My Academy Award Wagers

Question

Best Actress- Winslet -146I really love this bet.  Kate has been an Oscar darling as far as nominations but has yet to win one.  I think they changed that this year.  Leo and Jolie are in the category of "just getting nominated surpassed expectations"  Streep is nominated because she is a legend, but her performance was not universally  lauded by critics.  Hathaway was very good, but the fact that her film wasn&#x27;t universally loved and that it came out so long ago is going to hurt her.  Kate wins this one.Best Picture:  Slumdog Millionaire -510U know what, sometimes you just gotta take the high favorite when you are this certain.  I&#x27;ll take 100 free dollars just for having the s to risk 510May add one or two more.  I think theres value in Viola Davis for supporting actress.  If they put up odds for Heath im laying the juice i dont care if its -100000.   Also would do the same for Wall E for animated picture

YoungOne · Answer

Best Actress- Winslet -146I really love this bet.  Kate has been an Oscar darling as far as nominations but has yet to win one.  I think they changed that this year.  Leo and Jolie are in the category of "just getting nominated surpassed expectations"  Streep is nominated because she is a legend, but her performance was not universally  lauded by critics.  Hathaway was very good, but the fact that her film wasn&#x27;t universally loved and that it came out so long ago is going to hurt her.  Kate wins this one.Best Picture:  Slumdog Millionaire -510U know what, sometimes you just gotta take the high favorite when you are this certain.  I&#x27;ll take 100 free dollars just for having the s to risk 510May add one or two more.  I think theres value in Viola Davis for supporting actress.  If they put up odds for Heath im laying the juice i dont care if its -100000.   Also would do the same for Wall E for animated picture

caliguy42 · Answer

you got bad lines. you can get -300 on slumdog on oddsmaker.com and -120 on kate.

caliguy42 · Answer

and btw heath ledger you can get at 1/20. load up all you want. that is the only sure thing.

YoungOne · Answer

cali....i actually think that hoffman has a better chance of winning supporting actor than bolt or panda do at beating wall e for animated....damn those lines were at pinny i thought they were the best

caliguy42 · Answer

ok i never saw odds on wall e but yes that is a slam dunk. i bet on penn, winslett penelope and slumdog.

rdrflyer · Answer

Agree with you about Winslet...

DannoDanger · Answer

Thoughts on Langella at 7-1 to win best actor?  This is the best &#x27;best actor&#x27; category in a while.

Ace77 · Answer

Im not sure Kate Winslet will win,they nominated her for the wrong film,she should have been nominated for "Revolutionary Road" not "The Reader"

The Reader was one of the worst films ever and Kate does not deserve to win for that film

Ace77 · Answer

Anne Hathaway looks good odds,the academy loves people who hide there good looks and play uglier roles

Halle Berry laid herself bare in Monster's Ball
Charlize Theron's transformation in Monster was extreme.
Nicole Kidman played Vigina Woolf wearing a prosthetic

And Hilary Swank has taken home two oscars by embracing roles that play against the stereotypical perception of feminine beauty (for Million Dollar Baby and Boy's Don't Cry

Anne Hathaway is worth a shot

JudgeHoldem · Answer

I bet the max allowed ($250 risked) on the following at beted... some lines have moved since I hit them... its peanuts to win compared risked but I don&#x27;t see this as risked... I&#x27;ll take a free 160 or so on 1k risked&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;slumdog best pic -350 (now -500)&#xD;&#xA;boyle best dir -350 (now -500)&#xD;&#xA;ledger best sup act -2500&#xD;&#xA;wall e best anim -1600

goldsheet · Answer

be careful laying huge odds with the oscars. the oscar winners don't always line up with who takes the gold at the sag and the golden globes. there is no such thing as a "slam dunk" on best picture or best actor / actress. the most memorable in recent memory was brokeback mountain vs crash. brokeback cleaned up everywhere except the oscars best picture. everyone was calling it for best picture banking on a landslide. bb was a heavy favorite going into oscar night everywhere, crash won at +500.

i'm 35 and have made alot of wagers over the last 15 years. that one still hurts.

gmitran · Answer

^^^ Ditto on BB and that loss will haunt me for a long time too. Looking back on BB, there was some sign that it was in trouble, mainly voters who said publicly they will not vote for it bc it's a gay movie. During the pre-show, heard more than one journalists who have talked to voters and they predicted there could be Crash upset.

I'm thinking it's dif this yr as SM is along the line of Crash as it's feel-good movie and leading coming in. Hopefully, that smear campaign about the under-paid actors for SM won't effect voters this time.

There are some "locks" in Oscar though, Ledger this yr along w/ J Hudson/C. Theron (I cleaned up on this one at pretty damn good odds)/3rd LOTR/J. Bardem/etc.

caliguy42 · Answer

i noticed no one is wagering on the closest race best actor. i liked penn for the past month or so but now looks like rourke will take it. any thoughts?

YoungOne · Answer

cali what makes u think it looks like now rourke will win?

im thinkin if anything he opened as a big fav after the golden globes but now penn is kinda gaining steam. few things:

a. the academy is very conservative. they know if rourke wins hell come up and curse and be vulgar. they also are probably turned off by his new wrestling career.

b. Milk isnt going to win best pic, so this is the academy's best shot at honoring that film.

c. After Ledger and Brokeback were fucked over the Brokeback Mountain year, the Academy may see this as an attempt to show ppl they are not homophobic...they were harshly criticized after that year

personally i loved the wrestler and i have my fingers crossed for mickey...but those factors i mentioned are making me not bet my money on it

usually i bet 3 bets during the oscars...this year just these....and slumdog is up to -770 and winslet up to -260

Ace77 · Answer

Those fucks better give Ledger the oscar

gmitran · Answer

YO - Milk is likely to win for Orig Screenplay, so letting Milk win at least one would not be reason for picking Penn. If there wasn't so much love for Penn from the his peers, I would bet on Rourke but sitting out on this one, for now.

gmitran · Answer

My fav bet so far, "Is Streep going to wear Chanel Couture?" at +275 (bet no longer available). She has already said she won't wear a designer dress but picking out from the rack/closet herself.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/entertainment/view/407980/1/.html

Given she wore a non-designer dress to SAG and won, don't know why she would change now.

caliguy42 · Answer

the only reason i said rourke might win now is because of the big change on his odds. he is -250 in some places now. sure this could just be public betting but it kind of scares me. i got rourke at even money and penn at 2 to 1 so as long as langella doesnt pull the big upset i wont lose money on this category.

My Academy Award Wagers

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