tomorrow seems to be pretty interesting on a few games. How do the
Brewers answer their slump against the Cards when they are now getting
hot. ?
Can the Angels get the bats going a little better than last series against the hot hitting Twins?
Scherzer
is an absolute beast but are the Tigers in a mental bind right now?
Indians want it just as bad to make postseason. Bauer more than capable
of gem material tomorrow. Under?
Will a seemingly even pitching matchup with the Reds get them the occasional win tomorrow?
Can we trust the Yankees tomorrow with Capuano?
Book
just took Mariners off the board for some reason. Does Rangers even
care tomorrow? Baker has had a couple nice starts but is nothing
special.
Are the Blue Jays really gonna sweep the Rays on the
road. Rays bosy language and everything else I see from that team is
that they just dont have it anymore.Blue Jays seems to be seeing the
ball really well right now.
Feel free to chime in with any angles or answers to these questions.
Something we tend to forget at times:
We are all here to help each other make money
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
47-24 last 9 days 8-4 yesterday
Thoughts on tomorrow as I look over the card:
tomorrow seems to be pretty interesting on a few games. How do the
Brewers answer their slump against the Cards when they are now getting
hot. ?
Can the Angels get the bats going a little better than last series against the hot hitting Twins?
Scherzer
is an absolute beast but are the Tigers in a mental bind right now?
Indians want it just as bad to make postseason. Bauer more than capable
of gem material tomorrow. Under?
Will a seemingly even pitching matchup with the Reds get them the occasional win tomorrow?
Can we trust the Yankees tomorrow with Capuano?
Book
just took Mariners off the board for some reason. Does Rangers even
care tomorrow? Baker has had a couple nice starts but is nothing
special.
Are the Blue Jays really gonna sweep the Rays on the
road. Rays bosy language and everything else I see from that team is
that they just dont have it anymore.Blue Jays seems to be seeing the
ball really well right now.
Feel free to chime in with any angles or answers to these questions.
Santiago has been a real bright spot in Angels rotation. Brilliant numbers in July and August only giving up 15 ER in 54 IP. Minnesota is seeing him for the first time this year should be an added plus to frustrate hitters early. FWIW here's his numbers vs minny last 3 years 2-2 2.38 ERA 6 ER in 22 IP allowing a .272 avg. On the other side we have Kyle Gibson whose had some nice flashes this year but he gets hit hard almost every time he faces a team that is near tops in the league in hitting. Nearly every team I look at that he has faced in top 10 in hitting he has a 6+ ERA against. Angels fir this category of course. He already faced the Angels and didnt make it past the 2nd inning as he was shelled for 7 runs on 4 hits 2 walks including a HR. July and August have been his worst two months. Also, he hasn't really seen any afdded benefit of pitching at home. In fact his opponent are hitting 5 points higher off him at home despite similar ERA and this is probably largely due to him being prone to giving up the long ball moreso on the road than at home. The interesting thing is Santiago seems to pitch better on the road with an ERA a full run better and 25 points lower on opp BA over the last 3 years but that trend has somewhat flip flopped in 2014. Still his numbers are still very in line home or away with overall numbers (small advantage to home numbers though) I realize there is some inherent danger in this pick as the Twins were the #1 run producer in August and Angels were 11th .Also Angels hitting numbers have dropped significantly since the ASB. But Angels bullpen has looked much better than twins lately and so I give them an edge there too. Still in Angels coming off B2B losses here facing a pitcher struggling last two months and against top hitting teams I am hitting Angels
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First play:
Angels -130 double units
Santiago has been a real bright spot in Angels rotation. Brilliant numbers in July and August only giving up 15 ER in 54 IP. Minnesota is seeing him for the first time this year should be an added plus to frustrate hitters early. FWIW here's his numbers vs minny last 3 years 2-2 2.38 ERA 6 ER in 22 IP allowing a .272 avg. On the other side we have Kyle Gibson whose had some nice flashes this year but he gets hit hard almost every time he faces a team that is near tops in the league in hitting. Nearly every team I look at that he has faced in top 10 in hitting he has a 6+ ERA against. Angels fir this category of course. He already faced the Angels and didnt make it past the 2nd inning as he was shelled for 7 runs on 4 hits 2 walks including a HR. July and August have been his worst two months. Also, he hasn't really seen any afdded benefit of pitching at home. In fact his opponent are hitting 5 points higher off him at home despite similar ERA and this is probably largely due to him being prone to giving up the long ball moreso on the road than at home. The interesting thing is Santiago seems to pitch better on the road with an ERA a full run better and 25 points lower on opp BA over the last 3 years but that trend has somewhat flip flopped in 2014. Still his numbers are still very in line home or away with overall numbers (small advantage to home numbers though) I realize there is some inherent danger in this pick as the Twins were the #1 run producer in August and Angels were 11th .Also Angels hitting numbers have dropped significantly since the ASB. But Angels bullpen has looked much better than twins lately and so I give them an edge there too. Still in Angels coming off B2B losses here facing a pitcher struggling last two months and against top hitting teams I am hitting Angels
Wacha coming back off the DL and having a 60 pitch count limit is a huge concern. Peralta did have two awful starts in a row but he has absolutely owned the Cardinals all year. 3-0 1.35 ERA 20 IP 3 ER only 5 walks 14 hits and holding them to a .194 avg. These numbers should not be overlooked despite the cards winning 5 straight. Also before his last two starts he pitched 6 quality starts in a row. Brewers are beyond desperate for this win. Has me leaning Brewers for now. I just don't know how their hitters react here but the situation isnt a good one for the cards IMO.
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Wacha coming back off the DL and having a 60 pitch count limit is a huge concern. Peralta did have two awful starts in a row but he has absolutely owned the Cardinals all year. 3-0 1.35 ERA 20 IP 3 ER only 5 walks 14 hits and holding them to a .194 avg. These numbers should not be overlooked despite the cards winning 5 straight. Also before his last two starts he pitched 6 quality starts in a row. Brewers are beyond desperate for this win. Has me leaning Brewers for now. I just don't know how their hitters react here but the situation isnt a good one for the cards IMO.
yes I understand giving AR 6 points is dangerous but don't see their offense having much success against the best D in the league. GB is featuring a rookie starting center that doesnt have almost any experience with Rodgers so see things not going over so smoothly in this spot. I know Packers added some nice pieces in the offseason but see that roudy stadium really putting a damper on the Pack offense. I don't see Packers getting past 20 so I'll take a shot.
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Bonus Thursday Night NFL Play:
Seattle Seahawks -6
yes I understand giving AR 6 points is dangerous but don't see their offense having much success against the best D in the league. GB is featuring a rookie starting center that doesnt have almost any experience with Rodgers so see things not going over so smoothly in this spot. I know Packers added some nice pieces in the offseason but see that roudy stadium really putting a damper on the Pack offense. I don't see Packers getting past 20 so I'll take a shot.
not sure what people see in the pack value wise. Good chance Hawks dont lose a single game at home again this year. Pack offensive line is still in the works and somewhat patchwork right now. rookie starting center. blitz blitz blitz all game and Rodgers has little opportunity to distribute behind the best db's in the league. To me its really that simple. BOL to you either way
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Quote Originally Posted by Beningo88:
GL leaning Pack
not sure what people see in the pack value wise. Good chance Hawks dont lose a single game at home again this year. Pack offensive line is still in the works and somewhat patchwork right now. rookie starting center. blitz blitz blitz all game and Rodgers has little opportunity to distribute behind the best db's in the league. To me its really that simple. BOL to you either way
Angels -130 double units Orioles -1 -130 Indians +1.5 -140brutal to lose this when it goes to extras Blue Jays/Rays under 4 F5 innings -120 Brewers F5 innings -110 Diamondbacks/Padres over 6.5 -115
need this dbacks over for a 4-2 day
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Updated:
Angels -130 double units Orioles -1 -130 Indians +1.5 -140brutal to lose this when it goes to extras Blue Jays/Rays under 4 F5 innings -120 Brewers F5 innings -110 Diamondbacks/Padres over 6.5 -115
I had the Tigers vs Indians figured just right AND THEN............... Tomlin struck! Nice +125 straight play down the drain...... All good though made up for it on a 3 team parlay Angels, Cardinals and D-backs! Going to bed happy!
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I had the Tigers vs Indians figured just right AND THEN............... Tomlin struck! Nice +125 straight play down the drain...... All good though made up for it on a 3 team parlay Angels, Cardinals and D-backs! Going to bed happy!
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