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sty saturday matinees

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Captain
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Posted: #1
a little primer/reminder/math freshener on that whole fibonacci thing I preach to show the power of math and capping daily. 

opinion on keeping track of records is this:

we don't control your bankroll. we don't make your picks. if you like the sty, keep a record for yourself over the course of a season of each sport, and see what happens.

small = 1x
small/med = 2x
med = 3x
med/big = 5x
big = 8x

yesterday in totality eg

cubs 1-1
F5 RL -130 3.9 to win 3 (cash)
FG -1.5 +230 2 to win 4.6 (loss)

+1 unit

marlins 1-1
FG ML +125 3 to win 3.75 (cash)
FG -1.5 +170 2 to win 3.4 (loss---on fuckin' steve cishek's shitturd 9th)

+1.75 unit

pirates 0-1
F5 O3.5 -115 3.45 to win 3 (loss)

-3.45 unit

Brewers Game 2-0
FG ML -145 11.6 to win 8 (cash)
FG RL +140 5 to win 7 (cash)

+15 unit

overall. 4-3. 57%. +14.3

we haven't had a monster day of sweeping the board.

let's dig some stuff up,.

 
Captain
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Posted: #2
by the way. like every other bankroll thumping manager. that 1,2,3 is percentage. 1 % is 1x.

EG. 10Large in your account? A small bet is $100, pal. 
 
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Posted: #3
CLE FG ML -110 small/medium
CLE FG RL  +145 small/medium

CLE O7.5 FG medium/big


  



 
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Posted: #4
lean jays and unders but ambivalent because of starters and umpiring crew.

 
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Posted: #5
I have Under and CLE ML henry, good luck.
 
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Posted: #6

did you get it at 7 or 7.5?

obviously i hope you win the Cleveland ML.  
 
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Posted: #7
Sty
 
Captain
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Posted: #8
Melo. Edwin Jackson dealing. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #9
against Odorizzi. Total 7 again. hmmm. 
 
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Posted: #10
he no hit the Rays? hahahaha what? 
 
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Posted: #11
I have CLE ML F5 big and Under 3.5 small, figured second meeting between Mccarthy and CLE, runs gotta be given. But I can always take Over in live bet.



TAM ML FG and Over 7, henry. But I don't know what bet size is gonna be.
 
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Posted: #12
with 8 walks. 4 years ago.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/TBA/TBA201006250.shtml
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

I have CLE ML F5 big and Under 3.5 small, figured second meeting between Mccarthy and CLE, runs gotta be given. But I can always take Over in live bet.



TAM ML FG and Over 7, henry. But I don't know what bet size is gonna be.
I was thinking a game of parity as well. 

I'm thinking about Cards BAL game too.

sub-500 teams are tough to cap. Tampa tough team, though . 
 
Captain
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Posted: #14
Jimenez vs. Lackey. And STL gets a DH. 
 
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Posted: #15
Games with Edwin start since Jun 4, averaging run per game is 9.6.

 
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Posted: #16
 
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Posted: #17
Might lay off STL/BAL. Just don't know when STL bats are hot.


 
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Posted: #18
Ya, I like the betting strategy.

2% cover 1%

3% cover 2% and 1%

5% cover 2% and 3%

8% cover 3% and 5%

Will apply it from now on.  
 
Captain
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

Ya, I like the betting strategy.

2% cover 1%

3% cover 2% and 1%

5% cover 2% and 3%

8% cover 3% and 5%

Will apply it from now on.  
and +money just makes it even more fun. 

those become multipliers! 

for example. a tight Away dog -1.5 at +180 on a medium is 1.8*3=5.4. 

well. the Marlins game yesterday is a perfect example, too. 
 
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Posted: #20
whooo. kluber gave drew the beef there
 
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Posted: #21
Take PIT RL F5 and FG, henry.

Stults on the road posting an ERA of 5.8. 

SDG playing away makes offense even worse.

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

whooo. kluber gave drew the beef there

NYY was out of mind, picking a guy with .171 batting average. 
 
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Posted: #23
 que pasa?



looking for McCarthy to get McUnloaded on here. 
 
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Posted: #24
Orioles Over 4.5 Big

STL FG ML Medium/Big
STL FG RL Medium

lackey and jimenez need to have control this afternoon. Lackey will, but who knows about Ubaldo?

tailers might take it smaller.


more ambivalence in wrigley. big inward wind. i've made money on Edwin so i gotta take a back seat on this game. 

I would say the Rays Runlines and Overs, but no plays. 
 
 
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Posted: #25
team = Orioles and season = 2014 and HD and total = 8.5
SU:3-6 (-3.44, 33.3%)  avg line: 110.3 / -120.3  on / against: -$255 / +$225  ROI: -28.3% / +20.5%
OU:7-2-0 (2.28, 77.8%)  avg total: 8.5  over / under: +$475 / -$600  ROI: +49.2% / -59.1%
RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.77.80.93.09.19.66.95.9
Opp7.110.90.44.36.710.14.06.7


the sides being taking is taking a better starter, on a good team that just got embarrassed. come back W for STL. 


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