): The Rangers will be sending Ryan Dempster to the mound looking to rebound from a poor debut vs the Angels. It's hard to put much stock into that opening start, because that was just a wild wild game with 2 offenses that couldn't miss all series long. Any starter would have gotten lit up in those games imo. Dempster will be making his 2nd start this year vs the Red Sox. In his June 15th start vs Boston, Dempster went 7 strong, holding the Red Sox scoreless and only allowing 5 hits. The Red Sox will be countering with Jon Lester. I have faded this guy a lot lately and it's paid off. Every time I watch Lester pitch, he looks like he could give a rat ass and just collecting his paycheck. He is 0-3 with a 9.90 era in his last 3 outings, including an 11 spot against the Toronto. He has also struggled at home all year going 2-7 with a 6.96 era. He will be facing a Rangers line up who ranks #4 in all of baseball vs left handed pitching. I think the Rangers will get to him quick and often, Valetine will get ejected for arguing a call and Dempster will have a solid outing to make up for a poor debut.
2 Totals, 1 RL, 1 ML and hopefully some $$$... bol to everyone on Tuesday!!!
0
BOL to you, dude! 
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