Indians -1.5 +170
(Risk 1 unit to win 1.70 units)
Indians ML -125
(Risk 0.67 units to win 0.50 units)
This is unusual for me to put more than 1 unit on a game, but I really feel good about the match-up tonight. Carlos Carrasco was my sleeper at the beginning of this season to contend for an AL Cy Young. At the end of last season, he really brought things together and dominated the competition which in return landed him a nice contract extension recently. Carrasco is familiar with this White Sox lineup who he faced twice down the stretch last season:
Aug 28: 6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO (WIN)
Sep 7: 8.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 SO (WIN)
I'd say those are pretty dominating performances against a lineup that hasn't changed much coming into this season with the White Sox. After a very successful first start against the Astros, I expect more of the same from him today at home. I'm going to ride the Carrasco train to start the year until the tires come off the track.
On the other end, Jose Quintana is an underrated pitcher that quietly gets it done for the White Sox. He had two starts down the stretch against the Indians with mixed results.
Aug 26: 5 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO (ND)
Sep 6: 6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO (ND)
Nothing overpowering there, but still far from anything really good or really bad. No surprise either on the ND's for Quintana who leads the majors since 2012 with 40 ND's. He is also a notoriously slow starter in his career with a 3.82 ERA in April that ranks second highest out of all months. The Royals pounded him in his first start this year, albeit against the hottest team in the league, but it's not the start he was looking for. It's going to be hard to turn it around against a division rival and an opposing pitcher with a lot of momentum and a lot to prove this season. I see a 5-2 type of game today with the Indians coming out on top.
Hot Forum Topics
