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wednesday ...early start !

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Posted: #26
STL and the Under 
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

just more stats "for entertainment purposes only"

and you want me to believe that if the total moves to 6.5 today b/c of numerous variables, that the Giants have a less chance of winning?

c'mon.. seriously?  


I SERIOSLY THINK SOME PEOPLE IN THEIS FORUM ARE RETARDED

THE POSTED TOTAL FOR THE GAME AND THE MONEY LINE ARE CO RELATED

I REPEAT CO RELATED

AND YES IF THE TOTAL DROPS SO DO THE TRENDS AND STATS






YOU GUYS BET BLINDLY THATS YOUR PROBLEM NOT MINE

I HAVE MADE ALOT OF MONEY THIS YEAR AND I APOLOGIZE

IF I HAVE GIVEN YOU GUYS ANY INFORMATION NEXT TIME I

WILL KEEP THE INFO TO MYSELF .,.....HOPE THAT MAKES EVERYONE HAPPIER
 
Captain
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Posted: #28
ok.. what if it opens at 7 at one book and 6.5 at another? then what? 


the total and ML are NOT related.  If that were the case, every total of 7 wld have roughly the same ML 
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

ok.. what if it opens at 7 at one book and 6.5 at another? then what? 


the total and ML are NOT related.  If that were the case, every total of 7 wld have roughly the same ML 


Thank you
 
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Posted: #30
5t4r5align.... Yes if the total moves it will be a no play. Here is an example from last week. Cash posted a 4 unit play in game 5 of the Nats STL series when wainwright was facing Gio and STL came back down 6-0 to win 7-5. Well the posted total for that game opened at 7. So Cash did his homework and found out Wash is good when the posted total is 7, and STL is not good when the posted total is 7. So that's why he chose Washington. Well the over under dropped to 6.5, and cash lowered his units to 2 units on Washington cause the trends for wash were not as strong. Well look what happened. Washington was a loser. I had washington as well that game cause if the total, and when the over under dropped i also lowered my units. I think he is making the right choice here by making he giants a no play if the tot moves off of 7. Which is exactly what I am going to do as well. I learned my lesson. But today I think the total will stay at 7 and the giants and over will be the play. Hope this clears up why he wi call it a no bet if the total moves.
 
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Posted: #31
Sorry for he few typos as I am doing this quickly on my phone. And FYI the total is 7 on all books offshore and all Vegas casinos.
 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by cashaholic:



did some number crunching and found some odd stats when the total is posted at 7 .....if the total line moves to 6.5 tommorow i will hedge this play and make it a no play ...but for now @+115 ill jump on it

the performance charts for stlouis at home when the total is set at 7
are not that good at all

and the performance and win ratio for san fran on the road when the total is set at 7 are very high.....edge goes to san fran .

 

 

Quite possible Vegas has been playing off this logic(enticing SF backers to bite) and has purposely set the total at 7 when it should really be set somewhere at 8 or 8.5.

Believe it or not, STL has averaged 5.625 runs per game since their first Wild card game vs ATL. These guys can score.

Is it very logical that the total is set at 7 or even 7.5? IMO, the answer is most definitely no.

Considering Cain has not been his usual self and STL has won 6 of Lohse's last 9 home starts, I'm taking STL ML and the over 7.

 
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Posted: #33
And I meant to say when saint Louis won 9-7 not 7-5.
 
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Posted: #34
D0pebo1... Going with Saint Louis and Over your setting yourself up for a push. I am gonna guarantee you right now that this game either finishes Saint Louis and Under or San Fran and Over. And yes I guarantee you this. So I'll be back after the game and we will go from there. Cause I know 10000000% it's either one of those two combinations.
 
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Posted: #35
The game total won't go to 7.5. Can almost guarantee this. 7 is very possible though.
 
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Posted: #36
Sorry, I mean 6.5 is possible as it is already at 7.
 
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Posted: #37
Cain Cain Cain Cain Cain 

Giants 2.6u to win 2.9u 
 
Captain
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Posted: #38
6.5 is very possible today..  its already there at some books.

Good luck guys 



 
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Posted: #39
5t4r5align. The key book to focus on is pinnacle and pinnacle only. All other books numbers mean dog shit IMO. Good luck to ya with whatever u play.
 
Legend
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Posted: #40
Best of Luck  
 
Legend
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Posted: #41
Good luck cash
 
Prospect
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Posted: #42
Screw off dofir. You can't even pick your own a**hole, and can't even pick your nose with a ten foot pole with a towel on the end of it.
 
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Posted: #43
Betting 101, no need to tout your picks with how much money you've already made in the past. Today's picks are not related to picks you've made in the past.
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by mypickstrending:

Betting 101, no need to tout your picks with how much money you've already made in the past. Today's picks are not related to picks you've made in the past.


i analyse my picks the same way everyday ...so if your upset im not on stlouis so be it

my record and followers have made a killing with me this year

i dont need to justify it
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

6.5 is very possible today..  its already there at some books.

Good luck guys 



was looking at the other game.  7 everywhere in  NL gm
 
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Posted: #46
When starting on five days' rest this season, Cain lost only once in 12 outings while posting a 2.42 ERA.
 
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Posted: #47
National League teams are 3-10 at home during this postseason.
 
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Posted: #48
Good luck cash!
 
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Posted: #49

thanks cash and bigdick, for all your post and time you take to share your bets with people. I have followed both of you and one thing you two aren't is fakes.. Yes i've seen some bets you guys made using your system, and i didn't play because I thought other wise, and you guys ended up winning the bet..

keep doing what your doing. and for those that have something negative to say.. shut the f up.. people don't come into these forums to read your stupid comments when these guys have records that prove there winnings, and others follow them..at the end of the day you bet what you want, if you feel like you can do better post your bets and let us see.. til then read em and move on.

 
 
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Posted: #50
i'm liking the angle here boys. one question, you'd hedge if the total goes up or down from 7? and this is right before game time? thank u for sharing the knowledge.
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