Posted:
#1
Posted YTD: (8-3-0) +$775 (ALL Posted SU Plays NO O/U's)
*** Wednesday JULY 3rd *** 
Tuesday Results: 0-1-0 (-$100)
STL (Lynn) 100/115 
- Did not really like today's card. After all of the Faves winning on Monday, the books really juiced up all the favorites I liked (BOS, TB, ATL, OAK).
So many games to choose from on Tuesday, and I kept my control on not betting and stuck to one play. BECAUSE I really love Wednesday's card...
Todays Locks...
DET (Scherzer) 230/200
-- I know that Miggy might not be in the line-up tomorrow (and that's WHY the line is so low). I also know that he has been practically their entire offense lately. BUT, I do LOVE the man the Tigers have on the mound tomorrow. Max Scherzer is 12-0 for a reason. This man is NOT a fluke. Check his stats on the year: (12-0, 3.10 ERA, *0.90 WHIP* and *131 K's with only 23 BB's*) on top of that, he has been EVEN BETTER on the ROAD this year: 7 Road Starts (4-0, 2.08 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, .149 BAA with 63/10 K/BB ratio). And ON TOP OF THAT, he OWNS the Jays in 5 Career Starts vs TOR (3-0, 1.59 ERA). Max has also been on FIRE lately pitching 8 Quality Starts in a row.
-- On the opposing mound for the Jays is Josh Johnson. He was an absolute beast before his injury but he has not shown signs of a full recovery based on his last start (3.1 IP, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 ER vs BOS). In his one career start vs DET, he lasted JUST 1.1 innings giving up 7 Hits, 2 BB's and 6 ER's in NOT even 2 innings.
-- Detroit has won 6 of the last 8 in this series.
-- Even though Miggy "may" be out tomorrow (he said after the game that he doesn't want rest, and expects to be able to go), and Encarnacion is "expected" to be in (even though he's missed the last 2 games after a late scratch on Monday), Toronto's streaking hitter Lind is questionable to play after also missing the last 2.
In conclusion, I believe that with (hopefully) or without Miggy in the line-up, Max Scherzer will go for 13-0 after this game and stay riding his extremely hot streak in his breakout 2013 campaign. He is up against a Toronto team that he has owned in the past, and also the fact the struggling Josh Johnson is on the mound, I feel that the Tigers can put up enough runs on the board to get Max the W.
Yankees (Sabathia) 140/100
-- CC has NOT been himself this year, and neither have the Yankees depleted bats (minus their last two games). But, he has won NINE in a row vs Minnesota, and after watching the "weak" Yankee bats come to life the last two games, I strongly feel that the Yanks will come out victorious in this one... ESPECIALLY facing PJ Walters (2-4, 6.03 ERA, 19/15 K/BB, 1.81 WHIP). And it's not like Walters is any better AT HOME (1-2, 6.23 ERA, .333 BAA). In his last 3 starts (Total combined 9 innings: 3.0, 0.2, 5.1 IP), he has given up 16 ER's. I believe that Red HOT Robinson Cano will FEAST on him IF he gives him anything in the zone, and hopefully the rest of the Bronx Bombers will to.
-- Yankees have won 4 of last 5 IN Minnesota in the series.
-- CC's last 2 starts vs MIN: (@Min: 8-2 W, @NY 8-3 W)
-- CC's past 9 starts vs MIN: (8-0 with 1.79 ERA)
-- Twins top batters STRUGGLE against against Sabathia...
(Morneau 6/43, Mauer 6/35, Doumit 3/17)
-- Yankees hit Right's (Walters) better than Lefties...
(vs Right's .239, 4.09 R/9, 0.8 HR) > (vs Left's .234, 3.9 R/9, 0.2 HR)
-- We know Yankees are banged up, but with their 44-39 record, we all know they are still a good ball club. Minnesota (36-44) just placed LF Willingham on the DL.
All of these stats can mean nothing once that first pitch is thrown tomorrow, but I'll take my chances on the -140 Juice and believe in the statistics between CC and this Twins' ball club. Locking it in now because I believe it may jump tomorrow once more betters catch on to these stats. I will be adding another play or two tomorrow (with Write-ups included) so stay tuned! BOL to everyone and let's all beat these books!
0
good luck
Texas was too risky after getting crushed yesterday + against King Felix. 2 main reasons I stayed away from them, even though most of the stats pointed to TEX, I didn't like the fact they were -135 vs Felix.
Hot Forum Topics
