TheActuary - MLB 08-06-2015

Question

100 games milestone finally achieved! I read every comments in my thread even if I don't respond and your support is always appreciated

Even if my record speaks by itself, it's important to do a recap once every while. It is the first time I bet a full MLB season and I told myself I will put the effort to do it the right way. I have a lot more confidence in my NFL and NHL capping abilities but I think there is more potential statistically speaking betting on MLB.

I noticed that I didn't bet as much dogs as I used to but after reviewing the last 25 plays I made, I still have the feeling that I'm making the "right" bet.

The most important thing in order to achieve a high return on risk is to not force a play. For example, I really wanted to have a play today (August 5th) but I could not find in my opinion any bet that would justify the risk of putting hard earned money.

Also, I have thought of increasing my bet size during the year but I don't feel comfortable to do so. $200 is already a lot of money in my situation and my wife thinks I'm a degenerate to put that much time and money to cap games

(by the way, I'm betting in canadian dollar, so $200 CND is worth approximately $150 US). And I don't bet as a % of my bankroll; when I have a good streak, I withdraw the winnings and if I'm in a bad streak, I deposit! So my bet size is related to what I can afford to bet and I just focus on putting that money at a positive return on risk.

That being said, hopefully I finish the season on a strong note

Last time out: 1 - 1, - $29.06

MLB YTD

Record: 60 - 40

Avg Bet: $200

Profit: $4655.13

Return on Risk: 23.3%

08-06-2015

No FG play, some F5 plays coming tomorrow

Cheers

TheActuary · Answer

100 games milestone finally achieved! I read every comments in my thread even if I don't respond and your support is always appreciated

Even if my record speaks by itself, it's important to do a recap once every while. It is the first time I bet a full MLB season and I told myself I will put the effort to do it the right way. I have a lot more confidence in my NFL and NHL capping abilities but I think there is more potential statistically speaking betting on MLB.

I noticed that I didn't bet as much dogs as I used to but after reviewing the last 25 plays I made, I still have the feeling that I'm making the "right" bet.

The most important thing in order to achieve a high return on risk is to not force a play. For example, I really wanted to have a play today (August 5th) but I could not find in my opinion any bet that would justify the risk of putting hard earned money.

Also, I have thought of increasing my bet size during the year but I don't feel comfortable to do so. $200 is already a lot of money in my situation and my wife thinks I'm a degenerate to put that much time and money to cap games

(by the way, I'm betting in canadian dollar, so $200 CND is worth approximately $150 US). And I don't bet as a % of my bankroll; when I have a good streak, I withdraw the winnings and if I'm in a bad streak, I deposit! So my bet size is related to what I can afford to bet and I just focus on putting that money at a positive return on risk.

That being said, hopefully I finish the season on a strong note

Last time out: 1 - 1, - $29.06

MLB YTD

Record: 60 - 40

Avg Bet: $200

Profit: $4655.13

Return on Risk: 23.3%

08-06-2015

No FG play, some F5 plays coming tomorrow

Cheers

shrimpy367 · Answer

If your wife thinks making $4,655.13 at something 99.9% of people fail at makes you a degenerate, I hope she has a nice paying job...

Julespussy · Answer

Look forward to it. Please post early if possible for those of us in different time zones!

Amazatron · Answer

Consistently solid, great job man!

TheDoppelganger · Answer

Excellent post, and thank you for sharing your handicapping acumen with the rest of us.

lajohn · Answer

By the way...just wondering, what "book" do you use?

mjm1012 · Answer

GOODNITE

Train86 · Answer

Thanks for the insights

KeyElement · Answer

Only 5% of the posters on Covers are worthy of any attention at all.This is one of them.

Actiz0l · Answer

Usually, he puts the book after his bet...so Pinnacle, Bovada...etc... Just go see his threads.

HAVOC-22 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by KeyElement] Only 5% of the posters on Covers are worthy of any attention at all.&#xD;&#xA;This is one of them.&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Agreed 100%....I only check KeyElement, Learnersrealm and you before locking in my plays. You from Montreal Actuary??

TheActuary · Answer

08-06-2015Padres F5 @ &#x2B;104 (Pinnacle): Risking $200 to win $208Only play of the day,GL Everyone

TheActuary · Answer

And I post in the following minutes after I place a bet, so you always should get the same line I&#x27;m betting

TheActuary · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by HAVOC-22]  &#xD;&#xA;Agreed 100%....I only check KeyElement, Learnersrealm and you before locking in my plays. You from Montreal Actuary??  [/Quote]I am, live and work in downtown MTL

TheDoppelganger · Answer

Good luck and thank you for today&#x27;s play!

dkistler · Answer

Thanks

Metallica2467 · Answer

BOL today Bud

skinmypig · Answer

thats cool, did the same for years when I lived there.

HAVOC-22 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by TheActuary] &#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;I am, live and work in downtown MTL&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Nice! Live in TMR work in DIX30&#xD;&#xA;good luck on the Friars today!

CP74 · Answer

I&#x27;ve been lurking all year! Great job,very impressive, continued success!

TheActuary - MLB 08-06-2015

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