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Noticed many books have offered this. I know certain pitchers are ground pitchers vs fly ball pitchers and some are strikeout pitchers.
Does anyone here think betting this is profitable? I don't know what pitchers are K pitchers but I do know the basics such as Max is K pitcher but Greinke is not. But most of the pitchers, i wouldn't know except the big name pitchers. I was surprised certain starting pitchers have K props as low as 2.5... but that is with heavy juice on the Over. But certain pitchers have K's of 3.5 with juice on the under and even heavy juice.
Does anyone here say betting this is more profitable than the regular lines? Of course juice is much higher 30 cents. But for example when you look at Verlander vs the Reds, he is a heavy favorite. You could bet his K prop at +money but its 8.5 K... which is a lot. But even if he gives up a few runs early on... once he gets settled in and starts striking guys out... you sometimes have a better chance of winning this as oppose to the regular line. Of course Houston could be up 10-0 and then say after 5 innings, they just go to the bullpen and he has 8Ks and say a low pitch count but there is no point since its hard for other team to win. Or say he gets injured or has to go out in the 5th inning with already 7Ks already... then its no good.
Also when he pitches, you don't want ground outs or double plays or fly outs... because that would mean you lose an out since you are betting K's. Also you don't walk them walking players because that would be using up the pitch count. However, say a pitcher has 3.5 K prop. This pitcher could literally be giving up a 3 run home run in the 1st inning and be down 3-0... then K the next 3 batters to end the inning. Then get another strikeout in the 2nd inning and the K prop would cash yet they could be down 3-0 in the 2nd inning. Its like if you bet over K... obviously you don't want the guy to give up hits and runs... however... you rather that then a flyout or popup or double play.
Anyone here have thoughts/opinions on this? Because if you bet an under K prop, you basically want quick ground or fly ball outs as quick as possible. You rather a hitter get a hit on a 0-2 count than a groundout. Its like a completely different way of betting as oppose to you betting a certain side.
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