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Thursday: 2-1, almost a perfect day but a few errors cost me, can't complain though because profit is profit
This Week: 12-6
Season: 111-116-3
1st Half: 80-83-3
2nd Half: 29-32-0
ML: 61-62
RL: 14-11
Totals: 26-30-2
Props: 10-13-1
Cardinals ML (-154) @ Cubs: Let me start off by saying, I tried every way possible to try and not pull the trigger on this game. The reason I say that is because it just looks to good. The line is obviously a little on the chalky side but it truly warrants it. The Cardinals will have just about every advantage going for them heading into this game. The only draw backs I found was LaHair has good numbers (4-7 with a .571 batting average vs. Lynn). LaHair. Soriano is 3-9 and Rizzo is 1-2. The other drawback is the fact the Cubs have played well at Wrigley going 8-1 in their last 9 games. I looked into those 8 wins and found they came against 2 teams that were struggling big time (Miami and Arizona). This Cardinals team is a whole different animal and they have had their way with the Cubs recently. The Cardinals took advantage of Friday's starter Travis Wood last week, tagging him for 7 runs and 9 hits in 6 innings. The Cardinals as a team are batting .407 (24-59)2 with 10 of those hits being XBH.The Cardinals are also the #2 ranked team against lefties and have been crushing left handed pitching lately batting .375 in their last 5 games. That is a recipe for disaster for the Cubs and Travis Wood. On the other side Lance Lynn will be taking the hill for the Cardinals and he is 3-0 with a 0.84 lifetime era vs the Cubs including a 6 scoreless this year. The Cubs as a team are batting .279 (15-54) vs. Lynn. In recent starts Lynn has gone 2-0 with a 0.47 era, meanwhile Wood has gone 1-2 with a 8.64 era. The Cardinals can't afford to take any games lightly if they wanna keep their slim hopes alive for a playoff spot and I think they continue their dominating ways vs. the lowly Cubs on Friday afternoon. The #'s don't lie... take the Cardinals
Marlins vs. Padres: Over 8.5 (-120): My initial lean for this game was to take the Miami Marlins, but upon doing lots of research I have decided to take the over instead. The Marlins will be sending Carlos Zambrano to the hill to opener this weekend series. The Big Z has struggled at home this year going 2-4 with an era of 5.80. He has also struggle mightily in his last 8 outings going 1-5 with an era of 8.67. On the other side of the mound the Padres will be sending Kip Wells to the hill. Entering Friday's contest Wells is 1-3 with a 4.00 era but he has struggled in recent starts going 0-2 with 6.00 era in his last 3 outings and didn't make it past the 4th inning in his last 2 starts.Miami's suspect bullpen could also play a factor in ensuring this game goes over the total, but I feel with these 2 struggling pitchers taking the mound, we will see a plethora of runs on the board.
Reds ML (-110) @ Rockies: The Reds enter this game the hottest team in baseball winners of 7 in a row. Ok fine they won the last 3 vs Houston, but the Reds are also 14-2 in their last 16 games. Yep 14-2 and most of those games have been without Votto. The Reds are in the thick of a very tight NL Central race and they are fully aware of the Pirates chances of beating the Astros and the Cardinals chances of being the Cubs. The Reds will be sending Bronson Arrroyo to the hill on Friday and he enters the game 5-6 with a 3.98 era, but he has pitched better going 2-1 with a 3.50 era in his last 3 outings. The Rockies will be countering with Drew Pomeranz, this is a young pitcher who is showing his age. He has good stuff but the consistency isn't there yet. On the season he is 1-5 with a 4.98, but the wheels have been falling off lately. His most recent outing he got shelled by the Padres for 7 runs on 9 hits and was yanked in 3 innings. In his last 3 outings he is 1-2 with an era of 7.53. Pomeranz will also be making the start despite reports of a "sore arm". He could be on a limited pitch count and that also bolds well for the Reds. The Reds are the 6th best team in the league against lefties and they should have no problem taking care of business on Friday. If the Reds can get to the late stages of this game with the lead, they will be able to hand the ball over to the #1 ranked bullpen in the league to seal the victory.
Friday's slate of games had lots of enticing match ups and I had plenty of leans, but I trimmed it down to these 3 plays that I feel good about. Best of luck to everyone on Friday. The only play I might add later depending on the line is the Giants.
This Week: 12-6
Season: 111-116-3
1st Half: 80-83-3
2nd Half: 29-32-0
ML: 61-62
RL: 14-11
Totals: 26-30-2
Props: 10-13-1
Friday's Selections
Cardinals ML (-154) @ Cubs: Let me start off by saying, I tried every way possible to try and not pull the trigger on this game. The reason I say that is because it just looks to good. The line is obviously a little on the chalky side but it truly warrants it. The Cardinals will have just about every advantage going for them heading into this game. The only draw backs I found was LaHair has good numbers (4-7 with a .571 batting average vs. Lynn). LaHair. Soriano is 3-9 and Rizzo is 1-2. The other drawback is the fact the Cubs have played well at Wrigley going 8-1 in their last 9 games. I looked into those 8 wins and found they came against 2 teams that were struggling big time (Miami and Arizona). This Cardinals team is a whole different animal and they have had their way with the Cubs recently. The Cardinals took advantage of Friday's starter Travis Wood last week, tagging him for 7 runs and 9 hits in 6 innings. The Cardinals as a team are batting .407 (24-59)2 with 10 of those hits being XBH.The Cardinals are also the #2 ranked team against lefties and have been crushing left handed pitching lately batting .375 in their last 5 games. That is a recipe for disaster for the Cubs and Travis Wood. On the other side Lance Lynn will be taking the hill for the Cardinals and he is 3-0 with a 0.84 lifetime era vs the Cubs including a 6 scoreless this year. The Cubs as a team are batting .279 (15-54) vs. Lynn. In recent starts Lynn has gone 2-0 with a 0.47 era, meanwhile Wood has gone 1-2 with a 8.64 era. The Cardinals can't afford to take any games lightly if they wanna keep their slim hopes alive for a playoff spot and I think they continue their dominating ways vs. the lowly Cubs on Friday afternoon. The #'s don't lie... take the Cardinals
Marlins vs. Padres: Over 8.5 (-120): My initial lean for this game was to take the Miami Marlins, but upon doing lots of research I have decided to take the over instead. The Marlins will be sending Carlos Zambrano to the hill to opener this weekend series. The Big Z has struggled at home this year going 2-4 with an era of 5.80. He has also struggle mightily in his last 8 outings going 1-5 with an era of 8.67. On the other side of the mound the Padres will be sending Kip Wells to the hill. Entering Friday's contest Wells is 1-3 with a 4.00 era but he has struggled in recent starts going 0-2 with 6.00 era in his last 3 outings and didn't make it past the 4th inning in his last 2 starts.Miami's suspect bullpen could also play a factor in ensuring this game goes over the total, but I feel with these 2 struggling pitchers taking the mound, we will see a plethora of runs on the board.
Reds ML (-110) @ Rockies: The Reds enter this game the hottest team in baseball winners of 7 in a row. Ok fine they won the last 3 vs Houston, but the Reds are also 14-2 in their last 16 games. Yep 14-2 and most of those games have been without Votto. The Reds are in the thick of a very tight NL Central race and they are fully aware of the Pirates chances of beating the Astros and the Cardinals chances of being the Cubs. The Reds will be sending Bronson Arrroyo to the hill on Friday and he enters the game 5-6 with a 3.98 era, but he has pitched better going 2-1 with a 3.50 era in his last 3 outings. The Rockies will be countering with Drew Pomeranz, this is a young pitcher who is showing his age. He has good stuff but the consistency isn't there yet. On the season he is 1-5 with a 4.98, but the wheels have been falling off lately. His most recent outing he got shelled by the Padres for 7 runs on 9 hits and was yanked in 3 innings. In his last 3 outings he is 1-2 with an era of 7.53. Pomeranz will also be making the start despite reports of a "sore arm". He could be on a limited pitch count and that also bolds well for the Reds. The Reds are the 6th best team in the league against lefties and they should have no problem taking care of business on Friday. If the Reds can get to the late stages of this game with the lead, they will be able to hand the ball over to the #1 ranked bullpen in the league to seal the victory.
Friday's slate of games had lots of enticing match ups and I had plenty of leans, but I trimmed it down to these 3 plays that I feel good about. Best of luck to everyone on Friday. The only play I might add later depending on the line is the Giants.
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