HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 1-game-nil irrespective of site order (L.A. Dodgers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 961-390 (.711)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 180-77 (.700)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 111-61 (.645)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 69-39 (.639)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 734-617 (.543)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 136-121 (.529)
Game 2 record, MLB only, all rounds: 82-90 (.477)
Game 2 record, MLB only, Finals round: 52-56 (.481)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1351 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that
the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ H:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order H (L.A. Dodgers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 709-191 (.788)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 134-41 (.766)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 68-32 (.680)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 44-21 (.677)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 584-316 (.649)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 107-68 (.611)
Game 2 record, MLB only, all rounds: 56-44 (.560)
Game 2 record, MLB only, Finals round: 38-27 (.585)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1351 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that
the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 1: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and defeated the
Houston Astros 3-runs-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series
1352 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 3-2
and a Game 2 record of 5-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 1-game-nil, the Houston Astros have a series record of
1-2 and a Game 2 record of 1-2. Home teams (such as the Dodgers in Los
Angeles) which win Game 1 have won 14 of the last 15 MLB Finals. The
sole series loss sustained by the home team Game 1 winner in those last
15 MLB Finals was series 1319, in which the Indians in Cleveland won
Game 1 but lost the 2017 World Series to the Chicago Cubs.
Pre-series assessment: In the 2017 MLB regular season, the Los
Angeles Dodgers finished three games ahead of the Houston Astros. From
1905 through the 2017 MLB Semifinals round, when MLB teams led their
best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they
have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 5-4 (.556) in those
series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series
1352 is the 17th best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Los Angeles
Dodgers, and the sixth for the Houston Astros. In best-of-7 MLB playoff
series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an all-rounds series record of 7-9,
a Finals-round series record of 5-4, and a Game 1 record of 5-11, while
the Houston Astros have an all-rounds series record of 2-3, a
Finals-round series record of 0-1, and a Game 1 record of 2-3. Series
1352 is the first best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Los
Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros. The Houston Astros in series
1352 are seeking their first best-of-7 MLB Finals game victory, having
been swept in their only previous best-of-7 MLB Finals appearance (in
series 956, by the Chicago White Sox in the 2005 MLB Finals).
Hot Forum Topics
