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Weeble's Tuesday Picks

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Posted: #51

BOL today weebs!

 
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Posted: #52
  Weebs... my local has under 3.5 -150 SF/SD ... never seen that kind of juice on a 1st 5 inning play total.
 
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Posted: #53
Weeble, thanks for the link to those stats. I was there, just not using the splits....... Like seeing you on the LAA/Texas under.
 
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Posted: #54
  Weebs
Keep Calm and Bet 10 Play Over Parlays
 
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Posted: #55

 
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Posted: #56
bol today
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


Not sure of your reasoning. Seems pretty cheap for Santana. Are you saying yes, and then going contrarian and betting the Braves?


What I'm saying is that something is awry when you can get Johan Santana at a pick'em line. 
 
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Posted: #58
THANKS for the under pick today! sweated it out but loved your logic and went with it!
 
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Posted: #59
Final Card

Twins (Pavano)/Jays (Marcum) 1st-5 Under 4.5, -117
Indians (Huff)/Rays (Price) Under 8.5, -105 W
Angels (Weaver)/Rangers (Wilson) Under 8.5, -120
Giants (Sanchez)/Padres (Latos) 1st-5 Under 3, -120
Phillies -2 (Halladay/Duke) -114
Braves (Medlen/Santana) -102
Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (Beckett/Sabathia) +103
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by penzfan17:

THANKS for the under pick today! sweated it out but loved your logic and went with it!


Would have taken the 1st-5 under instead (and wouldn't have had to sweat it out). Just knew I wasn't going to be around this morning to make the bet. Glad they both hit so I don't have to do this ---->
 
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Posted: #61

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Final Card

Twins (Pavano)/Jays (Marcum) 1st-5 Under 4.5, -117
Indians (Huff)/Rays (Price) Under 8.5, -105 W
Angels (Weaver)/Rangers (Wilson) Under 8.5, -120
Giants (Sanchez)/Padres (Latos) 1st-5 Under 3, -120
Phillies -2 (Halladay/Duke) -114
Braves (Medlen/Santana) -102
Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (Beckett/Sabathia) +103

Weebs do you like yankees TT @ over 5 (Even)  for the game or over 4.5 thru 5 innings both teams better?

Thanks

 
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Posted: #62

I feel like the books have been under estimating Santana.  Last time out he threw a gem went 7 or 8 deep and let up 1 run but got stuck with a no decision.  Braves are so up and down and have been playing good the last week and are at home tonight.  Also Medlen is a good young pitcher if he gets in a grove early. However, I feel like if he lets the mets bats get a few early runs then it could be over early.

I think this line is about right, maybe a slight edge for santana im gonna play the mets at -105 2 units.

 

 
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Posted: #63
bol weebs
 
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Posted: #64
like the Braves play Weebs Medlen should be good for 5 innings
 
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Posted: #65

yanks game delayed

 

 
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Posted: #66
GL buddy
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Giants (Sanchez)/Padres (Latos) 1st-5 Under 3, -120


I can't begin to count how many 1st-5 unders I've lost in the bottom of the 5th.
 
 
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