@MITM
Yes. I misread Saturday’s box score. Thanks.
Watch I’m gonna tail tonight and something that has gone 31-0 or 31-1 is gonna lose that’s just the way I run right now. Loved the mariners last night and I’m so scared money currently I’m afraid to bet anything
Watch I’m gonna tail tonight and something that has gone 31-0 or 31-1 is gonna lose that’s just the way I run right now. Loved the mariners last night and I’m so scared money currently I’m afraid to bet anything
@MITM
The line seems a little low to me with snell going with an 1.5 ERA against miami pitcher 4.3 ERA....has san diego even put 3 wins together all year...i may have to pass on this one , good luck to all who follow on this one
@MITM
The line seems a little low to me with snell going with an 1.5 ERA against miami pitcher 4.3 ERA....has san diego even put 3 wins together all year...i may have to pass on this one , good luck to all who follow on this one
@lopez021130
Because I use a scary MLB historical Martingale system (along with high vig +1.5 fave runlines sometimes as insurance). It's mathematically and statistically stupid, and I don't want anyone tailing me if it ever loses, but it works for me. I usually target 4 game series and have 1 team win out of 4 depending on what the historical data tells me. I only get back $40 - $50 per win. I only bet them to win one game out of whatever, and then I'm out. It takes discipline / patience and there's barely any capping involved. I usually like a 4 game series where the odds are close to even, or slight faves (Houston -130 vs Boston yesterday in Game 1, got that win, and I'm out the rest of the series).
Also, there are some other data points that come into play throughout the season:
1) I didn't know that Yankees' 8 game losing streak was the worst since 1995. Do you think I'm going to take the yanks to win one out of their next 3 games vs Washington at -190 (when I know those odds are stupid for a Yankees team now, in general?), yes, yes I will, because I'll fucking double down and then do it again next game since I don't think the Yanks' losing streak will hit 10, and I don't think Washington will sweep a three game road series. If I do lose that series, it'll only be 10% of my total bankroll. I have never lost 2 straight series in a row over the last 2 and a half seasons. I wish I had a bankroll of 50K so that I could actually make more money every month to make my life easier, but that's a work in progress over the next 5 years. Also, you never know when the online books will shut you down or limit your bets.
2) Did I lose last night with the Braves? Yes I did, and I've doubled down on them tonight again, because Atlanta rarely loses 2 in a row at home to start a 3 game series this season.
3) There was a post on here about the O's having not been swept in around 76 series going back to May last year...it's still going on. Will I be on the Orioles to win 1 of 3 vs the Jays? Yup.
4) I also look at when good teams get swept at home, and then bet on them to not get swept in the next series (Houston after they got swept by seattle, last night at home, and yup, they won). Other than Tampa this season, when have you seen a top 4 - 5 team get swept in 3 straight series?
@lopez021130
Because I use a scary MLB historical Martingale system (along with high vig +1.5 fave runlines sometimes as insurance). It's mathematically and statistically stupid, and I don't want anyone tailing me if it ever loses, but it works for me. I usually target 4 game series and have 1 team win out of 4 depending on what the historical data tells me. I only get back $40 - $50 per win. I only bet them to win one game out of whatever, and then I'm out. It takes discipline / patience and there's barely any capping involved. I usually like a 4 game series where the odds are close to even, or slight faves (Houston -130 vs Boston yesterday in Game 1, got that win, and I'm out the rest of the series).
Also, there are some other data points that come into play throughout the season:
1) I didn't know that Yankees' 8 game losing streak was the worst since 1995. Do you think I'm going to take the yanks to win one out of their next 3 games vs Washington at -190 (when I know those odds are stupid for a Yankees team now, in general?), yes, yes I will, because I'll fucking double down and then do it again next game since I don't think the Yanks' losing streak will hit 10, and I don't think Washington will sweep a three game road series. If I do lose that series, it'll only be 10% of my total bankroll. I have never lost 2 straight series in a row over the last 2 and a half seasons. I wish I had a bankroll of 50K so that I could actually make more money every month to make my life easier, but that's a work in progress over the next 5 years. Also, you never know when the online books will shut you down or limit your bets.
2) Did I lose last night with the Braves? Yes I did, and I've doubled down on them tonight again, because Atlanta rarely loses 2 in a row at home to start a 3 game series this season.
3) There was a post on here about the O's having not been swept in around 76 series going back to May last year...it's still going on. Will I be on the Orioles to win 1 of 3 vs the Jays? Yup.
4) I also look at when good teams get swept at home, and then bet on them to not get swept in the next series (Houston after they got swept by seattle, last night at home, and yup, they won). Other than Tampa this season, when have you seen a top 4 - 5 team get swept in 3 straight series?
@lopez021130
5) Why my system in not for everyone....I was betting against the Royals when they won three in a row way back in July....I was nearly shitting bricks when they went to sweep the fucking mets, but I bought the extra +1.5 for the Mets in Game 1, and then I bought the +1.5 for the Phillies in their Game 1 because I couldn't see the Royals sweeping three series in a row. Then I came back and bet against them later vs St.Loo because they had won 6 in a row at home and that was unheard of for this team. Did I say fuck me when the Royals won game 1? Yup...but I doubled down again and won game 2. Then I bet on Seattle against KC in the next series because of the historical data and got that.
6) I have another system that I had tracked in regards to runlines (and teams that have 25% of their games decided by 2 runs or more), but you would need 2 sportsbooks for that and I haven't tested it because I've been winning with my other system. The runline system is blind betting and those usually involve around 14 - 15 teams every night. It's too much to track and post and too much to bet on.
7) Extra money (conservative $10 - $20 bets to get back the same)? Bet against the Survivor leaders as soon as their win streak hits 13. Track it....they rarely make it to 17. And at those odds, you can just do $2 / $5 double down bets every week. Someone's always hitting 13 every few days, every week, every month, 12 months.
So there you go....that's how I've been selective and have made some money with MLB the last 2 and a half seasons. I was up 4K last year (2K in 2 accounts), lost it all n NBA (LOL) and this MLB season I'm up 1K, because I had moved and had problems getting my new address / credit card info changed / info verified (as well as geolocator issues) by the Ontario books. I now do everything from my phone. I really didn't start betting this season until mid June. I feel like next year I will really hit my stride with betting on what I do best in, baseball, until the books shut me down, or limit my bets. And then I'll just rotate through the other 15 - 16 online books.
@lopez021130
5) Why my system in not for everyone....I was betting against the Royals when they won three in a row way back in July....I was nearly shitting bricks when they went to sweep the fucking mets, but I bought the extra +1.5 for the Mets in Game 1, and then I bought the +1.5 for the Phillies in their Game 1 because I couldn't see the Royals sweeping three series in a row. Then I came back and bet against them later vs St.Loo because they had won 6 in a row at home and that was unheard of for this team. Did I say fuck me when the Royals won game 1? Yup...but I doubled down again and won game 2. Then I bet on Seattle against KC in the next series because of the historical data and got that.
6) I have another system that I had tracked in regards to runlines (and teams that have 25% of their games decided by 2 runs or more), but you would need 2 sportsbooks for that and I haven't tested it because I've been winning with my other system. The runline system is blind betting and those usually involve around 14 - 15 teams every night. It's too much to track and post and too much to bet on.
7) Extra money (conservative $10 - $20 bets to get back the same)? Bet against the Survivor leaders as soon as their win streak hits 13. Track it....they rarely make it to 17. And at those odds, you can just do $2 / $5 double down bets every week. Someone's always hitting 13 every few days, every week, every month, 12 months.
So there you go....that's how I've been selective and have made some money with MLB the last 2 and a half seasons. I was up 4K last year (2K in 2 accounts), lost it all n NBA (LOL) and this MLB season I'm up 1K, because I had moved and had problems getting my new address / credit card info changed / info verified (as well as geolocator issues) by the Ontario books. I now do everything from my phone. I really didn't start betting this season until mid June. I feel like next year I will really hit my stride with betting on what I do best in, baseball, until the books shut me down, or limit my bets. And then I'll just rotate through the other 15 - 16 online books.
@lopez021130
Oh yeah, and I usually look at the Survivor leaders when they hit 13 every once in awhile to see if they took the same bet as me. If they do, I get spooked and lay off the bet....usually I'm right. LOL.
@lopez021130
Oh yeah, and I usually look at the Survivor leaders when they hit 13 every once in awhile to see if they took the same bet as me. If they do, I get spooked and lay off the bet....usually I'm right. LOL.
thanks mitm i saw the runs and dog 150...not sure if need be on road for 3rd game either..didn't know anything about win or lose...thx post will try keep up...am watching too many things at a time
thanks mitm i saw the runs and dog 150...not sure if need be on road for 3rd game either..didn't know anything about win or lose...thx post will try keep up...am watching too many things at a time
@PUSSYGALORE333
I don't really follow this now. I went (5-1) on it but stopped with the loss.
U can go on Professor MJs YouTube channel and look it up. He lays it out in alot of videos.
I think they have to lose both games that they score 2 or fewer runs in but I could be wrong.
@PUSSYGALORE333
I don't really follow this now. I went (5-1) on it but stopped with the loss.
U can go on Professor MJs YouTube channel and look it up. He lays it out in alot of videos.
I think they have to lose both games that they score 2 or fewer runs in but I could be wrong.
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