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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Ten Commandments of Sports Betting #2

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    jstaley12
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    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posts: 1233
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:20 PM ET #1

    Ok brothers,

    This is the second of ten postings on my “Ten Commandments Of Sports Wagering”.  I will be as brief as possible in posting this, and I am sure I will come across ‘cocky’ to some, but that is not my intention.  I am not cocky, but I am extremely confident in my ability in this area, as I feel I have the years, experience, track record, and success to validate that opinion, and I am not going to try to hide that.  I promise you that for the 2% of you that absorb these rules, you will have less stress, lose less when you lose, win more when you win, and profit every single season that you indulge in sports wagering, ‘no if’s, and’s, or but’s about it’, but I’ll also guarantee that 98 of 100 of you reading this will think “that makes sense”, and within days go right back to doing things you’ve always done to fail/lose money.  The reason for this “commandment” is so imperative to the sports bettor, and yet so simple.  Just like winning most days, winning a higher amount of weeks, almost every single month, and certainly every single season; this is amazingly simple to do, and you are basically guaranteed of being successful if you follow the right ground rules, and stop operating with blind aggression/desperation as most everyone does in this game.  I am using my own personal verifiable Covers postings and record (below) for an illustration of the points I will be making.  Ok, on the Commandment #2:

     

    Sports Wagering Commandment #2:

    DON’T WORRY ABOUT LOSING DAYS, AND FOCUS ON SUCCESSFUL WEEKS:

     

    I have seen for many, many years in Las Vegas Sports Books how guys would go big, or go broke on a daily basis; over and over and over again.  I can’t even imagine the stress that would bring, and could not imagine myself doing that for even a day, much less years.  I see this problem magnified even more here on Covers where guys will trash teams, pitchers, position players because they lost that day.  You can easily recognize the players that rely, count on, and even need to win today by their emotional swings, up and down, with the result of a single game, or day.  Personally speaking, whether I have $100, or $1500 on a game, I am almost completely impervious to the result because I already knew how this season will end for me before it started (I say ‘almost’ only because if you asked me if I would prefer to win, or lose that game I would of course answer “Win”); and that is very very good, only because like Sharps, Squares, Degenerates, I do the same thing over and over and get the virtual same results every season, just as you (every one of you reading this) virtually every season end up in the relative same spot on an average basis.  Not sure who first said it, but “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result”.  The difference between the 2% winners, and the 98% losing players (though you would be hard pressed to find someone on a Covers posting reporting a losing season, lol) is that the 2% don’t want to change much about their results, but the 98%’ers (losing players) think, promise, and commit to drastic changes every time they get shellacked by the game. 

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    Ok brothers,

    This is the second of ten postings on my “Ten Commandments Of Sports Wagering”.  I will be as brief as possible in posting this, and I am sure I will come across ‘cocky’ to some, but that is not my intention.  I am not cocky, but I am extremely confident in my ability in this area, as I feel I have the years, experience, track record, and success to validate that opinion, and I am not going to try to hide that.  I promise you that for the 2% of you that absorb these rules, you will have less stress, lose less when you lose, win more when you win, and profit every single season that you indulge in sports wagering, ‘no if’s, and’s, or but’s about it’, but I’ll also guarantee that 98 of 100 of you reading this will think “that makes sense”, and within days go right back to doing things you’ve always done to fail/lose money.  The reason for this “commandment” is so imperative to the sports bettor, and yet so simple.  Just like winning most days, winning a higher amount of weeks, almost every single month, and certainly every single season; this is amazingly simple to do, and you are basically guaranteed of being successful if you follow the right ground rules, and stop operating with blind aggression/desperation as most everyone does in this game.  I am using my own personal verifiable Covers postings and record (below) for an illustration of the points I will be making.  Ok, on the Commandment #2:

     

    Sports Wagering Commandment #2:

    DON’T WORRY ABOUT LOSING DAYS, AND FOCUS ON SUCCESSFUL WEEKS:

     

    I have seen for many, many years in Las Vegas Sports Books how guys would go big, or go broke on a daily basis; over and over and over again.  I can’t even imagine the stress that would bring, and could not imagine myself doing that for even a day, much less years.  I see this problem magnified even more here on Covers where guys will trash teams, pitchers, position players because they lost that day.  You can easily recognize the players that rely, count on, and even need to win today by their emotional swings, up and down, with the result of a single game, or day.  Personally speaking, whether I have $100, or $1500 on a game, I am almost completely impervious to the result because I already knew how this season will end for me before it started (I say ‘almost’ only because if you asked me if I would prefer to win, or lose that game I would of course answer “Win”); and that is very very good, only because like Sharps, Squares, Degenerates, I do the same thing over and over and get the virtual same results every season, just as you (every one of you reading this) virtually every season end up in the relative same spot on an average basis.  Not sure who first said it, but “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result”.  The difference between the 2% winners, and the 98% losing players (though you would be hard pressed to find someone on a Covers posting reporting a losing season, lol) is that the 2% don’t want to change much about their results, but the 98%’ers (losing players) think, promise, and commit to drastic changes every time they get shellacked by the game. 

     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:20 PM ET #2

    The single biggest challenge you face is overcoming fear of losing, fear of winning (that is correct, fear of winning is prominent among human beings in all areas of life; hence the self destructive persona, but that is another conversation), and at it’s root, the challenge of overcoming all emotion in the game and being and remaining logical in all facets of the game.  Being 100% logical and rational is literally impossible if your emotions are determined by this game, or this day—it just isn’t possible. 

    Think of it like this; imagine you have a completely full (to the drop) glass of water.  Think of that water as logical thought.  Then add a few drops of liquid red dye (think of this liquid as emotional thought).  Two things will happen, the glass of water will turn ever so slightly pink, and the exact equal amount of water will overflow out of the glass.  This is emotion pushing out logic thought.  At this point 100% logic is no longer, you are probably still 98% logical, but that small amount of emotion infringes and pushes out the equal amount of logical thought.  Now, add an ounce of the red dye to the water.  Once more, an exact ounce will overflow out of the glass, and the glass of water now appears more red than pink.  Now your decisions, actions, and reactions are getting more and more emotional, and less and less logical.  Add more red dye, and…. Well, you get the idea.

     

    The point is that if you are making emotional decisions in this game, you’ll lose… period.  If you ‘need’ a win on this game, this day, or this week, you are already screwed, and are going to go broke in the near future, .. again, and again.  If you have solid bankroll management protocol, stick to it, take your focus off of ‘needing’ the win, your God given intellect will constantly make your mistakes apparent, and you will naturally change your losing habits and replace them with winning habits.  You will then improve more and more until you are beating the game consistently, and wondering how this opportunity is still here for you to profit from because it is that easy to do.  I had my IQ tested years ago, and I will tell you it was not in the 140’s, meaning I don’t claim to be a genius, in fact I know I am not one, but commanding a healthy income on a weekly, monthly, and annual basis is so simple to me I am flabbergasted that everyone is not doing it until the books give up and close up shop.  Keep in mind, if you don’t have solid bankroll management skills and discipline, quit now unless you feel the need to support your local bookie.

    So, we established the importance of attaining and maintaining 100% logic, and eliminating the profit costing emotion, all emotion in the game.  That is impossible to do if the results of today’s play has you excited (jumping for joy), melancholy due to a break even day, or mad, angry, worried, or concerned in any possible way over a losing day.  I, personally, will be damned if Clayton Kershaw’s marital argument the morning of the game is going to cause me one second of dismay because I backed the Dodgers that day.  Anything can happen, and for any reason known or unknown to us in a game, so once more, I will be damned if it changes a single thing I am feeling or doing following that game.
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    The single biggest challenge you face is overcoming fear of losing, fear of winning (that is correct, fear of winning is prominent among human beings in all areas of life; hence the self destructive persona, but that is another conversation), and at it’s root, the challenge of overcoming all emotion in the game and being and remaining logical in all facets of the game.  Being 100% logical and rational is literally impossible if your emotions are determined by this game, or this day—it just isn’t possible. 

    Think of it like this; imagine you have a completely full (to the drop) glass of water.  Think of that water as logical thought.  Then add a few drops of liquid red dye (think of this liquid as emotional thought).  Two things will happen, the glass of water will turn ever so slightly pink, and the exact equal amount of water will overflow out of the glass.  This is emotion pushing out logic thought.  At this point 100% logic is no longer, you are probably still 98% logical, but that small amount of emotion infringes and pushes out the equal amount of logical thought.  Now, add an ounce of the red dye to the water.  Once more, an exact ounce will overflow out of the glass, and the glass of water now appears more red than pink.  Now your decisions, actions, and reactions are getting more and more emotional, and less and less logical.  Add more red dye, and…. Well, you get the idea.

     

    The point is that if you are making emotional decisions in this game, you’ll lose… period.  If you ‘need’ a win on this game, this day, or this week, you are already screwed, and are going to go broke in the near future, .. again, and again.  If you have solid bankroll management protocol, stick to it, take your focus off of ‘needing’ the win, your God given intellect will constantly make your mistakes apparent, and you will naturally change your losing habits and replace them with winning habits.  You will then improve more and more until you are beating the game consistently, and wondering how this opportunity is still here for you to profit from because it is that easy to do.  I had my IQ tested years ago, and I will tell you it was not in the 140’s, meaning I don’t claim to be a genius, in fact I know I am not one, but commanding a healthy income on a weekly, monthly, and annual basis is so simple to me I am flabbergasted that everyone is not doing it until the books give up and close up shop.  Keep in mind, if you don’t have solid bankroll management skills and discipline, quit now unless you feel the need to support your local bookie.

    So, we established the importance of attaining and maintaining 100% logic, and eliminating the profit costing emotion, all emotion in the game.  That is impossible to do if the results of today’s play has you excited (jumping for joy), melancholy due to a break even day, or mad, angry, worried, or concerned in any possible way over a losing day.  I, personally, will be damned if Clayton Kershaw’s marital argument the morning of the game is going to cause me one second of dismay because I backed the Dodgers that day.  Anything can happen, and for any reason known or unknown to us in a game, so once more, I will be damned if it changes a single thing I am feeling or doing following that game.
     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posts: 1233
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:20 PM ET #3

    From a winning stand point, I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME OR DAY, not even close… I will repeat that once more… I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME OR DAY.  If I am handicapping at 70% it is because I had a negative first few days of the week and am then only playing heavy values with high win rates, which means not playing smaller values and opportunities.  I can handicap at 65+% non-stop.  Don’t take my word for it, click on the blue stars on the top right portion of my post here.  There I played the high win rate games ONLY, and as you can see it is 19-7 (73.8%), but there were only 26 games played in a month and a half.  You won’t make real money trying to handicap all winners, or playing only 26 games in 6 weeks unless you are playing so much per game that you are vulnerable to huge swings.  Because the highest profit to be had is playing big values heavily, medium values moderately, and small edges lightly (as far as the % of your bankroll you wage).  Flat betting is pitifully ridiculous unless you have no confidence in your ability to handicap games, or you are a rookie.  Think about it, if you handicap one game that the line is way off, and your success percentage is very high, are you going to bet the same amount on a game with a marginal edge?, or are all the games you handicap coincidentally with the exact same margin of success.  Flat Betting will minimize you chance of long term success, and make the down swings less affordable. If you are a rookie, absolutely flat bet (play the same amount on every game that day) until you develop winning ways, it is safer, much safer.  I know, I know this book, that book says to do it.  Very quick story to get off track for a moment; I used to spend 8-12 hours in the sports book 6 to 7 days a week for years, and there was a few of them, but one guy in particular would come in look over the stat sheets provided by the sports book, stare at the board (lines) make his plays, get a beer and sit and watch the games on the 20+ monitors.  Within an hour or so he was yelling at the TVs, clapping, getting up pacing, ect.  Day after day he would do this (The sports book manager simply stopped warning him because it was really not in his control to stop), and more often than not, lose his hind end on a regular basis.  Nice guy, but very volatile, and not very good.  Well, that was years ago, and now he has a couple books published on sports betting, and how to be successful doing so.  Believe me, this guy never had one winning season much less a successful career.  I was shocked and laughed out loud  to read his ‘reported’ history of success.  Moral of the story, be very careful what you read and accept as Gospel Truth in sports wagering books.

    Back on point.  I don’t want to win every day, nor every week.  Regardless of the sport I am playing, I want to, and will win over 75% of the weeks in that sport’s season, and I need to make my average winning weeks over 300% (Minimum) the size of my average losing weeks, and then I am guaranteed that I will command a nice profit.  In baseball there are about 25 weeks, so I need to win 19+ of them.  So if I start out the week with a strong Monday and Tuesday I get very aggressive on the amount of games I am playing, and the amounts I am playing.  If I stall through Wednesday, then I revert back to the high percentage plays to lessen the week’s loss, or eke out a small profit for the week… so once more, I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME, OR EVERY DAY.  If I am above projection on Sunday, I will play as small as 2% margins and some games that have Line Value, but are likely to lose.  

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    From a winning stand point, I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME OR DAY, not even close… I will repeat that once more… I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME OR DAY.  If I am handicapping at 70% it is because I had a negative first few days of the week and am then only playing heavy values with high win rates, which means not playing smaller values and opportunities.  I can handicap at 65+% non-stop.  Don’t take my word for it, click on the blue stars on the top right portion of my post here.  There I played the high win rate games ONLY, and as you can see it is 19-7 (73.8%), but there were only 26 games played in a month and a half.  You won’t make real money trying to handicap all winners, or playing only 26 games in 6 weeks unless you are playing so much per game that you are vulnerable to huge swings.  Because the highest profit to be had is playing big values heavily, medium values moderately, and small edges lightly (as far as the % of your bankroll you wage).  Flat betting is pitifully ridiculous unless you have no confidence in your ability to handicap games, or you are a rookie.  Think about it, if you handicap one game that the line is way off, and your success percentage is very high, are you going to bet the same amount on a game with a marginal edge?, or are all the games you handicap coincidentally with the exact same margin of success.  Flat Betting will minimize you chance of long term success, and make the down swings less affordable. If you are a rookie, absolutely flat bet (play the same amount on every game that day) until you develop winning ways, it is safer, much safer.  I know, I know this book, that book says to do it.  Very quick story to get off track for a moment; I used to spend 8-12 hours in the sports book 6 to 7 days a week for years, and there was a few of them, but one guy in particular would come in look over the stat sheets provided by the sports book, stare at the board (lines) make his plays, get a beer and sit and watch the games on the 20+ monitors.  Within an hour or so he was yelling at the TVs, clapping, getting up pacing, ect.  Day after day he would do this (The sports book manager simply stopped warning him because it was really not in his control to stop), and more often than not, lose his hind end on a regular basis.  Nice guy, but very volatile, and not very good.  Well, that was years ago, and now he has a couple books published on sports betting, and how to be successful doing so.  Believe me, this guy never had one winning season much less a successful career.  I was shocked and laughed out loud  to read his ‘reported’ history of success.  Moral of the story, be very careful what you read and accept as Gospel Truth in sports wagering books.

    Back on point.  I don’t want to win every day, nor every week.  Regardless of the sport I am playing, I want to, and will win over 75% of the weeks in that sport’s season, and I need to make my average winning weeks over 300% (Minimum) the size of my average losing weeks, and then I am guaranteed that I will command a nice profit.  In baseball there are about 25 weeks, so I need to win 19+ of them.  So if I start out the week with a strong Monday and Tuesday I get very aggressive on the amount of games I am playing, and the amounts I am playing.  If I stall through Wednesday, then I revert back to the high percentage plays to lessen the week’s loss, or eke out a small profit for the week… so once more, I DON’T WANT TO WIN EVERY GAME, OR EVERY DAY.  If I am above projection on Sunday, I will play as small as 2% margins and some games that have Line Value, but are likely to lose.  

     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:21 PM ET #4

    So hopefully I have illustrated this point clearly.  If I lose (blank amount in a day; I will not tell anyone how much I play, and I scale my ‘reported’ plays mathematically), but if I lose a hefty day, I could honestly not care less anymore than if I slammed home a big day, the day doesn’t matter, therefore I am completely unemotional, 100% logical, and beat the living ***** out of the book & bookies (back when I still could play with bookies) on a regular basis.  As many of you have heard me say, “I have no good or bad days, only good or bad weeks).  Feel free to look as closely as you would like at the below links to see this point illustrated.  Last, I anticipate 1,000 will read this, and 2% will benefit from it, and 98 of 100 of you will completely forget this all to your own ill results… be a 2%’er…God Bless and BOL to all.

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    So hopefully I have illustrated this point clearly.  If I lose (blank amount in a day; I will not tell anyone how much I play, and I scale my ‘reported’ plays mathematically), but if I lose a hefty day, I could honestly not care less anymore than if I slammed home a big day, the day doesn’t matter, therefore I am completely unemotional, 100% logical, and beat the living ***** out of the book & bookies (back when I still could play with bookies) on a regular basis.  As many of you have heard me say, “I have no good or bad days, only good or bad weeks).  Feel free to look as closely as you would like at the below links to see this point illustrated.  Last, I anticipate 1,000 will read this, and 2% will benefit from it, and 98 of 100 of you will completely forget this all to your own ill results… be a 2%’er…God Bless and BOL to all.

     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:22 PM ET #5

    WEEK OF 7/6 THRU 7/12:   24-19   and   +$651 (includes 5 days not verified via Co, so only counting the 11th and 12th, 4-3 and +$9)

    July 11th     3-2  and +$320

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102140017

    July 12th  1-1  and -$311 

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102140229

    ASG BREAK WEEK (3 DAYS PLAY ONLY):  3-4  and  -$67

    July 17th               1-3  and -$321

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141084

    July 18th                              1-1 and -$146

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141530

    1-1   and  -$146

    July 19th                               1-0  and +$400

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141831

    WEEK 7/20 THRU 7/26:               19-13   AND  +$6932-3  and -$184

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142132

    July 21st               1-3  and -$460

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142446

    July 22nd                     1-2  and -$430

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142776

    July 23rd                               1-1  and -$655

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143240

    July 24th    4-3  and  +932

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143524

    July 25th     4-1 and +$440

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143832

     

    July 26th   6-0  and +$1050

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144043

     

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    WEEK OF 7/6 THRU 7/12:   24-19   and   +$651 (includes 5 days not verified via Co, so only counting the 11th and 12th, 4-3 and +$9)

    July 11th     3-2  and +$320

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102140017

    July 12th  1-1  and -$311 

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102140229

    ASG BREAK WEEK (3 DAYS PLAY ONLY):  3-4  and  -$67

    July 17th               1-3  and -$321

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141084

    July 18th                              1-1 and -$146

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141530

    1-1   and  -$146

    July 19th                               1-0  and +$400

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102141831

    WEEK 7/20 THRU 7/26:               19-13   AND  +$6932-3  and -$184

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142132

    July 21st               1-3  and -$460

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142446

    July 22nd                     1-2  and -$430

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102142776

    July 23rd                               1-1  and -$655

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143240

    July 24th    4-3  and  +932

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143524

    July 25th     4-1 and +$440

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102143832

     

    July 26th   6-0  and +$1050

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144043

     

     
    Mancity
    Mancity
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:25 PM ET #6

    Thanks for posting.
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    Thanks for posting.
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:25 PM ET #7

    WEEK  7/27 THRU 8/2:              27- 14  AND   +$1985

    July 27th    6-0  and +$1500

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144334

    July 28th   5-3  and $578

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144635

    July 29th       5-1 and $501

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144831

    July 30th    2-0  and +$500        NY play voided w/ pitching change Sabathia replaced Pineda

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145121

    July 31st      3-2  and $345

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145486

    August 1st      6-5  and -$559

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145759

    August 2nd   0-3  and -$880

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?action=quote&ur=iamsok&id=123017300&spt=27&sub=102146052&page=2#

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    WEEK  7/27 THRU 8/2:              27- 14  AND   +$1985

    July 27th    6-0  and +$1500

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144334

    July 28th   5-3  and $578

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144635

    July 29th       5-1 and $501

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144831

    July 30th    2-0  and +$500        NY play voided w/ pitching change Sabathia replaced Pineda

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145121

    July 31st      3-2  and $345

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145486

    August 1st      6-5  and -$559

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102145759

    August 2nd   0-3  and -$880

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?action=quote&ur=iamsok&id=123017300&spt=27&sub=102146052&page=2#

     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:25 PM ET #8

    WEEK August 3rd thru August 9th :    25-18    AND  +$9592-0  and  +$400

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146368&page=1

    Discrepancy on the original post, and corrected in Comment #2

    August 4th                            3-1  and +284

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146591

    August 5th                           2-2  and  - $157

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146762

    August 6th                           1-1  and  -$50

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147131

    August 7th                           6-2  and  +$990

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147396

    August 8th                           2-3   and -123

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147636

    August 9th                           2-4  and -$385

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147936
    Reply
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    WEEK August 3rd thru August 9th :    25-18    AND  +$9592-0  and  +$400

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146368&page=1

    Discrepancy on the original post, and corrected in Comment #2

    August 4th                            3-1  and +284

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146591

    August 5th                           2-2  and  - $157

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102146762

    August 6th                           1-1  and  -$50

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147131

    August 7th                           6-2  and  +$990

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147396

    August 8th                           2-3   and -123

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147636

    August 9th                           2-4  and -$385

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102147936
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:26 PM ET #9


    WEEK OF 8/10 THRU 8/16:     17-17  AND  -$115

     

    August 10th                         2-2  and +$60

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148334

    August 11th                        0-3   and -$710

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148594

    August 12th                         3-1 and +$495

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148943

     

    August 13th                        1-1  and +$42

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149280

    August 14th                        4-2 and -$10

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149397

    August 15th                        2-6  and  -$682

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149728

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    WEEK OF 8/10 THRU 8/16:     17-17  AND  -$115

     

    August 10th                         2-2  and +$60

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148334

    August 11th                        0-3   and -$710

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148594

    August 12th                         3-1 and +$495

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102148943

     

    August 13th                        1-1  and +$42

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149280

    August 14th                        4-2 and -$10

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149397

    August 15th                        2-6  and  -$682

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102149728

     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:27 PM ET #10

    August 16th                        5-2  and  +$690

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150147

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    August 16th                        5-2  and  +$690

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150147

     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:27 PM ET #11

    WEEK  8/17 THRU 8/23:  28-23  AND +$1,954August 17th                             4-1 and +$682

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150458

    August 18th                         3-2  and +$915                             Correction added in reply # 4

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150662&page=1

    August 19th                        4-3  and +$128

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150970

    August 20th                        2-4  and -$185

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151151

    August 21st                        2-6  and -$1391

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151606

    August 22nd                        7-1 and  +$1,490

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151870

    August 23rd                        6-6  and  +$315

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102152017

    Reply
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    WEEK  8/17 THRU 8/23:  28-23  AND +$1,954August 17th                             4-1 and +$682

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150458

    August 18th                         3-2  and +$915                             Correction added in reply # 4

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150662&page=1

    August 19th                        4-3  and +$128

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102150970

    August 20th                        2-4  and -$185

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151151

    August 21st                        2-6  and -$1391

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151606

    August 22nd                        7-1 and  +$1,490

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102151870

    August 23rd                        6-6  and  +$315

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102152017

     
    deuce26
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:43 PM ET #12

    Good stuff man. Keep it up! 
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    Good stuff man. Keep it up! 
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:47 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by deuce26:

    Good stuff man. Keep it up! 

    Thanks brother, 
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    Quote Originally Posted by deuce26:

    Good stuff man. Keep it up! 

    Thanks brother, 
     
    CalBear2009
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:50 PM ET #14

    Thanks so much for posting this, it is greatly helpful and appreciated
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    Thanks so much for posting this, it is greatly helpful and appreciated
     
    MelBear
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:56 PM ET #15

    Really appreciate the insight.  Good stuff....
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    Really appreciate the insight.  Good stuff....
     
    MelBear
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 5:56 PM ET #16

    Really appreciate the insight.  Good stuff....
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    Really appreciate the insight.  Good stuff....
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:27 PM ET #17

    You are welcome deuce26, ….  CalBear2009, glad it helped brother, peace ……. MelBear, thanks for the kind words MelBear, BOL 

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    You are welcome deuce26, ….  CalBear2009, glad it helped brother, peace ……. MelBear, thanks for the kind words MelBear, BOL 

     
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:34 PM ET #18

    As I've said going back to a Post of yours several weeks ago, and continue to say as your record and insight has progressed- "Spot On"

    Thanks much for sharing and good luck with your continued success
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    As I've said going back to a Post of yours several weeks ago, and continue to say as your record and insight has progressed- "Spot On"

    Thanks much for sharing and good luck with your continued success
     
    Julespussy
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:44 PM ET #19

    I don't dispute the sense of your words.

    But you miss the main point. Most people bet because they are addicted, compulsive, desperate, drunk, greedy, dumb or a combination of the above. These are largely personality traits. Telling them to cut emotion out? As I said before you might as well run round telling smokers to quit because it's bad for them....

    As always, good luck with your plays....
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    I don't dispute the sense of your words.

    But you miss the main point. Most people bet because they are addicted, compulsive, desperate, drunk, greedy, dumb or a combination of the above. These are largely personality traits. Telling them to cut emotion out? As I said before you might as well run round telling smokers to quit because it's bad for them....

    As always, good luck with your plays....
     
    Djr357
    Djr357
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:50 PM ET #20

    I do not post often but Terrific Post Jstaley! Thank you and here's to much continued success! 
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    I do not post often but Terrific Post Jstaley! Thank you and here's to much continued success! 
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:53 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

    I don't dispute the sense of your words.

    But you miss the main point. Most people bet because they are addicted, compulsive, desperate, drunk, greedy, dumb or a combination of the above. These are largely personality traits. Telling them to cut emotion out? As I said before you might as well run round telling smokers to quit because it's bad for them....

    As always, good luck with your plays....

    Agreed Jules, but as the post states, it will only benefit 2% of the 1,000 that read it.  The above types are degenerates and there is no hope for them until the reach rock bottom and wake up. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

    I don't dispute the sense of your words.

    But you miss the main point. Most people bet because they are addicted, compulsive, desperate, drunk, greedy, dumb or a combination of the above. These are largely personality traits. Telling them to cut emotion out? As I said before you might as well run round telling smokers to quit because it's bad for them....

    As always, good luck with your plays....

    Agreed Jules, but as the post states, it will only benefit 2% of the 1,000 that read it.  The above types are degenerates and there is no hope for them until the reach rock bottom and wake up. 
     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:57 PM ET #22

    Djr357, I appreciate you taking the time to make a rare comment, it tells me the time put in was worth it.  BOL to you brother ………    Thanks Hog_Wild, as always your feedback is both kind and appreciated!  

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    Djr357, I appreciate you taking the time to make a rare comment, it tells me the time put in was worth it.  BOL to you brother ………    Thanks Hog_Wild, as always your feedback is both kind and appreciated!  

     
    astrat108
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 7:00 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by jstaley12:


    Agreed Jules, but as the post states, it will only benefit 2% of the 1,000 that read it.  The above types are degenerates and there is no hope for them until the reach rock bottom and wake up. 


    Degens gonna degen, that's what I always say. Words ring true to me sir and I appreciate everything you post. Thanks a million!
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    Quote Originally Posted by jstaley12:


    Agreed Jules, but as the post states, it will only benefit 2% of the 1,000 that read it.  The above types are degenerates and there is no hope for them until the reach rock bottom and wake up. 


    Degens gonna degen, that's what I always say. Words ring true to me sir and I appreciate everything you post. Thanks a million!
     
    Julespussy
    Julespussy
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 7:17 PM ET #24

    Fair enough. But I think the 2% know this anyway....
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    Fair enough. But I think the 2% know this anyway....
     
     
    lordzud
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 7:21 PM ET #25

    I always bump posts like this. You are taking time to teach the nubes the right approach.



    keep up the good work

    The guy who owns Bovada is a stinkin Billionaire. Even if he has no overhead, which of course he does, that means that a million lousy bettors gave him a thousand bucks each. 

    Gamble intelligently, it is possible.

    Some gamblers want to be stupid. They gamble for the high, what can any of us do for them.  You can learn from people like this. 

     You can learn to lose very very slowly. You can then break even, You can then slowly grow your account. 
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    I always bump posts like this. You are taking time to teach the nubes the right approach.



    keep up the good work

    The guy who owns Bovada is a stinkin Billionaire. Even if he has no overhead, which of course he does, that means that a million lousy bettors gave him a thousand bucks each. 

    Gamble intelligently, it is possible.

    Some gamblers want to be stupid. They gamble for the high, what can any of us do for them.  You can learn from people like this. 

     You can learn to lose very very slowly. You can then break even, You can then slowly grow your account. 
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