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Why is Lester not a bigger fav sunday?

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Posted: #1
Hes 14-1 vs O's and Boston is the better team can someone explain to me why hes not -130 -140 Sunday?
 
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Posted: #2
He aint pitching well lateky
 
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Posted: #3
Lately
 
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Posted: #4
pedroia taking tomorrow off
 
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Posted: #5
Gonzalez one of the younger and brighter future stars for the O;s. Will be a game that O's will have a chance throughout to win.
 
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Posted: #6
Bal is 9-1 at home in Gonzalez last 10 home starts.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by brianx:

Hes 14-1 vs O's and Boston is the better team can someone explain to me why hes not -130 -140 Sunday?

The better team....I'm an O's fan...but that is bullchite....

 
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Posted: #8
O's have a better lineup
 
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Posted: #9
F_$& Boston.
 
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Posted: #10

Lester couldn't find home plate last game and really hasn't looked good the last few starts.  Closer Bailey pitching like shiit also.  Agree with QL, Gonzalez and O's this game if I play it.

GLTA
~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
 
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Posted: #11
Lester 0-3 last 3.Take the under Best of Luck today
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by steve2412:

pedroia taking tomorrow off



thats a big bat needed.
 
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Posted: #13
Lester 1-5 inn RA  Past  2-0-1-2-3-6-1-0-2-6-3-3-3-8
Lester /Pen for game    2-0-1-2-5-9-4-0-2-6-4-4-3-8
he is not pitching well of late,Gonzalez should win today
esp in F 5 IMO
 
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Posted: #14
Lester has not been on as of late and I don't think he will bounce back today versus this lineup. Really like O's myself. 
 
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Posted: #15
his era is over 7 in his last 3 might factor into the line i'm thinking... game is a coin flip to me, g.l. man
 
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Posted: #16
I went UNDER in this game. While people think Lester will continue his struggles, I'd say he bounces back strongly for a good quality start.

9 runs is a good line for the UNDER.
 
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Posted: #17
Better record i should say.  And O's have been making alot of mistakes lately with Andino going to 3rd yesterday on a flyball out to end the game being the latest. 


 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by brianx:

Better record i should say.  And O's have been making alot of mistakes lately with Andino going to 3rd yesterday on a flyball out to end the game being the latest. 



Casilla not Andino. Man cant get anything right lately!

 
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Posted: #19
BE CAREFULL WITH BOSTON TODAY.  IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO KNOW WHY ASK AWAY
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by brianx:

Hes 14-1 vs O's and Boston is the better team can someone explain to me why hes not -130 -140 Sunday?


That stat dates back to the solid Boston and crappy Baltimore teams of old. The Red Sox are actually 0-4 in Lester's last 4 starts against the O's. The last time the Sox beat Baltimore with Lester on the mound was in April 2011. Personnel changes and so do the times.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by brianx:

Hes 14-1 vs O's and Boston is the better team can someone explain to me why hes not -130 -140 Sunday?
He is now the DOG.  FOR A REASON.
 
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Posted: #22
Balty today is my biggest ML play this season.


 
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Posted: #23
I'm a Sox fan, and they look weak in this one.  Lester has been awful, and the hitting is spotty.  Better off with Gonzalez for a medium play.....
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by brianx:

Hes 14-1 vs O's and Boston is the better team can someone explain to me why hes not -130 -140 Sunday?


Exhibit A as to why pitcher W/L record is a worthless piece of crap stat for handicappers to use.   Shouldn't even look at it, it can be so decieving sometime.   Yes, he is 14-1 vs the O's... but the Orioles have won the last 4 times they faced him (and looking good for #5 today).   He just didn't happen to get the decision in three of them.

The last time the Red Sox beat the Orioles with Lester on the mound was April 28 2011.   Back when the Orioles were in their 14th consecutive losing season.   The Orioles have put together a .573 winning % since August 2011, just two months shy of two full seasons.   They are a legitimate winning team and contender.   Looking at stats made against them when they were a crappy team for 14 years is not very relevant to handicapping their games today.

And the Orioles have gone 22-9 against Boston since August 2011, including 4-2 this year.   They are a couple games behind Boston in the standings.  


 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



That stat dates back to the solid Boston and crappy Baltimore teams of old. The Red Sox are actually 0-4 in Lester's last 4 starts against the O's. The last time the Sox beat Baltimore with Lester on the mound was in April 2011. Personnel changes and so do the times.


Sorry Weeble, if I had read the whole thread first seen your response I wouldn't have bothered to send mine, you already beat me to it!
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